Argentina vs. France Odds, Props & Picks: Will Lionel Messi Win His First World Cup?

GamingToday.com is an independent sports news and information service. GamingToday.com has partnerships with some of the top legal and licensed sportsbook companies in the US. When you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site, Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook company. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves.

For more information, please read How We Rank Sportsbooks, Privacy Policy, or Contact Us with any concerns you may have.

Gaming Today is licensed and regulated to operate in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, NV, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, & WY.

A tournament many will remember for its memorable upsets will conclude with Lionel Messi and Argentina vs. Kylian Mbappe and France in the 2022 FIFA World Cup Final on Sunday.

Both are among the few countries that have won the World Cup multiple times. Both also entered the tournament among the favorites, then became the clear top contenders after Brazil and England were eliminated in the quarterfinals.

Argentina reached the final with a blowout win over Croatia in the semis after needing PKs to dispatch Netherlands in the quarterfinals. France followed up a tight win over England in the quarters with a 2-0 semifinal win over Morocco.

Here we look at Argentina vs. France odds, props, and picks.

Argentina vs. France Odds: Moneyline & Total for World Cup Clash

Here are the betting lines from top US sportsbooks for Argentina vs. Morocco. The odds are likely to change between now and kickoff, and it’s always advised to weigh the options at various sports betting apps to find the best sportsbook bonuses and prices.

These odds reflect the prices for both sides on the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. DraftKings lists the draw at +210.

Argentina vs France Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Sun (12/18) @ 10:00 am ET

Argentina at France
Lusail Stadium, Lusail, QA

Claim a $1,000 'No Sweat First Bet' at FanDuel

Argentina vs. France Moneyline Odds

The three-way moneyline prices apply only to what the scoreboard reads after 90 minutes of regulation (including stoppage time). That means that if you bet Argentina (or France) to win the World Cup Final in extra time or on PKs, your bet still goes down as a loss since the game was tied at the end of regulation.

If you think it might happen after the match is tied through 90 minutes, take a look at odds to advance. For this match, Argentina is -110 to win the World Cup, while France is -110 on DraftKings. At FanDuel, the prices are Argentina -108 and France -108. Caesars offers Argentina at -125 and France at +100.

Argentina vs. France Total

The total is set at 2.5 goals, with Over priced at +145 and Under priced at -180 on DraftKings.

Argentina vs. France: World Cup History

Argentina famously won the World Cup in both 1978 and 1986. They’ve also finished second twice (1990 and 2014). As you may have heard, a World Cup trophy is about the only award in soccer that has eluded Messi, and that storyline has dominated the last three World Cups for the 35-year-old and Argentina.

France is on a short list of national teams that have won the World Cup twice. Les Bleus raised the trophy as host in 1998 and also won the most recent World Cup, the 2018 edition in Russia. Between their World Cup triumphs in 1998 and 2018, France was eliminated in group play in 2002 and 2010, but finished second in 2006 and reached the quarterfinals in 2014.

France and Argentina have met in the World Cup three times: 2018, 1978, and 1930. Argentina won the matchup in ’30 and ’78 but was eliminated from the World Cup by France in a 4-3 thriller in the round of 16 in Russia four years ago.

Argentina Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Argentina’s World Cup campaign has had its ups and downs, but Messi and Co. enter the final on a roll. They not only defeated a veteran Croatia side that had taken down Brazil but won that match comfortably. Messi was outstanding in the semifinal and Julian Alvarez — who scored twice against Croatia and now has four goals in the World Cup — had another excellent performance.

Roster

Argentina has proven its depth throughout the tournament. Their defense has been impressive — though it did break down in the final minutes against the Netherlands — and Messi has gotten help from several players who are not exactly global superstars. While Alvarez got the most headlines after the win over Croatia, Enzo Fernandez once again stepped up, and it was his perfect pass to Alvarez that set up the first-half penalty kick that Messi buried to make it 1-0.

Argentina vs. France Odds, Props & Picks: Will Lionel Messi Win His First World Cup?
Will Lionel Messi win his first World Cup? Check out our Argentina vs. France odds, props, and picks. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)

Argentina’s underrated defense was also superb against Croatia, which was not only shut out but managed just two shots on goal (despite trailing at least 2-0 for most of the match) and 0.5 xG. Argentina has recorded shutouts in three of five games since their tournament-opening loss to Saudi Arabia, and they kept Netherlands scoreless for more than 80 minutes. Keeper Emiliano Martinez, center backs Nicolas Otamendi and Cristian Romero, and full backs Nicolas Tagliafico and Nahuel Molina will have a tougher task against France, but they have to like their chances based on their current form.

