Anthony Joshua vs Otto Wallin Odds, Props & Prediction: Joshua the Clear Favorite

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Otto Wallin vs Anthony Joshua Odds BOXING Odds

BOXING · Sat (12/23) @ 6:45 pm ET

Otto Wallin at Anthony Joshua
Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, SA

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Here come the big boppers, and perhaps the big bets.

High-profile heavyweight boxing, featuring past or current champions in bettable matchups, sparks gambling interest this weekend.

Two fights on one Saturday card — for which promoters hope to match the winners in a 2024 battle — unfold from Saudi Arabia. It is available on ESPN+ PPV and DAZN PPV.

Former two-time champion Anthony Joshua is favored by -450 at FanDuel over Otto Wallin at +310.

Former champion Deontay Wilder is a lopsided -800 over Joseph Parker at +480.

A tentative super-fight between Wilder and Joshua has been rumored for March 9 in Saudi Arabia. Promoters hope this showcase — dubbed “The Day of Reckoning” — whets that appetite for worldwide boxing fans.

Gamblers can view the rivalry in two ways. One, focus on Saturday’s card. Two, handicap Wilder and Joshua should they soon meet.

Here’s a look at Anthony Joshua vs Otto Wallin odds, props, and predictions.

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Joshua-Wallin & Wilder-Parker Betting Overview

At one of the top sports betting apps, early FanDuel postings suggest the Joshua fight will go long, perhaps the full 12-round distance, and that the Wilder fight will end in a stoppage.

Joshua-Wallin is -164 to go the distance, and +128 to end inside of 12.

Wilder-Parker is -430 to end inside the distance, and +290 to reach the final bell.

The question for bettors: Where is the money?

Backers for Joshua, 26-3 with 23 knockouts, eye lucrative stoppage actions, hoping their fighter can be the first to ever knock Wallin out. They have further options regarding methods of victory and the hope that Joshua’s moneyline odds drop below -300.

During interviews with Gaming Today, many oddsmakers have identified -300 as the cutoff where chalk players will still support a strong favorite. Anything north of that usually prompts a switch to prop wagering.

Wallin, 26-1 with 14 knockouts, will be value-laden all the way. Even those who believe he can’t win may involve Wallin for distance props because his fights go long. He has won six consecutive fights.

Wilder is a question of when, not if, the big bomb goes off. He is 43-2-1 with 42 knockouts. Bettors thus face unattractive odds of -430 that the fight won’t go the distance or -330 that Wilder wins by KO/TKO at FanDuel.

Parker, 33-3 with 23 knockouts, is the former WBO heavyweight champion. He won the belt by defeating Andy Ruiz Jr. in 2016. He made two successful defenses until losing the belt to Joshua in 2018.

Joshua-Wallin Betting Considerations

After the moneyline, here is the second wagering level for Joshua-Wallin, considered the more competitive of the two fights.

Joshua Victory Methods

  • Points: +124
  • KO/TKO: +188

Wallin Victory Methods

  • Points: +490
  • KO/TKO: +880

A draw is +1800.

Third Level: Knockouts for Dollars

Gamblers who think this ends inside the 12-round distance have some razzle-dazzle considerations.

Boxing’s greatest gambling advance is the incorporation of group rounds betting on knockouts.

It is nearly impossible to nail an exact knockout round.

Some exact knockout rounds for Joshua are +6500 for Round 1 and +1700 for Round 8, for instance. But bettors are stabbing, perhaps going for a first-round knockout for a fresh, strong fighter or a final-round KO in a perceived attrition battle.

Group betting gives gamblers some breathing room and a couple of ways to utilize the wagering board.

Joshua-Wallin Prop Betting Overview for Stoppage

Joshua to win by KO/TKO is +188.

Joshua Group Rounds Payouts

  • 1-3: +1900
  • 4-6: + 1000
  • 7-9: + 600
  • 10-12: +850

Wallin Group Rounds Payouts

  • 1-3: +6000
  • 4-6: +4200
  • 7-9: +2700
  • 10-12: +3400

Wallin is such a longshot to win by stoppage that if you are inclined to seek a knockout group-rounds wager, why not put something on each one?

Variations on This Theme

Some bettors may take one straight KO/TKO wager and then a pop on only one of three round groups. This is a more finely-honed approach with a definite angle on when a stoppage may happen.

The beauty of all group rounds bets is that they give the gambler nine minutes to work with rather than three for the fighter to secure a stoppage.

Wilder Group Rounds Payouts

Many bettors will forego -330 on a Wilder knockout. They may try to nail a group betting rounds knockout.

  • 1-3: + 500
  • 4-6: +240
  • 7-9: +280
  • 10-12: +800

Short prices mean bettors must be specific about when Wilder wins.

Want to get creative? Here are some interesting considerations to be able to make a Wilder bet:

  • Wilder wins and Round 7 starts: +105
  • Wilder wins and Round 9 starts: +240
  • Wilder wins and Round 11 starts: +450

For Those Who Like a Longshot Parker KO:

  • 1-3: +6500
  • 4-6: +4300
  • 7-9: +3200
  • 10-12: +4300

A Deeper Look at the Fighters

Otto Wallin

His general talent level has only reached the continental championship stage. He has not been able to beat the elite but can be a thorn in their side.

Wallin did not beat Tyson Fury in 2019 but did open a nasty gash above Fury’s right eye in the third round with a left hand.

That affected Fury’s vision the rest of the fight and issued a gut check to Fury.

A ringside doctor observed the cut in the sixth round. The doctor could have determined the cut was too severe and the fight would have been stopped with Walin winning as a +1000 dog.

But Fury rallied and won a lopsided decision.

One fight earlier, Wallin clashed heads with Nick Kisner. The collision caused such a nasty cut to Kisner that the fight was called a no-contest.

Wallin is not a big puncher, but his size and southpaw style against right-handed fighters causes the head-butt possibility.

Anthony Joshua

He was acclaimed much in the manner of British superstar heavyweight Lennox Lewis when he attained the heavyweight title.

It fell to pieces in 2019 when he suffered a massive upset against +2500 (25-1) underdog Andy Ruiz. Despite dropping Ruiz in the third round, Joshua was stopped in the 7th and a delirious pro-Joshua sellout crowd at Madison Square Garden in New York went deafeningly silent. It was one of the biggest upsets in boxing history.

Joshua avenged the loss by decisioning Ruiz in a rematch but has since lost twice to Oleksandr Usyk, one of the sport’s top performers.

Deontay Wilder

Wilder hasn’t fought in more than a year. His last appearance came in Oct. 2022.

Joseph Parker

Parker has won all three of his 2023 bouts. His problem is that of being a moderate puncher facing a tremendous offensive fighter.

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About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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