Hours after Lionel Messi and Argentina raised the FIFA 2022 World Cup trophy on Sunday, bookmakers had already turned the page to 2026.
Yes, futures odds are now available on top sports betting apps for the 2026 edition of the World Cup, which takes place in the US, Canada, and Mexico.
Opening Odds To Win 2026 World Cup
France, a finalist at this year’s World Cup, and Brazil have opened as the top two favorites. While Les Bleus lost in penalties to Argentina in the title game in Qatar, Neymar and Co. were the favorites going into this year’s World Cup, and they retained that status until they were eliminated in a shocking loss to Croatia.
After France and Brazil, it’s Argentina, England, Spain, and Germany all priced at 10-to-1 odds or shorter across the sports betting marketplace.
2026 World Cup Opening Odds
France’s 2026 World Cup Outlook (+600 odds at Caesars)
France, whose odds range from +500 to +600, make a ton of sense as the co-favorite alongside Brazil. France showed incredible depth in nearly winning this year’s World Cup — which would have given them back-to-back World Cup titles — despite a slew of injuries prior to the tournament.
The French kicked off group play in Qatar already missing the likes of Karim Benzema, Christopher Nkunku, N’Golo Kante, and Paul Pogba, then lost starting left back Lucas Hernandez before halftime of their first match. But with Kylian Mbappe dominant en route to winning the Golden Boot — with help up top from Olivier Giroud and Antoine Griezmann — France came painfully close to winning it all.
Mbappe just turned 24, and several other mainstays in the French lineup throughout the Qatar World Cup — including midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni, defenders Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, Ibrahima Konate, and Hernandez — are all in their primes.
With all those players back, France will have as much talent and depth as anyone in 2026, no matter how many stars Brazil, England, and reigning champs Argentina have in the fold in North America.
Brazil’s 2026 World Cup Outlook (+550 odds at FanDuel)
The biggest question for Brazil is whether Neymar, now 30, will still be one of the best players in the world in 2026. The storyline for Neymar, who suffered injuries in 2014, 2018, and 2022, will be similar to that of Messi’s at this World Cup. Neymar has struggled to stay healthy throughout his career, but what Messi just did for Argentina at the age of 35 showed that if Neymar can stay fit, he can still lead the way at the age of 34 in 2026.
Brazil were as impressive as anyone in Qatar until their loss to Croatia, and they were arguably lucky to lose that match (they won the xG battle 2.5 to 0.6 and had 11 shots on target while holding Croatia to just one). Most of the players who led the way in Qatar, including defender Éder Militão (24), forwards Richarlison and Raphinha (both are 25), midfielder Lucas Paqueta (24), and keeper Alisson (29) are all either ascending or in their prime.
Besides Neymar’s status four years from now, the other major question is who will manage Brazil, as Tite resigned after the loss to Croatia.
Argentina’s 2026 World Cup Outlook (+1000 odds at DraftKings)
While Messi is almost certainly not going to be in the picture (he’ll be 39 in 2026, and 2022 was widely expected to be his final World Cup), most of Argentina’s top players in Qatar will still be at their best in 2026. The team’s second-highest scorer after Messi, Julian Alvarez, is just 22. And though Argentina will (likely) miss Messi and veteran winger Angel di Maria, they’ll probably bring back almost every other starter from the 2022 World Cup Final against France, including keeper Emiliano Martinez (29), defenders Cristian Romero, and Nahuel Molina (both 24) and star midfielders Alexis Mac Allister (23), Enzo Fernandez (21), and Rodrigo de Paul (28).
Argentina will also have midfielder Giovani Lo Celso, who was expected to start in Qatar, but missed the tournament due to injury.
Last but not least, Argentina will bring back Lionel Scaloni, the manager who led a team that had experienced one heartbreak after another throughout Messi’s career to a Copa Ameria title in 2021 before this year’s World Cup success.
USA 2026 World Cup Outlook (+3500 odds at Caesars)
While expectations in the States are sky-high for the USMNT, oddsmakers are less bullish — USA futures odds are as long as +3500 at Caesars, but as short as +1900 at FanDuel. It’s not hard to make the case that USA will be dangerous in four years, as Christian Pulisic, Tim Weah, Weston McKennie, Tyler Adams, and Sergiño Dest — to name a few — will all be in the prime of their careers.
However, with major questions surrounding the future of Manager Gregg Berhalter — and who would replace him if his contract does not get renewed — and the striker position, it’s understandable that most sportsbooks list 10 or more teams with shorter 2026 futures odds.
Mexico 2026 World Cup Outlook (Mexico +6000 odds at Caesars)
The one thing we know for sure about Mexico is that everything will look very different when they serve as one of the hosts in 2026. Manager Tata Martino is already gone after El Tri’s first failure to advance from group play since 1986. While Mexico finished group play strong in Qatar with a 2-1 win over Saudi Arabia, the squad looked like one in need of major changes in the 0-0 draw against Poland to open group play, and they were also shut out 2-0 by Argentina.
Canada 2026 World Cup Outlook (+10000 at DraftKings)
Canada were a massive letdown in Qatar, but as long as Bayern Munich star Alphonso Davies (21) and Jonathan David (22) continue to develop — and stay healthy — the Canadians will have good reason to hope they can, at the very least, advance from group play as one of the co-hosts in 2026.
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