Is it too early to take the 'Over' in MLB?

Is it too early to take the 'Over' in MLB?

April 06, 2017 9:12 AM


Sometimes it pays to wait until teams have been playing for a while and have some historical data in the regular season before you place a bet. You want to look at history, streaks, and get a feel, if you will about how a team is doing. 

However, many times we can look to last year to get a sense for how a team might perform.  A few years ago, I started to pay very close attention to the totals in the Detroit Tigers’ games. I started to notice that the totals always seemed to be above 8. I began to tell folks that if the predicted total was 8 to take the ‘Over’ and it turned out I was right more often than not.

I see no reason to believe that this year will be any different. The way I see it the odds are the Tigers will put up at least five runs and those usually happen early on, while the opposing team tends to put up at least 3. Many times you’ll see a score of 6-5 and extra innings.

One of the reasons I like playing the ‘Over’ in the Tigers games is I love baseball and the Tigers. I know, I know you’re not supposed to bet on your team, but when I take the ‘Over’ I’m not wagering against them.  I’m actually betting with Detroit and if by chance they get blown out, I’m still happy!

So what’s the play if the total is 9, which is exactly what it was in the most recent game scheduled against the White Sox that got postponed? Well, I’m not inclined to bet the ‘Under’ and the general rule is to stick with the ‘Over’ when the total is 8. 

Since it’s a bit early in the season, you’ll want to pay attention. Choose one team (whether it’s your favorite or not) and see how you do with predicting the scores. If you do not have a favorite team, choose the Tigers and give my ‘Crazy 8s’ a try. Sometimes it pays to bet like a girl!