Argentina vs. Netherlands Odds, Props & Picks: Lionel Messi Faces Tough Quarterfinal Foe

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While France-England on Saturday afternoon stands out to most fans as the highlight of the 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals, Friday’s clash between Argentina and the Netherlands also pits two of the biggest soccer countries in the world against each other.

For Argentina, the spotlight has been trained on Lionel Messi for years. This year’s team, however, might have more to complement its star than any previous iteration, which could make the difference.

The Netherlands have relied on their world-class back line to prevent opponents from creating quality opportunities. They’ve also been clinical with the chances they’ve had on the counter. That formula has proven effective so far, as they’ve allowed just two goals in four matches in Qatar.

The Netherlands are underdogs in this matchup, but oddsmakers give them a legit chance at an upset—hey are +135 to advance on DraftKings, which prices Argentina at -160 to go through.

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Here we look at odds, props, and predictions for Argentina vs. Netherlands in the quarterfinals at the Qatar 2022 FIFA World Cup.

Argentina vs. Netherlands Odds: Moneyline & Total for World Cup Clash

Here are the betting lines from top US sportsbooks for Argentina vs. Netherlands. The odds are likely to change between now and kickoff, and it’s always advised to weigh the options at various sports betting apps to find the best sportsbook bonuses and prices.

These odds reflect the prices for both sides on the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. DraftKings lists the draw at +220.

Argentina vs Netherlands Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Fri (12/9) @ 2:00 pm ET

Argentina at Netherlands
Lusail Stadium, Lusail, QA

Claim a $1,000 'No Sweat First Bet' at FanDuel

Argentina vs. Netherlands Moneyline Odds

The three-way moneyline prices apply only to what the scoreboard reads after 90 minutes of regulation (including stoppage time). That means that if you bet Argentina (or Netherlands) to win, and they advance in overtime or on PKs, your bet still goes down as a loss since the game was tied at the end of regulation.

If you think one side will advance to the next round, but think it might happen after the match is tied through 90 minutes, take a look at odds to advance. For this match, Argentina is -160 to advance, while Netherlands are +135 on DraftKings. At FanDuel, the “to advance” prices are Argentina -184 and Netherlands +150. BetRivers offers Argentina at -167 and Netherlands at +140.

Argentina vs. Netherlands Total

The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over priced at +145 on DraftKings, while the Under is -180. It’s hard to imagine more than two goals being scored in this match, but at -180, the Under is not a great price. Consider this a good time to stay away from Over/Under bets.

Argentina vs. Netherlands: World Cup History

Argentina famously won the World Cup in both 1978 and 1986. They’ve also finished second twice (1990 and 2014). As you may have heard, a World Cup trophy is about the only award in soccer that has eluded Messi, and that storyline has dominated the last three World Cups for the 35-year-old and Argentina.

While the Dutch have never won the World Cup, they have reached the final—only to finish as runner-up—three times. They lost to Spain in the 2010 World Cup final, and they lost in the final in 1978 and 1974 as well. Their other best results include finishing in third place in 2014 and finishing fourth in 1998.

Argentina have faced the Netherlands five previous times in the World Cup, most recently in a memorable semifinal matchup in 2014, which Argentina won on PKs. These two countries also met in the final in 1978, with host Argentina winning the match 3-1 to secure their first World Cup trophy. The other meetings between Argentina and the Netherlands took place in 1974, 1998, and 2006.

Argentina Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

While Messi is his team’s unquestioned leader and catalyst, Argentina have enjoyed more success under Manager Lionel Scaloni than previous managers because they haven’t forced Messi to do everything. Argentina won last year’s Copa America by giving up just one goal in their quarterfinal, semifinal and final, combined.

The Argentine defense has also been stout in Qatar (besides the opener, when it was stunned by two goals from heavy underdog Saudi Arabia). Since then, though, Argentina beat both Mexico and Poland 2-0 in group play, then held Australia scoreless in the round of 16 until an own goal by Enzo Fernandez in the 77th minute. Over the last 270 minutes (not counting stoppage time), Argentina have surrendered just one goal on only 1.2 xGA.

