With no late-night bail-out special from Oahu this weekend, many bettors figure to use this ESPN game to get even after a rough day or double-up that stack of profits. Here, a look at Baylor vs. BYU odds and offer a pick in the inter-conference clash.
We have one model that pegs the total points here at 69. Of all the Weeks 0, 1, and 2 games, this is the one we circled three times, then administered a highlighter to it in mid-summer to ensure we blanket it with cash.
Baylor vs. BYU Betting Lines: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline
Here are live odds from around the betting market as the No. 9 Bears visit the No. 21 Cougars in Provo, Utah.
NCAAF · Sat (9/10) @ 10:25pm ET
|LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Utah|
Baylor zapped the minnow Albany last week, 69-10, rushing for more yards (205) than it accumulated through the air (196).
Qualan Jones (one TD), Craig Williams (a TD), Richard Reese (two scores), and Taye McWilliams provided the bulk of the rushing attack, while 5-9, 165-pound receiver Monaray Baldwin hit pay dirt once on the ground and once through the air, racking up 130 total yards.
Blake Shapen, the 6-foot sophomore quarterback, had a TD on the ground, too. He has only a handful of starts, so the raucous environment of nearly 64,000 fans in Provo might be unnerving.
He did go 23-for-28 for 180 yards, three TDs, and no picks in the Big 12 title game — a 21-16 victory over Oklahoma State, inside the neutral AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
That avenged an earlier defeat to the Cowboys before 52,144 inside Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater.
Last season in Waco, No. 21 Baylor beat 19th-ranked BYU, 38-24. Jaren Hall, the Cougars’ signal-caller, ran one in from 56 yards out and capped the scoring in the final two minutes with a 16-yard TD strike to Puka Nacua.
Gerry Bohannon started for the Bears. And as kids are so wont to do these days, when Shapen beat him out for the starter’s gig in fall camp, Bohannon hit the portal. He landed at South Florida, going 17-for-30 for no TDs and having one picked off in the drubbing to BYU last weekend.
This might enter the dangerous road territory of West Virginia in 2018 when the Bears got belted, 58-14. A few weeks earlier, Baylor got blasted, 66-33, in Oklahoma. The previous season, TCU at home smacked Baylor, 45-22, and the year the Bears went to Oklahoma State and got clobbered, 59-16.
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In their last four games of 2021, the Cougars averaged 48.5 points. In 2020, BYU averaged 41.5 points, ninth best in college football. In ’19, it averaged nearly 43 points in a four-game stretch.
The Cougars have had a top-20 offense in total yards the past two seasons, which was 23rd in 2019.
Should quarterback Hall, a 6-foot-1 junior, continue at this pace, he might threaten to snatch the program’s fourth spot in career passing yards from a guy named McMahon.
The Cougars collect yards (8.3 per play, fourth-best in college pigskin) and points by the scores with an array of talent and tricks, or did you miss how they punched it in early last Saturday at South Florida?
On a jet-sweep dash from the right side, receiver Puka Nacua — an all-Independent first teamer last season — took an inside handoff from Hall, cut an early corner on the left side, and zipped 75 yards to the end zone. The game was barely 11 seconds old, and BYU had its longest TD run in two seasons.
On Twitter, he calls himself “AsapPuka,” and that aptly describes that first score in South Florida. Older brothers Kai, Isaiah, and Samson all played for BYU.
Puka added another one — a shorty, midway through the first quarter — and the Cougars routed the Bulls, 50-21. He’s No. 12. Every viewer and all 11 defenders had best keep tabs on him late Saturday in Provo.
Hall went 25-for-32 for 261 yards, two TDs, an interception, and a fumble in South Florida. Nine different receivers had at least 19 yards worth of receptions.
Keanu Hall nabbed one pass for a 21-yard touchdown. Tight end Dallin Hall caught three for 39 yards and a score. Christopher Brooks ran 13 times for 135 yards, including a 52-yard TD. Lopini Katoa had 55 yards on 10 rushes.
In his seventh season, we applaud coach Kalani Sitake, the former BYU fullback who has recorded only one losing campaign and is 3-2 in bowl games. His teams are 11-3 as an away dog, which might come into play next week at Oregon.
We do not expect the Cougars to be looking ahead to that one, not with such an élite foe like Baylor visiting Provo.
Baylor vs. BYU Sports Betting Recommendation & Pick
We favor a combination of factors fueling an entertaining, high-scoring game in Provo, including a bit of revenge the Cougars have from last season’s game at McLane Stadium in Waco.
Lately under boss Kalani Sitake, when BYU scores a bundle, it comes back with a bundle the very next week. The Cougars skedded that odd one in South Florida and held no prisoners in a wipeout season opener.
Now, they’re back on familiar natural terrain in the shadows of the Wasatch Mountains. Phil Steele rates both offensive lines among the country’s top dozen units, so expect those bulldozers to allow an abundance of time for their quarterbacks, keying plenty of points for both sides.
Our Pick: Over 53.5