When the college baseball season got underway back in February, 299 Division I teams took the field. As the postseason got rolling earlier this month, 64 teams remained in contention for the College World Series (CWS). Fast forward a few weeks and the field is down to two, Oklahoma and Ole Miss. With only two teams still playing, it’s time to review the betting odds at sportsbooks for the CWS one more time.
As could be expected, with Ole Miss eliminating Arkansas Thursday, the odds have shifted once again. Bettors should also keep in mind that the CWS is a best-of-three series. Game 1 is scheduled for Saturday at 6 p.m. ET followed by Game 2 on Sunday at 2 p.m. ET. Game 3, if necessary, will be Monday at 6 p.m. ET.
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New Favorite Emerges On Odds Boards Once Again
College Worlds Series odds are current as of Friday, June 24;the team’s RPI rank is in parenthesis:
Odds To Win College World Series | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM: Promo Code TODAY | BetRivers: Bonus Code SHARP250 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma (19) | +105 | -110 | +100 | -104 |
Ole Miss (39) | -125 | -110 | -120 | -125 |
Change has been the one constant at oddsboards throughout the CWS. Tennessee started the playoffs favored to win, but then Texas became the favorite after the Vols were beaten during super regionals. Then Texas was taken down and Oklahoma emerged as the new fav, but their stay at the top of oddsboards was short-lived after Ole Miss took down Arkansas Monday. But after a dominant performance against the Aggies Wednesday, the Sooners were once again the betting favorite.
But after Ole Miss shutout Arkansas, 2-0, Thursday, the Rebels are once again the betting favorite.
One game…Winner to the finals. @OleMissBSB defeats Arkansas, 2-0, to advance to the #MCWS Finals for the first time in program history! pic.twitter.com/c4WF8ESrZw
— NCAA Baseball (@NCAABaseball) June 23, 2022
Betting Analysis: Who Has the Hot Hand?
Favorites just haven’t fared too well in the postseason proving one thing– looking great on paper does not matter. The only thing that does is who is playing the best baseball at the moment. Tennessee didn’t bring its ‘A’ game against Notre Dame and lost. The same holds true for Texas (against Notre Dame and Texas A&M) and Stanford (against Arkansas and Auburn).
That’s probably why the odds have shifted between Ole Miss and Oklahoma this week with the team that played on a given day favored to in the CWS the next day (assuming they won their game). But now that we are down to two teams, there isn’t a clear-cut favorite anymore. The odds do favor the Rebels, but the odds are far from overwhelming.
Ole Miss’ chances of winning range from 52.38 % to 55.56 %; Oklahoma’s range from 48.78% to 52.38%.
What does this information tell us? It tells us we have two good teams playing in the CWS, and the team that happens to play better in two of three games will win. The CWS Finals look like they’ll be exciting to watch, but tough to bet on.
Prediction
Both teams are talented, well-coached squads that have played well throughout the postseason, especially in Omaha. Statistically, it is hard to say who has an edge. Ole Miss has the better ERA (4.36 to 5.40). Dylan Delucia got the Rebels to the Finals after throwing a shutout against Arkansas. However, the Sooners earned their spot after David Sandlin held the Aggies to one run in seven innings.
The Sooners have a higher batting average (.299 to.280), but the Sooners don’t hit for power (.469 slugging percentage with 72 home runs). Ole Miss is not a great power-hitting team, but the Rebels are better than Oklahoma (.495 slugging percentage with 100 home runs).
Ole Miss has been more consistent than Oklahoma, but the Sooners have done a great job of generating runs. At this point, either team is worth betting on.
Our Pick: Ole Miss
The Sooners are rollin' to the 'SHIP, after defeating Texas A&M 5-1!#MCWS pic.twitter.com/12gZMsbjoV
— NCAA Baseball (@NCAABaseball) June 22, 2022
College World Series Odds: Game One of CWS Finals
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma, Saturday, 6/25 @ 6 p.m. ET
Sportsbooks | Best Ole Miss Odds | Best Oklahoma Odds | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings | +1.5 (-155) | Spread | +1.5 (-160) | Caesars |
DraftKings | +100 | Moneyline | -104 | FanDuel |
FanDuel | Over 10.5 (-105) | Total | Under 11 (-120) | BetMGM |
Where to Bet on College World Series Odds
Sports betting is legal, either online, retail, or both, in the following states/ locales: New York, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Colorado, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Iowa, Indiana, Nevada, West Virginia, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Oregon, Montana, Arizona, Wyoming, Connecticut, Louisiana, Ontario, Arkansas, Delaware, Mississippi, New Mexico, North Carolina, South Dakota, Maryland, Wisconsin, and Washington.
However, several states have restrictions regarding betting on college sports:
- No betting on in-state teams: New Jersey, Virginia, New Hampshire, New York, Rhode Island, Washington DC, Connecticut (but allowed during tournament play)
- No betting on events held in-state: New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island
- No player props: Arizona (or team), Colorado, Iowa, Mississippi, New York, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Tennessee (team props prior to games legal), Virginia, Washington, Illinois, and West Virginia.
- No live, in-play betting: Illinois, Tennessee, Virginia
- Betting on in-state teams will become illegal in Illinois in 2023, unless a law lifting the ban is passed again.
- Indiana allows player props before games but not during.
- No betting on college sports in Oregon via the state betting app; betting at tribal casinos legal
Best Promo Codes for College World Series Betting
The following table contains the welcome promos for several sportsbooks:
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College World Series Odds—FAQs
Which team is the betting favorite to win the College World Series?
Ole Miss is a slight favorite over Oklahoma to win the CWS.
Who are the eight teams playing in the College World Series?
The eight teams playing in the CWS in Omaha are Texas, Stanford, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Auburn, Arkansas, Notre Dame, and Oklahoma.
Is there betting on college baseball?
While it may not be as common as betting on football or basketball, there is betting on college baseball. However, many states have restrictions regarding college sports.