A Brickyard 400 carryover for Ryan Newman?

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For wagering on this Sunday’s race at Pocono, look at what happened in the June 9 race there and in last week’s results from the Brickyard 400.

The similarities between the two 2.5-mile tracks lie within the long straightaways and at least one instance – turn 3 at Pocono – that resembles Indy’s flat turns.

Ten of the top 15 in the first Pocono race finished in the top-15 Sunday at the Brickyard, including Sunday’s winner Ryan Newman, who was fifth at Pocono. Jimmie Johnson won the June race and finished second this past Sunday using the exact same chassis for both races. It was also the one used to win last year’s Brickyard 400.

However, that beast of a chassis is unlikely to be turned around this quickly and be ready for this week, even though there shouldn’t be too much tinkering required on it because the set-ups for each track are similar.

The No. 48 team will have its press release sent out by Wednesday which will detail what chassis Johnson is using. If it isn’t the same one he used to lead the most laps at Pocono and Indy this year, it shakes up the odds considerably and gives everyone else a fighting chance.

Johnson has four wins on the season already and is making a mockery of the points system with a 75 point lead over second-place Clint Bowyer. That’s almost two entire races of maximum points, which is why JJ is a overwhelming even money favorite at the LVH Super Book to win the Chase this season.

As for Newman, he moved up three points in the standings to 16th but still needs some help to gain the final wild card spot in the Chase with six races to go. For the lucky few that took Newman last week, he paid off at 50-to-1 odds. Following a good practice session and then qualifying well enough to start from the pole, his odds were dropped down to 25-to-1 at the LVH.

Other drivers that fared well at both events this season were Dale Earnhardt Jr. (3rd at Pocono, 6th at Indy), Tony Stewart (4th at each), Kyle Busch (6th, 10th), Kurt Busch (7th, 14th), Joey Logano (10th, 8th), Jeff Gordon (12th, 7th), and Juan Pablo Montoya (14th, 9th).

The only driver among the top-7 finishers at Pocono that didn’t finish within the top-15 at the Brickyard was Greg Biffle, who was runner-up to Johnson at Pocono. He should be a strong candidate just because during his poor performance last week, he wasn’t using his Pocono chassis. We’ll know what car he’s bring by Wednesday, but I’d be willing to lay odds that the No. 16 team will be bring that same Pocono chassis from June that ran so strong.

Denny Hamlin has performed well at Pocono his entire career, but didn’t fare well at Indy. Over his career, he has four wins on the tricky triangle with a 10.5 average finish. He’s been mired in slump recently, but Pocono should get him going again and contend for the win.

If you’re thinking sweep with Johnson, it’s happened quite a few times in the past beginning with Bobby Allison in 1982. Then it was Bill Elliott in 1985, Tim Richmond (‘86), Bobby Labonte (’99), Johnson (’04) and Hamlin (’06) following suit with the double. A Johnson win would be his fourth at Pocono, both coming in season sweeps.

Because it’s doubtful Johnson will be using the same car, I’m going to look elsewhere for a winner this week.

Micah Roberts is a former Las Vegas race and sports book director, and longtime motorsports columnist and sports analyst at GamingToday. Follow Micah on Twitter @MicahRoberts7 Contact Micah at [email protected].

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