Week 12 of the NFL season is here. Although this is one of the shortest Sunday slates of the season, there are still plenty of games for bettors to find winners from, including the best Week 12 NFL anytime touchdown scorer props.
Four games have already been played this week, three on Thanksgiving and one on Friday for the NFL’s Black Friday matchup. That leaves us with 11 games on Sunday, which is not many, but there are some great matchups, which should make for an awesome NFL Sunday.
Here, we will give out our best touchdown prop bets from some of our top-rated sports betting apps for each slate of games (afternoon, evening, and Sunday night).
Let’s look at our three favorite NFL anytime touchdown scorer picks for Week 12.
It is pretty clear that Ezekiel Elliott‘s time as a lead-back in this game is past him. Although he is not getting as many touches in New England as he would with Dallas, his yards per carry is down to 3.8, which is tied for the lowest in his career.
However, Elliott is still getting 15+ touches per game, and he has 14 carries in the red zone, which is just three fewer than starting running back Rhamondre Stevenson. The Patriots getting to the red zone is a rarity, as they have the worst offense in the league. Luckily, they are going up against an equally inept Giants defense.
New York’s defense ranks 29th in yards per play, 25th in yards per pass, and 30th in yards per rush, and they allow over three touchdowns per game. While they do a decent enough job getting off the field on third downs, they have not been able to stop anything in the red zone, ranking 25th in opponents’ red zone touchdown rate.
The problem is that New England just cannot move the ball, especially through the air. After a solid rookie season, quarterback Mac Jones has fallen off a cliff. He is not accurate, doesn’t have that big of an arm, and has made some flat-out awful throws.
Even though the season stats do not look pretty, the Patriots actually have a decent run-blocking offensive line. For this game, look for New England to keep the ball on the ground and try to punish one of the worst run defenses in the NFL.
Elliott and Stevenson will share touches as always, but as we have seen through the season, head coach Bill Belichick is not afraid to give Elliott touches in the red zone.
Seemingly overnight, the Denver Broncos have become a really good football team. They have won four straight games, including wins over Kansas City, Minnesota, and Buffalo. The defense is playing much better, and Russell Wilson, while not fully back, is playing his best football since early 2021.
However, they still play in a bunch of close games. During the four-game winning streak, they have an average margin of victory of five, and you could argue that there are multiple times they should have lost, but the other team shot itself in the foot, allowing Denver to snag a win.
Even though they took down the Chiefs during this run, the Cleveland Browns are simply a team you cannot make mistakes against. The defense is the best in the NFL, they have a very good skill room, and even with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback, I expect Cleveland to be able to move the ball downfield.
Thompson-Robinson has not looked great in his two starts this season, but he came alive during the game-winning drive against Pittsburgh last week, which should give him some confidence. We can ignore his first start, but we shouldn’t overlook how much he loves throwing to David Njoku.
While he is not being used as a downfield threat as much, Njoku is still getting plenty of targets and is catching 4.5 passes per game, which is a career-high. With Thompson-Robinson taking the snaps, Njoku will get plenty of chances to score.
Last week, Njoku had 15 targets, and he caught seven for 56 yards. Earlier in the season, Njoku had seven targets and six catches against Baltimore, which was Thompson-Robinson’s first start and also the first game Njoku played since burning half his face off.
Even with Denver playing much better football, they still have trouble getting off the field on third downs. They also rank last in yards per play and allow 7.4 yards per pass.
Doesn’t life just feel so much better when you have a good Sunday Night Football matchup?
Ravens vs. Chargers is the perfect way to wrap up NFL Sunday, and it should be a very entertaining game. Baltimore currently holds the best record in the AFC, but a brutal end of the schedule starts in Los Angeles against the Chargers.
The Chargers are not a good team, but they certainly require a little effort to put away. Offensively, they can keep up with anyone. However, the defense is among the worst in the NFL, especially against the pass.
They rank 20th in yards per pass and 26th in opponents’ completion percentage, and without Joey Bosa, the pass rush offers very little. Expect the Ravens to come out throwing early, which plays very well for Zay Flowers‘ touchdown scorer odds.
The rookie out of Boston College has been fantastic in his rookie season. Through 11 games, Flowers has 72 targets, 588 yards, and 53 receptions. While he only has one touchdown, he still is getting the ball thrown his way a lot, and this is the worst pass defense he will face all season.
Baltimore’s defense is elite, and they do not throw the ball often, so we may have a smaller window for Flowers to score. But the Chargers have scored 28.6 points per game at home this season, which tells me this should be a back-and-forth matchup. That should bring more passing opportunities for Baltimore, which puts Flowers in an excellent spot to score a touchdown.
NFL Anytime Touchdown Parlay Odds
If you follow our NFL anytime touchdown parlay picks for Week 12, you can put them in a parlay for a bigger payout. The odds for each leg will differ depending on the sportsbook you choose, but with three plus-value anytime touchdown picks, you should get a good number no matter what.