Free pick from Bob Christ's NFL Capsule

Free pick from Bob Christ's NFL Capsule

November 03, 2018 9:07 AM


Green Bay Packers (3-3-1) at New England Patriots (6-2)

Time: 5:20 p.m.

Line: Patriots by 5 (56.5)

Facts: This game marks only the second meeting between NE’s Tom Brady and GB’s Aaron Rodgers, with Rodgers’ Packers prevailing in 2014 by 26-21 at Lambeau in a wind chill in the teens. The temp should be in the low 40s for this one... Four years earlier, while Rodgers was out (shoulder) and replaced by Matt Flynn, NE won 31-27 as a 14-point home choice... The Packers went on a mini-fire sale this week, sending veteran safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix to Washington and all but giving away Ty “Fumbles” Montgomery to Baltimore for a future seventh-round selection. That’ll teach him to listen next time...  NE is coming off a 25-6 road win at Buffalo on MNF. 

Analysis: Like all teams, the Patriots are hurting, but in their case its their Pro Bowl tight end, Rob Gronkowki (questionable, back) and top RB Sony Michel (questionable, knee) that caused the Patriots’ offense to generate only 18 points last week in Buffalo. And even when Gronk has played, he hasn’t score in his past six starts. What’s up with that? Meanwhile, Rodgers is doing quite well the past three games connecting with favorite receiver Davante Adams, who’s had at least 132 receiving yards his past three games. In a game in which desperation is the fuel, the Packers come out on top. And top GB running back Aaron Jones has a league-high 6.2-yard norm on 44 rushes.

Forecast: Packers 30, Patriots 27