There are some undefeated teams that round out the top-25 (Florida, Wisconsin, Penn State, Boise State, Wake Forest, SMU, Memphis), but to be quite honest, the top-six teams in college football are a cut above the rest.
Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, Georgia, LSU, and Oklahoma seem to be just about unbeatable. In my opinion, barring a miracle, I don’t see any teams beating the top-six except for each other.
Top-ranked Alabama has a big test in a month against fifth-ranked LSU. Second-ranked Clemson plays conference rival Florida State on Saturday and has a showdown with fellow undefeated ACC team Wake Forest in mid-November.
Ohio State is by far the best team in the Big Ten and is playing the best football in the nation right now. The Buckeyes have a tough schedule, finishing the regular season against the Nittany Lions and the Wolverines. Georgia, come next month has matchups with Florida, Auburn and Texas A&M, making them the most vulnerable of the top-six teams.
LSU, as I said earlier, faces Alabama in one month. They do go up against Auburn beforehand and end the campaign at home vs. Texas A&M. Oklahoma can run the gauntlet unless they get caught looking in their finale at Oklahoma State.
One thing for sure, this is going to be one of the best college football season’s in years.
Here are this week’s Best Bets (Lines are as of Tuesday and can change. If a line is around a Hot Number or moves against us, be smart):
Georgia Tech at Duke -17: Georgia Tech is point spread poison, failing to cover all five outings this season. As a matter of fact, the Yellow Jackets are riding an eight-game ATS cold streak. This is an offense (or lack thereof) that puts up a mere 8.0 PPG on the road, where they are outscored by 30.0 PPG.
After three consecutive wins and covers, Duke comes off a tough loss at home vs. Pitt. The Blue Devils are looking for a little redemption here for themselves and their fans in Durham against a team they have covered the last five meetings against.
Dual-threat quarterback Quentin Harris (1,007 yards passing, 11 TDs in the air, 347 yards rushing, four TD’s on the ground) will shred the soft defense of Georgia Tech, while the Blue Devils’ stop-unit completely shuts down the Yellow Jackets “O”.
Georgia Tech is 2-7 ATS the last nine games vs. teams with a winning record and 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 games on the road. Duke is 4-0 ATS the last four games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS the last seven games following a SU loss. DUKE
Alabama -17 at Texas A&M: Don’t think for a moment that Alabama is going to phone this game in. They have two more relatively easy opponents (Tennessee and Arkansas) after this week, before facing LSU. The Crimson Tide must stay sharp and ahead of the Tigers of Clemson in the polls.
Texas A&M has not covered the last two contests against lesser foes (SU loss vs. Auburn as a four-point favorite and a 31-27 win at Arkansas as a 23-point favorite).
Heisman candidate Tua Tagavailoa (1,718 yards passing, 76.4 percent completion rate, 23 TDs) will pad his stats here. Look for the third-ranked offense in the nation to roll!
The Aggies are 1-5 ATS the last six vs. conference opponents. ALABAMA
Army -4 at Western Kentucky: This matchup certainly favors Army as Western Kentucky has no experience facing an option offense. The Black Knights possess the eighth-ranked rushing attack in college football and will control the clock and keep the Hilltoppers’ defense on the field.
Western Kentucky does not have an explosive offense (21.8 PPG, 76th passing and 126th rushing) and can not keep pace on the scoreboard here. Backup quarterback, Ty Storey (58.8 percent completion rate, 5 TDs, 4 INTs) is in for a long day lining up against the tough, veteran pass defense (25th) of Army.
The Black Knights are money to bettors, going 4-0 ATS the last four games following a SU loss and 6-0 ATS the last six games on the road. The Hilltoppers are 4-12 ATS the last 16 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS the last six October games. ARMY
Fresno State +4 at Air Force: Fresno State had an extra week to rest, heal, and prepare for this meeting. Air Force has failed to cover the last three coming into this contest (1-2 SU) and usually suffers from letdown mode after Commander-In-Chief matchups, going 4-14 ATS the last nine years.
The Bulldogs counter the Falcons third-ranked ground game (124th passing) with the nation’s 30th ranked run defense.
Air Force is 6-19-1 ATS the last 26 in the conference and 2-5 ATS the last seven overall. Fresno State is 21-6-1 ATS the last 28 in the conference and 28-9-2 ATS the last 39 overall. FRESNO STATE
Last week: 0-4