We reported earlier this week that professional gamblers have taken Cincinnati plus the points, betting the number down to Steelers -3 where it sits on most oddsboards Friday morning.
About 72% of Bookies Battle contestants selected Bengals +4.5, many of them surely looking for closing-line value as the spread continues to shrink.
Bengals, 3-point dogs at Chicago last week, pushed as the second most popular Week 2 pick in a 20-17 loss to the Bears.
While Cincy is a wiseguy side this week – and casual bettors are overwhelmingly on the Steelers – the next two most popular contest selections are big public plays. About 70% of our bookmakers are laying the points with Raiders -3.5 (vs. Dolphins), and per information from PointsBet, 78% of spread bets and 64% of handle on that game are also on Las Vegas. About 65% of contestants picked Cardinals -7.5 (at Jaguars), in agreement with 90% of tickets and 83% of the money wagered at PointsBet.
Bears +7.5 (at Browns) and Cowboys -4 (vs. Eagles) round out the top-five most popular Bookies Battle picks in Week 4.
Here’s how the contest point spreads for the top-five selections compare to the market number as of Friday.
|Team||Percentage of picks||Contest line|
After establishing a lead in the opening week of the season, Mike Lewis of Suncoast Hotel widened his advantage with a second-straight 11-win week in Week 2. After successfully picking Panthers -8 (at Texans) on Thursday night, Lewis has 23 winners on the season, four better than second-place Mike Smoller from Wildfire Boulder Casino.
Overall, though, it’s been a rough start for the field, as 35 of 50 contestants are picking under the 52.4% threshold it takes to break even against standard -110 vig. The bookmakers’ cumulative win percentage is just 48.1% through the first two weeks plus the Week 3 Thursday nighter.