Week 10 of the NFL season finishes with an AFC showdown as the Buffalo Bills host the Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football. Here, we will break down our favorite Monday Night Football touchdown scorer props, giving one pick from each team.
The Broncos started the season horribly, losing five of its first six games. However, Denver has back-to-back wins over Green Bay and Kansas City entering tonight, and the offense is finally starting to look better under Russell Wilson.
Meanwhile, Buffalo continues to be the most confusing team ever. The offense is excellent, they have a top-tier quarterback in Josh Allen, and the defense is elite when healthy. The problem is, it is not translating to wins, and the feeling around Bills Mafia is that the Super Bowl contention window only lasted the 13 seconds they were ahead of the Chiefs in that crazy 2021 AFC Divisional game.
Anyway, here are our best Broncos vs. Bills MNF anytime touchdown scorer picks.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds
Here, we have included the best available anytime touchdown scorer betting odds for Broncos vs. Bills from some of our favorite sports betting apps.
The Broncos’ offense has been very good recently, and the Wilson-Sutton combination plays a significant role in that. These two have hooked up for a touchdown in three straight games and six of his last eight games. In the matchups when Sutton scores, Denver averages just under 20 points per game, but those numbers are skewed from some abysmal performances to start the year.
Let’s not be confused: this is still not a great offense. Wilson is much better than last season, but he is averaging under seven yards per attempt for the first time in his career, and there is almost no threat of a run game.
Luckily, that helps us with our Sutton anytime TD scorer prop. With the Bills’ disastrous injury situation on defense, especially in the backfield, Denver could put up some big numbers through the air. Buffalo will be without Micah Hyde and Christian Benford tonight, which adds to a long list of secondary injuries, including Kaiir Elam and Tre’Davious White, who are both on the IR.
Even when healthy, Buffalo’s once top-rated pass defense has started to regress. On the season, the Bills rank 19th in yards per pass (6.6), 26th in opponents’ completion percentage (68%), and 28th in DVOA against WR1s.
Still, the Bills are the better team on both sides of the ball in this game. If they control this matchup, Denver will keep the ball in Wilson’s hands, and it is pretty clear that Sutton is his favorite target.
He may turn the ball over a comical amount, but Allen is still one of the best players in the NFL. He is completing 71.3, which leads the league, and has 18 passing touchdowns. However, what really sets him apart is his ability to run the ball.
Allen is not very fast, but he is a mammoth of a human and is hard to bring down. In his 5.5 years in the NFL, Allen has 44 rushing touchdowns, which ranks eighth in the NFL since his debut in 2018. This season, he is not running nearly as much, as Allen only has 44 attempts and is averaging 25 yards per game, which is well below his career average.
However, he has six rushing touchdowns, including at least one in six of his last seven games. Tonight, he will go up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. While they have done a good job at limiting big run plays by opposing quarterbacks, there have not been a lot of designed runs against this team because there simply is no need to.
Outside of the last few weeks, Denver’s defense was beaten so severely, so early, that all the opposition had to do was hand the ball off and bleed the clock. Despite the recent uptick in production, the Broncos’ defense ranks last in scoring (28.3), yards per game (405.9), yards per play (6.3), rushing yards per play (5.4), passing yards per play (7.6), and completion percentage (73%).
Undoubtedly, the Bills will be able to move the ball on this team. Denver also struggles to limit third down and red zone conversations, and as long as that trend continues, the Bills should be in the red zone plenty of times for Allen to have a shot at rushing one in and cashing a touchdown scorer prop.
Monday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Parlay Odds
If you are following our Monday Night Football anytime touchdown scorer picks, you can parlay them for a much bigger payout. The odds for each touchdown prop will differ depending on the sportsbook you use. However, with two plus-money player props, you should get an excellent number to bet on, no matter what.
At FanDuel, you can parlay Sutton (+210) and Allen (+105) to score a touchdown tonight, and you will be given +479 odds. This means that a $100 bettor would be up $479 if both players cash a touchdown scorer prop.