Roster

Besides Messi, who has scored three of his team’s seven goals in Qatar, the stars for Argentina have been Julian Alvarez (two goals) and Fernandez, while Alexis Mac Allister has also provided a spark from the midfield.

Argentina’s deep, underrated back line is led by center backs Cristian Romero and Nicolas Otamendia, while Lisandro Martinez, Marcos Acuña, Nahuel Molina, and Nicolas Tagliafico have all stepped up when called upon.

In addition to Alvarez, Fernandez, and Mac Allister, Argentina rely on Rodrigo de Paul and Angel di Maria to hold down the midfield and create opportunities for Messi.

Injuries

Both de Paul and di Maria are question marks for the Netherlands match. Di Maria missed the Australia game, and it is unclear whether he will be fit on Friday. The loss of either player – or both – would be a big blow.

Netherlands Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

After advancing through Group A with two wins and a draw, Netherlands controlled their Round of 16 battle with USA, going up 2-0 just before halftime. Statistically, the Netherlands have been less than dominant. They have, however, had a two-goal lead in crunch time of three of their four matches so far.

Against the USA, the Netherlands appeared content to cede possession, but they did not waste their opportunities on the counter. Right wing back Denzel Dumfries assisted each of his team’s first two goals and provided the goal himself on the clincher that made it 3-1 in the 81st.

Roster

The Dutch boast an impressive 12 (!) players with a transfer market value of at least 20 million euros, according to transfermarkt.us.

With Virgil van Dijk, Nathan Ake, and Jurrien Timber on the back line and a solid midfield led by Frenkie de Jong, Davy Klaassen, and Denzel Dumfries, the Netherlands have a solid mix of experience and young talent supporting star forwards Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay.

Injuries

Netherlands do not have any major injury concerns.

Argentina vs. Netherlands Props

Below is a sampling of props for Argentina vs. Netherlands.

Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):

  • Lionel Messi: +170
  • Memphis Depay: +270
  • Lautaro Martinez: +280
  • Julian Alvarez: +300
  • Cody Gakpo: +400
  • Steven Bergwijn: +450

Correct Score (DraftKings):

  • Argentina 1-0: +550
  • Argentina 2-0: +950
  • Argentina 2-1: +900
  • Netherlands 1-0: +800
  • Netherlands 2-0: +1900
  • Netherlands 2-1: +1200
  • 0-0: +800
  • 1-1: +500

Total Goal Props (DraftKings):

  • Over 0.5 goals -1200, Under 0.5 goals: +700
  • Over 1.5 goals -220, Under 1.5 goals: +170
  • Over 2.5 goals +145, Under 2.5 goals: -180
  • Over 3.5 goals +380, Under 3.5 goals: -525

Argentina vs. Netherlands Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

  • Date/Time: Friday, Dec. 9, 2 p.m. ET
  • Location: Lusail Stadium

Watch this match at one of the following:

  • FOX
  • Fox Sports App
  • Peacock
  • Telemundo

Argentina vs. Netherlands Prediction: Argentina 1, Netherlands 1 (Argentina go through on PKs)

This is arguably the toughest game of the quarterfinals to predict. Somehow, in four games, Netherlands have never looked totally dominant, but they’ve not been up against the ropes, either. Argentina will provide a different test, but the Dutch should be able to limit Messi and the Argentine attack.

With the stakes particularly high (even for a World Cup quarterfinal) for both Messi and 71-year-old Netherlands Manager Louis van Gaal, both teams will have answers for whatever the opposition throws at them. This one has the makings of another massive Argentina-Netherlands clash (just like the 2014 World Cup semifinal) that is decided on PKs, with Argentina (once again) narrowly avoiding elimination.

Here are two bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:

  • Double Chance – Netherlands or Tie (-135)
  • Both Teams To Score – Yes (+100)

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About the Author
Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett has been a sportswriter since joining the student newspaper at his alma mater, NC State, back in 2008. He's covered sports and sports business for a number of newspapers and websites, including the Denver Broncos, Charlotte Observer, High Press Soccer and Sports Business Journal, where he currently works full-time.

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