Week 16 of the NFL season features a loaded slate of games starting on Thursday and ending on Christmas night. For Sunday’s slate, the primetime Sunday Night Football matchup features the Denver Broncos hosting the New England Patriots. If you are looking to place a bet on SNF, check out our two favorite Sunday Night Football anytime TD scorer props.
The New England Patriots are an absolute train wreck right now. They have lost six of their last seven games, and it feels like they haven’t even begun the complete ‘blow it up’ process. On the other side, Denver started the season poorly but is now just two games back of the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West, and is in a decent spot to secure a Wild Card berth.
Oddsmakers list Denver as a point favorite, with the total sitting at . The people in the know expect a low-scoring game, which could make finding a touchdown prop more challenging. Luckily, we have poured through the data and have found the best SNF anytime touchdown scorer picks.
Sunday Night Football Touchdown Scorer Odds
Here, we have included the anytime touchdown scorer odds for Patriots vs. Broncos from some of our top-rated sports betting apps.
Patriots vs. Broncos Anytime TD Scorer Props
The Patriots’ offense is an absolute mess. While they have performed slightly better with Bailey Zappe at quarterback, it is still a completely inconsistent unit. However, there may be a path to success for New England.
First of all, they have to limit turnovers. Denver’s defense ranks toward the bottom of the league in most defensive stats, but they have won a lot of games due to positive turnover luck. The Patriots rank 24th in giveaways per game, and Zappe has two interceptions in his last two starts.
However, the Patriots’ woeful offense picked up over 5.5 yards per play against a much better Pittsburgh defense two weeks ago, and they had some early success against Kansas City last week. As long as New England plays smart, they should be able to move the ball downfield.
It also helps that Denver has the worst defense against tight ends this season, which plays well for Hunter Henry to cash an anytime TD scorer prop. Since Zappe took over the reins, Henry has 10 catches for 106 yards and three touchdowns in just two games.
The Broncos’ defense ranks last in touchdowns allowed to tight end (9). They are also in the bottom five in targets (112), receptions (85), and receiving yards (958).
Even though it may be a struggle at times to move the ball, New England ranks 13th in touchdown conversion rate when they get in the red zone, and Henry has the most red zone targets on the team.
Henry is a little banged up as he left last week’s game. However, his anytime TD odds are just too good to pass up. If he does not play, Mike Gesicki is also worth a look here, but our official pick is for Henry to score.
It is pretty clear who Russell Wilson‘s favorite target is.
Over Denver’s last nine games, Courtland Sutton has seven touchdowns on 54 targets. He also leads the team for the entire season in targets (85), receptions (58), yards (770), and touchdowns (10).
Even though Denver plays much better football now, the offense is still very inconsistent. They rank in the league’s bottom half in EPA per play, yards per play, and touchdowns per game. It also does not help that New England’s defense is still one of the best in the league.
Luckily, they do have a weakness. The Patriots have allowed a lot of explosive plays through the air this season, and with a few injuries in the secondary, Sutton could be in for a big night. His last two touchdowns scored this season have each come from 45 yards.
Even if he does not break another big play, New England’s defense will not be fully healthy in the secondary. Denver should be able to move the ball, and when they reach the red zone, Sutton has been Wilson’s favorite target.
Sutton has 17 red zone targets and has caught eight touchdowns, which account for just under 40% of the Broncos red zone touchdowns.
Sunday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Scorer Parlay Odds
If you follow our Patriots vs. Broncos Sunday Night Football anytime TD scorer picks, you can parlay them for a much bigger payout. The odds for each touchdown prop will depend on the sportsbook you use. However, with two plus-money player props, you should get an excellent number to bet on, no matter what.
At FanDuel, you can parlay Henry (+330) and Sutton (+145) to score a touchdown tonight, and you will be given +787 odds. This means that a $100 bettor would be up $787 if both players score a touchdown.
With +787 odds on our SNF anytime TD scorer parlay, we have an implied probability of 11.27% that our parlay will cash. Check out Gaming Today’s implied probability calculator to find the implied probability of any bet.