The big news in college football this week is that Antonio Brown wants to go back to school and get a degree, having one year of eligibility left from his days with CMU and has been talking with both Clemson and Alabama.
Now that I have your attention, I want to make sure you know the importance of getting the best lines for you. This past week, there were 20 college football games that were decided by 3.5 points or less from the lines they closed at. For this time of year, the odds makers are extremely sharp.
Listen to Smokey Robinson’s mother and “Shop Around.”
The difference between eating lobster tails and ramen noodles is literally a half point. Shop a number, be patient, and pull the trigger only when it benefits you.
Here are this week’s Best Bets (Lines are as of Tuesday morning and can change.):
Kansas State +7.5 at Mississippi State: They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Kansas State took a 31-10 loss at the hands of Mississippi State last September. But, these are two very different teams right now.
Under first-year head coach Chris Klieman, the Wildcats are much improved. Granted, they beat up on lesser foes (2-0 SU and ATS), but they have a solid backfield with quarterback Skylar Thompson (74.3 percent completion rate, 363 yards passing, 3 TDs) and Ball State transfer running back James Gilbert (218 yards rushing, 3 TD’s).
They will keep a Bulldogs defense honest that has allowed the Louisiana and the Southern Mississippi to put up 43 combined points on them. While Mississippi State’s “O” is good, they will have a long day lining up against a very stout, K-State front seven.
The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS the last eight on the road, 15-5 ATS the last 20 as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS the last four overall. KANSAS STATE
Stanford at Central Florida -7.5: Stanford starting quarterback KJ Costello returns to action here. In Week 1, the team was lucky to get a late win and cover over Northwestern. Last week, they allowed USC to put up 45 points as true freshman QB Kedon Slovis shredded the Cardinal defense for 377 yards passing, three TD’s and 0 INT’s on 28 of 33 passing.
In comes UCF’s talented gunslinger, Dillon Gabriel (50.0 percent completion rate, 372 yards passing, 5 TDs) and a backfield with four 100+ yards rushers already. The Knights are 7-1 ATS the last eight in September, 7-2 ATS the last nine at home, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Iowa -2.5 at Iowa State: Iowa has had Iowa State’s number, taking the last four meetings in this series SU, while going 3-1 ATS. The average margin of victory during that stretch has been 16.5 PPG.
The Hawkeyes have some things this season they haven’t had in recent campaigns — a solid offense and a big-time play-caller in Nate Stanley. The quarterback has tossed six TD’s and 0 INT’s. He also has the tandem of running backs in Mekhi Sargent and Toren Young who have combined for 257 yards rushing and two TD’s.
They will light up the scoreboard here going up against a defense that yielded 26 points to the Panthers of Northern Iowa last week.
Cyclones quarterback, Brock Purdy does not have the luxury of a ground game to help open up the passing game. So, facing one of the strongest stop units in the nation is going to be fatal once again. Iowa State is 0-4 the last four at home and 0-6 ATS the last six overall. IOWA
Northern Illinois +14 at Nebraska: For the life of me, I can’t figure out why Nebraska is laying two TD’s here. I have this game about 8.5 points.
The Cornhuskers have yet to cover in 2019. They allowed the Jaguars of South Alabama to post 21 points in the opening week and then blew a 17-point halftime lead in last weeks, 34-31 loss to the Buffaloes.
The Huskies, which have covered both outings this season, have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. Let’s not forget they are 16-5 ATS the last 21 vs. the Big Ten and 7-3 ATS the last 10 in September. Nebraska tends to be overvalued in Lincoln, going 3-12 ATS the last 15 at home and are slow starters, going 0-5 ATS the last five in September. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Last week: 1-2-1