Alexandro Santiago vs Junto Nakatani Odds, Props & Prediction

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Bettors enjoy a boxing blast on Saturday morning from Japan.

Two popular Japanese bantamweights — Takuma Inoue and Junto Nakatani — are favored to leave the ring as champions from the main events in Tokyo.

Inoue makes the first defense of his WBA title against Jerwin Ancajas from the Philippines. Nakatani seeks to wrest the WBC crown from Alexandro Santiago of Mexico.

Check out our Alexandro Santiago vs Junto Nakatani odds, props, and predictions.

Inoue-Ancajas & Nakatani-Santiago Betting Odds (FanDuel)

Here are the Inoue vs Ancajas and Nakatani vs Santiago betting odds at FanDuel.

Inoue: -260
Ancajas: +192

Nakatani: -800
Santiago: +480 (+550 at DraftKings)

How to Watch the Bantamweight Doubleheader

This will be a betting special for the early birds or those who burn the midnight oil. The card will be televised in the US at 4 a.m. ET on ESPN+, with ring walks for the title fights approximately at 5 a.m. ET and 6 a.m. ET. That will depend on the length of other bouts.

Inoue vs Ancajas Props

Will Fight Go the Distance?

Yes: -480
No: +330

That tells bettors a lot about the style of the fight. Inoue wants to stay outside and won’t feel pressured to engage. Ancajas wants to work the body and the odds are saying he’ll have trouble doing it.

Method of Victory

Inoue

Points: -146
KO/TKO: +680

Group Betting Market

KO/TKO Rounds 1-6: +2100
Rounds 7-12: +1100

Ancajas

Points: +360
KO/TKO: +640

Group Betting Market

KO/TKO Rounds 1-6: +1900
Rounds 7-12: +1000

Bettors have some reason to take a flier on a stoppage in a fight the book pegs for a decision. Inoue has opened cuts on some of his previous opponents. Cuts can lead to a stoppage.

On the flip side, Ancajas may be able to test how well Inoue’s injured ribs have recovered.

Inoue vs Ancajas Betting News

Inoue suffered injured ribs just 18 days before their first bout scheduled last November. That pushed this fight back.

Ancajas stopped his last foe Wilner Soto with a body shot last June and may view Inoue’s training injury as a psychological edge.

Ancajas is moving up from 115 to 118, but made nine successful defenses of a world title. He has fought in 12 world championship fights.

Inoue has been in two.

Inoue Profile

Inoue lost his first world title bout to Nordine Oubaali for the WBC bantamweight crown in 2019.

He won the WBA version last April, with a lopsided unanimous decision triumph over Liborio Solis.

He is not a power puncher, with only four knockouts in an 18-1 record. But when he wins a decision, it’s impressive. All his decision victories have been unanimous.

He is poised and often patient enough to force other fighters into mistakes.

Ancajas Profile

Ancajas is no slouch, having made nine successful defenses of his junior bantamweight title. But he is stepping up to 118 against a defending champion and thus his work is cut out.

He is not coming in off the best recent performance trend. He was outpointed significantly, twice in a row, by Fernando Martinez. That resulted in the loss of his title and inability to reclaim it.

The first Martinez fight was immensely physical and may have taken something out of him.

He is a southpaw and often has the height advantage. He is a very live dog and will not be deterred by Inoue’s punching power.

Intangible Betting Factor

The rabid home crowd for Inoue.

Santiago vs Nakatani Betting Analysis

Forget the moneyline if you love Nakatani. That number is only for the high-rolling players who love to leverage massive bankrolls to gain a slight victory.

Bettors backing the undefeated champion will look to the method of victory line, which offers attractive wagers.

Method of Victory

Nakatani

Decision: +194
KO/TKO: +114

Group Rounds Market

KO/TKO Rounds 1-6: +406
Rounds 7-12: +170

This is a little tricky and could encourage some razzle dazzle. If one believes Nakatani can secure the KO/TKO in the late rounds, a small supplemental wager on the early rounds provides a little extra cover for a small price.

Bettors who want to slice it even closer can take a shot at bigger money for a smaller window, each of four rounds.

Rounds 1-4: +900
Rounds 5-8: +280
Rounds 9-12: +360

Prices go even higher for bettors who want to take Nakatani in two round options, but these are less advisable. They have a lower percentage and may suck too much money from one’s budget.

Santiago

Win Line: +480

This will be automatic for anyone who believes he can spring the upset.

Points: +750

That would be the logical way he beats the undefeated Nakatani.

KO/TKO: +920

Quite a hunch, if it happens.

Group Rounds Market

Rounds 1-6: +3100
Rounds 7-12: +1800

Smaller Window

Rounds 1-4: +6000
Rounds 5-8: +2600
Rounds 9-12: +3000

Santiago Profile

Santiago was +160 at most books when he wore down the 40-year-old Nonito Donaire to win his title. The 27-year-old started slowly and then began outpunching Donaire on the inside for the last eight rounds of the fight.

Santiago prevailed 116-112 on two cards and 115-113 on a third. The weary Donaire stood right in front of him, making it easy for Santiago to launch his attack. That won’t be the case against the younger Nakatani, who also is a southpaw.

Santiago has moderate power with 14 knockouts in 36 fights. He’s on a recent 12-1 streak.

Nakatani Profile

He’s a whirlwind southpaw powder keg at 26-0 with 19 knockouts and slightly reminiscent in style to boxing legend Manny Pacquiao.

He has won championships in the 112- and 115-pound divisions and is trying to annex a title in a third weight class.

The move is three pounds up in weight. Moving up in weight is often seen as a disadvantage against an opponent who has been fighting there.

But the oddsmakers love Nakatani’s position in this fight.

Prediction: Nakatani by Decision (+194)

Tough call because I can also see a late stoppage. But Santiago has never been stopped, so I will lean that he makes it to the end but loses.

A late-round Nakatani KO/TKO is an excellent consideration, too.

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About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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