Stranger things keep happening in NFL
November 14, 2017 3:00 AM
by Andy Iskoe
VIP Pigskin Picks | To say this has been a most unusual NFL season would be an understatement with both the number of teams that have greatly exceeded expectations and those dramatically falling short.
To say this has been a most unusual season would be an understatement with both the number of teams that have greatly exceeded expectations and those dramatically falling short.
When the coming action is complete all teams will have played 10 of their 16 regular season games as the final four to have Bye weeks have them this week.
One measure of how unusual can be found by looking at the number of teams that have already topped their Season Wins Total or are assured of falling short or are within one game of meeting those fates.
Nearly one quarter of the league – seven teams – have already locked up their fates or are within one win or loss of doing so using the SWTs from the Westgate here in Las Vegas.
The New York Jets, at 4-6, have already exceeded their SWT of 3.5 as have the 7-2 LA Rams (SWT of 6).
At 1-8 the New York Giants can at best go 8-8 and thus will fall short of their SWT of 9, having already earned at least a push for UNDER bettors.
At 8-1 Philadelphia has the best record in the NFL and returns from its Bye this week to play at Dallas on Sunday night. Their SWT closed at 8.5 after opening at 8, insuring a win for all OVER backers with one more victory.
Indianapolis was expected to miss QB Andrew Luck for perhaps a week or two at the start of the season but Luck has been shut down for the entire season after not taking a snap. The Colts’ SWT was 8 and at 3-7 is one loss away from earning at least a push for UNDER backers.
The Colts’ AFC rival, Jacksonville, was pegged at 6.5 and at 6-3 are one win away from earning a win for OVER backers, an accomplishment they are expected to achieve this week as the Jags are 7-point favorites at winless Cleveland.
New Orleans’s SWT was 8 and at 7-2 the Saints can guarantee OVER bettors at least a PUSH with a home win this week over Washington.
To put this into some sort of perspective, although the short NFL schedule makes the comparison unrealistic, with six games remaining to be played those seven teams will have had or might have their Season Win Total results determined with more than a third of the season remaining to be played. That would be akin to a baseball team’s result being determined at the end of July or an NBA team having its result determined around the start of March.
As just noted, Byes come to an end this week and the final four teams to enjoy their off weeks are Carolina, Indianapolis, the New York Jets and San Francisco.
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Atlanta +3 at Seattle (45): Despite Seattle’s strong home field the 2 of Seattle’s 3 home wins have been by a FG and the third was their blowout of lowly Indianapolis in which they trailed at the half. And they lost their last home game to Washington. Last week’s win over Dallas may have been the ‘buy’ signal for the Falcons who face the them they knocked out of the Playoffs last season and are seeking revenge. ATLANTA