Injuries

Injury-wise (and suspension-wise), Argentina is in better shape now than they have been throughout knockout play. Lionel Scaloni’s side will welcome back Marcos Acuña and Gonzalo Montiel after both missed the Croatia match due to suspension. They also might have veteran winger Angel di Maria, who has only been able to start three matches due to injury. Even if he only plays as a sub, the 34-year-old di Maria could provide a huge lift.

France Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

France dealt with more bad injury luck than anyone before the tournament, but that’s hardly slowed them down. Kylian Mbappe led the way for the French through group play and the round of 16, but France has scored four goals in their last two matches even as their young star has been kept in check.

The French roster has not only star power up top with Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, Ousmane Dembele, and Olivier Giroud, but a solid midfield, back line, and keeper as well. Griezmann has been as valuable as anyone to the French attack, and young French midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni has been a star in the midfield. France has also not allowed a goal in open play in three knockout matches, and they remained stout with starting center back Dayot Upamecano out against Morocco with an illness.

Roster

Plenty has been said about Golden Boot favorite Mbappe (who has scored five goals) and Giroud (four goals), but Griezmann has also been outstanding with a World Cup-high three assists, including two against England.

In the latest example of France’s depth, their goals against Morocco came from left back Theo Hernandez and reserve forward Randal Kolo Muani, who got his spot on the roster when Christopher Nkunku was ruled out with a pre-tournament injury.

Injuries

France has not suffered any major injuries since Lucas Hernandez tore his ACL early in Les Bleus’ tournament opener, but they’re fighting a virus in their camp that sidelined starting midfielder Adrien Rabiot and Upamecano against Morocco. Reports now indicate they may be without Ibrahima Konate against Argentina. Konate started in place of Upamecano against Morocco. Both Rabiot and Upamecano are expected to recover from their illness by Sunday’s match, though.

There is also an outside chance that Karim Benzema (who has missed the tournament due to injury but is reportedly now fit after returning to training) will join the team for the final, but that seems unlikely.

Argentina vs. France Props

Below is a sampling of props for Argentina vs. France.

Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):

  • Lionel Messi: +175
  • Kylian Mbappe: +210
  • Julian Alvarez, Olivier Giroud: +310
  • Antoine Griezmann: +440

Correct Score (DraftKings):

  • Argentina 1-0: +500
  • Argentina 2-0: +1100
  • Argentina 2-1: +800
  • France 1-0: +475
  • France 2-0: +1100
  • France 2-1: +750
  • 0-0: +600
  • 1-1: +380

Total Goal Props (DraftKings):

  • Over 0.5 goals -1200, Under 0.5 goals: +700
  • Over 1.5 goals -215, Under 1.5 goals: +170
  • Over 2.5 goals +145, Under 2.5 goals: -180
  • Over 3.5 goals +380, Under 3.5 goals: -525

Argentina vs. France Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

  • Date/Time: Sunday, Dec. 18, 10 a.m. ET
  • Location: Lusail Stadium

Watch this match at one of the following:

  • FOX
  • Fox Sports App
  • Peacock
  • Telemundo

Argentina vs. France Prediction: Argentina 2, France 1

Argentina is under more pressure than France given all the weight on Messi’s shoulders, but this team has looked incredible and confident in back-to-back matches (though Argentina did almost wilt under a late surge by the Netherlands in the quarterfinals).

France, too, has an incredible roster from Mbappe to keeper Hugo Lloris and all the stars in between. This will be by far France’s toughest test besides their matchup against England in the quarterfinals. Ultimately, in a game that oddsmakers understandably view as a coin flip, I like Messi and Argentina’s vibes — and I expect the Argentine midfield to have another massive performance — to prevail in a low-scoring, hard-fought battle against Mbappe and France.

Here are two bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:

  • Argentina to win in 90 minutes (+180)
  • Argentina win and Under 3.5 (+195)

Read more: Croatia vs. Morocco odds and prediction

About the Author
Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett has been a sportswriter since joining the student newspaper at his alma mater, NC State, back in 2008. He's covered sports and sports business for a number of newspapers and websites, including the Denver Broncos, Charlotte Observer, High Press Soccer and Sports Business Journal, where he currently works full-time.

Get connected with us on Social Media