3-team faves parlay delivers

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The Chiefs’ 26-3 win at Chicago Sunday night completed the most popular and successful 3-team parlay of the week.

It was all about the Saints, Ravens, and Chiefs and they got there, paying 6-1 odds together and also triggered several larger parlays as a sweet root trio.

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Kansas City’s win took a large portion of what the books won in the afternoon after an awful morning. The end result was mixed results in Nevada sportsbooks based on the properties having an extremely large percentage of handle on parlays.

“We’ve had a really good Sunday,” said CG Technology sportsbook director Tony DiTommaso. “We won a lot of games on the day; a (house) player at one of our properties was banging away on several games.”

CG Technology books were one of the few that didn’t have a lot riding on the Sunday night game. And handle was good. They had a nice Sunday with their clientele.

The Chiefs’ win and cover makes them 5-0 ATS in their last five with all five staying under the total. It’s a winning 13-5 two-team, side-to-total, parlay for the last five weeks. Their defense has been sneaky good over that time and Patrick Mahomes has been elite. They’re clicking at the right time so we might want to be hedging some Ravens future bets about now.

“We got sharp money on the Chiefs pushing us up to -7, and it was also a popular public play. So we’ve got a 6-to-1 ratio in cash and 7-to-1 ratio with tickets written on the Chiefs,” said MGM Resorts sportsbook director Jeff Stoneback prior to kickoff. “It decides our day. KC will make us a loser.”

Favorites would go 7-5 ATS Sunday with five underdogs winning outright continuing an upward favorite trend from Week 15.

“Our worst game was the Saints,” DiTommaso said. “We needed the Saints (through Friday), but the weekend crowd with Saints action flipped our rooting interest. The Giants game also was no good.”

The Saints won, 38-28, at Tennessee closing at -3 -120 after opening as 1.5-point favorites. At 12-3, the Saints keep themselves in the running for home-field advantage in the NFC.

The Giants started QB Daniel Jones after sitting out the last two games injured and all Danny Dimes did was throw for five TDs, including the game-winner, in the Giants 41-35 overtime win.

“The Eagles (+2.5 in 17-9 win vs. Cowboys) was a monster game, our best on the day,” DiTommaso said. “The Jets (+155 ML, 16-10 win vs. Steelers) were good for us all well, and believe it or not one of our best decisions was the Dolphins beating the Bengals.”

The Bengals, once down 28-6, made a furious comeback with 23 points in the final 6:11 capped off by a successful Hail Mary and then a successful 2-point conversion to tie the game, 35-35, and send into overtime. Insane stuff.

The Dolphins kicked the winning field as time ran out in overtime to win, 38-35, but for a while, it looked as though it would be the world’s slimmest way for a book to get middled. The Dolphins opened a 1-point favorite and closed as a 1-point dog.

“A tie wouldn’t have been good,” DiTommaso said.

Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay reported they did well on the day despite the Chiefs. Clientele played a huge role in how all Vegas books did on the day.

“We don’t get a lot of the same type of play like some of the local places do and a great example of it is winning on straight bets to the Ravens on Sunday,” DiTommaso said.

The Ravens (-10, 31-15 win at Cleveland) were part of the trio of teams most bet in parlays during the week that was the root for most books that do large public action losing or breaking even on the day. The Saints was one of them and so was the Chiefs.

The Ravens have won 11 straight. The Week 17 question is ‘rest or rust?’ with a bye in the playoffs.

One of the observations I had that made me happy about the NFL product Sunday was that the four worst rated teams in the league managed to produce the two most entertaining games of the day. The Dolphins, Bengals, Redskins, and Giants players all played to their fullest and never gave up, or never looked like the worst teams their records and data over the season suggested they were.

NFL players are in business and the selling opportunity is a short window, so giving up on a losing team witnessed on film for all the scouts, GM’s, and coaches to witness is bad for business in getting another contract. Play hard and elevate your team and free-agent offers flow in.

For that, and rare guaranteed money, I dig the NFL product because it keeps all players wanting more and playing hard. Of course, Odell Beckham Jr. is an exception.

Another Week 16 observation was the Chargers offense having to go to a silent count on plays during the second-half in the Raiders 24-17 win. Again, the Chargers went into code on their alleged home turf. Raider Nation dressed in black was about 91-to-9 percent clip in charge at the Carson, CA stadium. The Raiders’ final game at Oakland last week was awful, but their last “home” game went well in Carson. The Raiders home-field edge at Carson gave them +1.

Bizzare, I don’t remember a negative home field price.

Week 17 of the NFL is upcoming this week and it is the toughest weeks of the season for oddsmakers and also the toughest for bookmakers. Who is resting players? Who cares the most? Information is everything.

Why would the Ravens risk playing Lamar Jackson against the Steelers when they’ve already clinched home-field through the AFC Playoffs? Especially after watching key players like Mark Ingram and Marc Edwards get hurt late in the Browns game last week. The Westgate SuperBook opened the Ravens a 3-point home favorite against the Steelers with Ravens back-up QB Robert Griffin III expected to play the most. Good luck handicaping that game with a third-string QB on the Steelers fighting for a playoff spot who has been throwing interceptions with regularity the past two weeks.

The Eagles (-5) have to win at the Giants to win the NFC East, but it doesn’t mean they will. Or how about the Cowboys (-11) at home against the Redskins, which is basically the Redskins’ Super Bowl?

Just because a team wants the win more, or needs the win more, doesn’t mean much. You know the saying — this is the NFL where anything can happen on any given Sunday.

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