It was just 11 days ago that Justin Verlander lost at Baltimore as a then season-high -470 favorite, but he took it up a notch higher at home against the Tigers on Wednesday losing 2-1 as a -600 favorite. The Astros have now lost his last three starts and if betting him in all three of those games, you’re down -1,250 units.
The Astros were home favorites ranging from a high of -600 at MGM properties to as low as -500 at Wynn Resorts and the reason for the low number at Wynn was because they got Tigers action.
It was a substantial loss for the Wynn sportsbook. But when giving +400 to the type of whales playing in the casino at Wynn, it’s understandable the loss could pile up quickly.
The last-place Tigers have baseball’s worst record (38-86) and came into the game losing eight of their last 10, including their last three. Their play has been so bad this season that the Circa sportsbook posted a prop on whether or not the Astros would seep the series with No the -160 favorite and Yes +140. The favorite got there.
William Hill’s Nick Bogdanovich runs the largest conglomerate of books in the nation and reported “a small win, nothing major.”
However, up north at the Atlantis book in Reno, director Marc Nelson was extremely happy with the result.
“We won a big bet at -450 on the first five innings. Every bet parlay dies to the full game,” he said.
Westgate SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay said, “it was a really good win, solid for a baseball game.”
The first-place Astros (81-47) had won three straight coming into the game with after losing five straight. Wednesday’s loss was their first loss in six games against the Tigers this season.
The Astros were -30000 to win the series (now 2-1 Astros) at Circa and Thursday’s finale will feature Gerrit Cole back in the rotation for the Astros as a chunky -550 favorite (Westgate) against Jordan Zimmermann. The lowest overnight price in town was Circa at -470. In all my years of booking and betting on baseball, I’ve never seen a four-game series loaded with such high prices in each game.
But what we learned Wednesday night is that any MLB team can win on any given night.