Australian Open Betting: Odds, Predictions for Novak Djokovic vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas in Men’s Final

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Novak Djokovic is going for his 10th Australian Open title Saturday night, squaring off against Stefanos Tsitsipas for the crown. The Serbian already holds the record for the most Australian Open titles, with 21 men’s titles. One more Grand Slam title and he’ll tie Rafael Nadal for the all-time record. Australian Open odds favor him to do just that.

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2023 Australian Open Odds: Djokovic Has Owned Past Matchups

Djokovic and Tsitsipas have met on the court 12 times thus far. Djokovic holds the lifetime advantage, 10 to 2, but the last time they played a Grand Slam match — the 2021 French Open finals — it was hardly an easy win.

Djokovic would be crowned the winner at the 2021 French Open, but Tsitsipas got out to a fast start in the finals. The Greek won the first set in a tiebreak and took the second 6-2 before Djokovic stormed back to win the next three sets.

Tsitsipas vs. Djokovic Over/Under

The last time these two met in the Grand Slam finals the match went to five sets. Tsitsipas has continued to grow as a player and should be able to push Djokovic once again. The courts in Melbourne may be where Djokovic performs best, but the over — set in the high 30s — should be attainable if Tsitsipas can steal a set.

Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas Betting Odds, History, and Stats

Novak Djokovic, Australian Open odds
Novak Djokovic celebrates after defeating Tommy Paul in their semifinal at the Australian Open championship in Melbourne, Australia, on Jan. 27. (AP Photo/Aaron Favila)

The Joker is a heavy favorite to win the Australian Open. The moneyline, around -500, is really only viable as a parlay leg. The Djokovic game spread is 5.5 and his set spread is a juiced -1.5.

To bet Djokovic to win in straight sets (3-0), you can get it at plus money with most Sportsbooks. There was a tiebreak the last time these two met in a final. Over 0.5 tiebreaks is being offered by Sportsbooks at odds of around -150.

Djokovic Odds to Win Australian Open

It wasn’t surprising that Djokovic was one of the favorites to win the Aussie Open before the tournament started. Djokovic had won three straight, from 2019-2021, but was unable to compete last year due to his vaccination status. Rafael Nadal won last year’s title and Djokovic looks to reclaim his crown.

Djokovic has cruised through the early rounds of the Australian Open. He knocked out American Tommy Paul in the semis, winning 7-5, 6-1, and 6-2. He’s beaten nearly each of his opponents in straight sets – Enzo Couacaud was the only one to take him to four. Djokovic eliminated Carballes Baena, Dimitrov, De Minaur, and Rublev throughout the tournament.

Djokovic Betting Stats, Trends

Another Grand Slam title will truly cement Djokovic as one of the greatest tennis players of all time. Tying Nadal’s 22 titles puts the Serbian in a prime position to potentially shatter the record — Djokovic likely has several years ahead of him to accumulate more titles.

  • 1053-209 career record
  • 92 total titles
  • 21 Grand Slam titles
  • 9 Australian Open titles
  • 76% first-serve win against Tsitsipas

Tsitsipas Odds to Win Australian Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas has yet to win a Grand Slam title, reaching the finals once – the 2021 French Open against Djokovic. The 24-year-old has still seen success on the circuit, however, winning at both Monte Carlo and Mallorca last year. Tsitsipas is an underdog to the tournament favorite with a moneyline nearly four to one. You can bet Tsitsipas to win in five rounds at +1100 odds.

Tsitsipas had a couple of close calls on his route to the finals, narrowly beating Karen Khachanov in a semi-finals match that required two tiebreaks. To reach the finals, he also eliminated Leheka (straight sets), Sinner (five sets), Fuscovics (five), Hijikata (straight), and Halys (straight).

Tsitsipas Betting Stats, Trends

Tsitsipas turned pro in 2016 and has won nine titles but has yet to win his first Grand Slam title. The fourth-ranked player will look to avenge his French Open defeat to Djokovic.

  • 225-121 career record
  • 9 titles
  • 80 aces against Djokovic
  • Tsitsipas’ two wins over Djokovic have both come on hard surfaces
About the Author
Ken Bates

Ken Bates

Writer
Ken Bates is a sports betting writer at Gaming Today. With years of experience in the industry, he’s covered several sports and is always on the lookout for an angle to bet. Bates resides in upstate New York and, as difficult as it may sometimes be, roots for the Jets, Mets, and Islanders.

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