Focus on 3 to 5 props

Jan 27, 2015 3:00 AM

Before you bet it make sure you get it. That means being very selective and finding real value in whatever you are betting.

I love Super Bowl Props.

With so many options you simply need to do your homework, step up to the bet window, place your bet, and then after the game see the cashier.

Every year I will hand select, on average, three to five prop bets that present tremendous value. I remember like it was yesterday when back in 1998 I bet Denver Broncos running back Terrell Davis O/U rushing yards at 73. I hammered the OVER. When they moved it to 74, I hammered it again.

It moved to 76, I hammered it again. I last bet the OVER at 78 yards. It closed 83. A good bet is a good bet is a good bet. Good bets lose. Don’t ask me how I know.

The Broncos that year were a seven point dog vs. the Green Bay Packers. Denver’s game plan was simply to establish the run with Davis and keep Brett Favre and the Packers on the sideline as much as possible.

After the first quarter, Davis and the Broncos were looking good and I was feeling good as he was on pace to shatter the OVER. Next thing I know, coming out of a commercial break, Davis was not in the game. Something about a migraine.

Are you kidding me?

Just my luck. He sat out the entire second quarter and was questionable for the second half. Not good. After halftime they announced he would at least try. He indeed shattered the OVER on his way to 157 rushing yards and three touchdowns even though he only played three quarters.

How do these sports books stay open? I was buying drinks for everyone.

When it comes to the Super Bowl, often times the value is in doing some due diligence and dissecting matchups and what one team will try to do. With any luck it can play right into your hands and wallet.

See the cashier!

Scott Pritchard does no less than 10 radio shows weekly on Fox News Radio and Sports By Line USA on the Nick Bonsanto Show with "Pritchard's Pick of the Day". Contact him at [email protected].