2021 Bookies Battle, Week 4 Picks: Bookmakers Back Chiefs To Bust ATS Slump

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The Chiefs have stumbled out of the gate this NFL season, getting off to a 1-2 start and failing to cover a spread through the first three weeks, but bookmakers are laying the points in Philadelphia, making Kansas City the top consensus pick in Week 4 of the 2021 Bookies Battle. Nearly three-quarters of the field is on Chiefs -6.5.

The books are in line with their public customers on this game, which pits Kansas City coach Andy Reid against his former team. Per an email from PointsBet, 92% of the spread bets and 93% of the handle are also on the Chiefs. At WynnBET, Kansas City represents the fourth-largest liability in Week 4.

The Cardinals, meanwhile, continue to be a popular play among Bookies Battle contestants. Arizona catching 6 points at the Rams is tied for the second top consensus pick. This marks the third straight week the Cards have been a top-five pick in the contest — Arizona disappointed its backers as a 4-point favorite against the Vikings in Week 2, but delivered as 8-point chalk at Jacksonville last week. Despite the Rams shooting up power ratings after their win over the Bucs improved their record to 3-0, the line has moved in Arizona’s direction, sitting at 4 on most oddsboards Friday morning.

Also receiving the support of about 70% of the field is Tampa Bay. The Bucs are laying 6.5 points at the Patriots, as Tom Brady returns to Foxborough for the first time since leaving New England. Again, a top consensus play is a public one. An overwhelming 94% of tickets and 96% of money at PointsBet are on the favorite Sunday night, and the Bucs, as of Thursday, were the second largest liability of the week at WynnBET (the Bengals were first largely because they played Thursday night).

Ravens +1 (at Broncos) and Packers -7 (vs. Steelers) round out the top five consensus Week 4 picks, each garnering the backing of 67% of the field.

TeamPercentage of picksContest line
(Tuesday)
Market line
(Friday morning)
Chiefs74.4%-6.5-7
Cardinals69.8%+6+4
Bucs69.8%-6.5-7 (-105)
Ravens67.4%+1pick 'em
Packers67.4%-7-6.5

The top-five consensus picks broke through with a 3-2 record in Week 3, their first plus-.500 tally of the season, but are just 8-11 on the year.

Through Three Weeks

Mike Lewis of Suncoast Hotel & Casino continues his impressive showing in the Bookies Battle. He’s been remarkably consistent, picking 11 winners in each of the first three weeks, and he’s off to a fine start in Week 4 with his Jaguars +7.5 selection. Jacksonville easily covered that spread in a 24-21 loss in Cincinnati on Thursday.

Heading into Sunday, Duane Colucci of Rampart Casino is in second place with 29 winners, followed by a pack of four with 28 – John Lindheimer, Max Schmerin, Nick Smith, and Jay Rood.

Cumulatively, the field is picking at a 48.9% win rate.

Check out the full leaderboard here.

Also: NFL Week 4 Lines & Early Action

About the Author

Marcus DiNitto

Marcus DiNitto is a nationally recognized editor and writer specializing in sports betting and sports business. He is the editor for Louisiana Sharp. He has been managing editor at SportsBusiness Daily, USA Sports Gaming, Sporting News and The Linemakers. Marcus earned his MBA from the University of North Carolina-Charlotte.

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