The biggest match in La Liga this weekend pits Madrid rivals Atletico and Real Madrid on Sunday at Atleti’s Civitas Metropolitano Stadium.
In Gaming Today’s breakdown of Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid predictions, odds, and props, we analyze the battle between first-place Real Madrid and an Atleti side coming off an embarrassing 3-0 loss to Valencia last weekend.
Betting Odds for Sunday’s Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Match
Here are Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid betting lines available on top sports betting apps. The odds here reflect the three-way moneyline, where a bet on either team to win is a loss if the game is tied after 90 minutes. Atleti is a slight underdog at against road favorites Real Madrid (). The draw is currently set at .
Atletico Madrid Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Atletico Madrid have been one of the most unpredictable teams in Europe through four La Liga matches. Diego Simeone’s squad has enjoyed two blowout wins (3-1 over Granada and 7-0 over Rayo Vallecano), and they also have a 0-0 draw against Real Betis and a 3-0 loss to Valencia. In their most recent match, Atleti nearly got an away win at Lazio in the Champions League, but a goal by Lazio’s keeper (yes, their keeper) in the 95th minute forced the La Liga side to settle for a disappointing 1-1 draw.
Atleti got off to a slow start to the season in La Liga last year but were the best team in Spain after the World Cup break. Simeone and Co. went 16-5-3 in 24 games after returning from the Qatar World Cup, which allowed the team to nearly finish in second place despite a record of 7-3-4 in 14 pre-World Cup games.
Atletico entered this season with high hopes thanks to the strong finish last year, and a 3-1 win in Granada on Matchday 1 seemed to indicate that they could challenge reigning champion Barcelona and Real Madrid for the league title. But the surprising 3-0 loss to Valencia raised a ton of red flags, and with just seven points through four matches, Atleti are already behind in the title race.
La Liga futures prices reflect as much: Atleti are to win the league, well behind favorites Real Madrid () and Barcelona ().
Atletico Madrid are missing key midfielder Koke due to a knee injury he suffered in August.
Real Madrid Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
A quick glance at the standings shows that Real Madrid have gotten off to a perfect start in La Liga. Los Blancos are 5-0-0 and in sole possession of first place, after all. But while the on-field results have been everything Madridistas have hoped for, the season outlook has changed following injuries to several key players. In the first few weeks of this season, the club lost both keeper Thibaut Courtois and center back Eder Militao to long-term knee injuries. Real Madrid are also dealing with injuries to Vinicius and Arda Guler, but those players are expected to return later this month.
Carlo Ancelotti’s side is coming off a second-place finish behind Barcelona in ’22-23, and the loss of Karim Benzema to Saudi club Al-Ittihad left a huge hole up top. Even as Vinicius has emerged as a star over the last couple of seasons, losing Benzema, who had carried RM’s attack since Cristiano Ronaldo left the club in 2018, represented a massive blow.
Star midfielder Jude Bellingham, who joined the club from Borussia Dortmund this summer, has immediately become a first-choice starter in the midfield, and he’s shown an incredible knack for scoring timely goals. After scoring just 12 goals in three full seasons with Dortmund, the 20-year-old midfielder has found the back of the net five times in five La Liga starts, and he added another game-winner in his team’s Champions League match against Union Berlin on Wednesday.
Bellingham’s five La Liga goals have included two late game-winners: an 81st-minute strike vs. Celta Vigo and his team’s winner in the 95th vs. Getafe. No marquee signing at any team in Europe has made such an immediate impact in recent memory.
As mentioned above, Real Madrid are missing Courtois and Militao long-term, and it’s unclear whether they’ll have Vinicius this weekend.
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Props
Below is a sampling of betting props for Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid:
Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):
- Alvaro Morata: +180
- Memphis Depay: +195
- Rodrygo, Joselu: +210
- Vinicius, Antoine Griezmann: +220
- Jude Bellingham: +260
Correct Score (FanDuel):
- Atletico Madrid 1-0: +800
- Atletico Madrid 2-0: +1300
- Atletico Madrid 2-1: +950
- Real Madrid 1-0: +800
- Real Madrid 2-0: +1200
- Real Madrid 2-1: +900
- 0-0: +850
- 1-1: +550
Total Goal Props (FanDuel):
- Over 0.5 goals -1450, Under 0.5 goals: +890
- Over 1.5 goals -310, Under 1.5 goals: +240
- Over 2.5 goals +104, Under 2.5 goals: -126
- Over 3.5 goals +270, Under 3.5 goals: -350
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction: Atletico Madrid 1, Real Madrid 1
This is a tough match to predict. Real Madrid have rarely been dominant, but they’ve found a way to win one game after another, even without Courtois, who played a huge role in many of the team’s closest wins in recent years. With Vinicius missing time and the team sorely missing Benzema, the surprising offensive contributions from Bellingham have given Los Blancos a huge boost. It feels like they’re due for a letdown, or at least a draw, though, given they’ve won two games in which they trailed late in the past few weeks.
Atleti need to bounce back from the blowout loss to Valencia last weekend and the frustrating midweek draw in the Champions League, and it’s easy to see them playing well enough at home to take a point on Sunday. In three meetings between these teams last year (two in La Liga and the quarterfinals of the Copa del Rey), Atleti came away with two losses and a draw, another reason to expect an inspired effort this weekend.
Here are a few bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:
- Draw (+225)
- Atletico Madrid Draw No Bet (+100)
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Broadcast Info: Where to Watch
- Date/Time: Sunday, September 24, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Civitas Metropolitano Stadium
Watch this match at one of the following:
- DirecTV Stream