Halfway home, Grizzlies are a total bust
January 09, 2018 3:00 AM
by Andy Iskoe
VIP Bettin' On B-Ball | Most teams will have completed the mathematical midpoint of their 82 game regular season schedule within the next week or so.
Most teams will have completed the mathematical midpoint of their 82 game regular season schedule within the next week or so.
Through Sunday every team except Toronto had played at least 38 games with the Raptors at 37. Two teams have already played more than 41 games as Boston has played 43 and Phoenix 42.
Thus this is a good time to review how teams are faring compared to their expectations prior to the season. One objective way of doing this is to look at their actual records versus their projected Season Wins Total.
At the extremes two teams are on a pace to exceed their Wins Total by more than 10 games and two are expected to fall short by at least 10 games. Playing at a pace to greatly exceed their Wins Totals are Toronto and Indiana.
Expected to be a contender in the Eastern Conference, the Raptors were projected to win 48 games. Yet at 27-10 Toronto is on a pace to win 60 games, a full dozen games above their projection. Indiana was thought to have no chance to make the Playoffs after losing Paul George and having a Wins Total of 31.5. But the Pacers are just above .500 at 20-19, a pace that would result in 42 wins for an excess of 10.5 wins.
At the opposite end of the spectrum are Memphis and Charlotte. The Grizzlies were expected to be just short of Playoff contention with a Wins Total of 37.5. But a 12-27 start that includes a coaching change has the Grizzlies on a pace to win just 25 games, a shortfall of 12.5 wins. Charlotte was expected to challenge for a Playoffs berth in the East with a Wins Total of 42.5. But at 15-23 the Hornets are on a pace toward just 32 wins, a shortfall of 10.5 wins.