The Baylor Bears look to stay undefeated in conference play on Wednesday night when they take on the Kansas State Wildcats in Manhattan, Kansas at 8 p.m. Eastern on ESPN+. No. 9 Baylor is off to a 3-0 start in the Big 12, while Kansas State is 2-1 in the league after last Saturday’s 60-59 loss on the road against Texas Tech.
Baylor’s tough early-season schedule included matchups against No. 13 Auburn and No. 7 Duke, and the Bears entered Big 12 play among the favorites () to win the toughest league in the country. Eight Big 12 teams are currently ranked in the AP Top 25, including three — No. 3 Kansas, No. 5 Houston, and No. Baylor — in the top 10.
Kansas State is considered a longshot to win the league at , but the Wildcats impressed with comfortable wins over Central Florida and West Virginia in their first two Big 12 games of the season.
Below is everything you need to know about Tuesday’s game, including our Baylor vs Kansas State betting pick.
Here are our Baylor vs Kansas State odds, picks, and predictions.
Baylor vs Kansas State Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under
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Baylor Bears (14-2, 10-4-1 ATS)
The key to Baylor’s success to date this season has been its balance and depth. Freshman guard Ja’Kobe Walter has lived up to the hype and averages a team-best 15.3 points per game, but he’s just one of four players averaging at least 10 points per game, and two other Baylor players (Yves Missi and Jayden Nunn) average just under double figures.
The fact that opponents can’t just focus on one player for coach Scott Drew’s team has been a big reason why Baylor has been one of the highest-scoring teams in the country at 86 points per game. The Bears are also fourth in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency, per KenPom. Of Baylor’s top six rotation players, everyone shoots the ball well from outside (Walter, Rayj Dennis, Langston Love, Jalen Bridges, and Nunn are all shooting 37% or better from downtown). The one exception is 6-foot-10 Missi, who has not attempted a 3-pointer this season.
Kansas State Wildcats (12-4, 9-7 ATS)
K-State entered this season coming off a memorable NCAA Tournament run to the Elite Eight. The Wildcats lost Markquis Nowell, who led the way in March, and most of the top players from last year’s team, but did return starter Camryn Carter. Between Carter and portal additions Tylor Perry, who won Conference USA Player of the Year while playing for North Texas last season, and talented former Creighton wing Arthur Kaluma, Kansas State remains potent despite all the turnover from last year’s roster.
Carter, Perry, and Kaluma all average around 15 points per game or better, and the Wildcats’ two bigs, William McNair and David N’Guessan, round out the rotation. The Wildcats lost to USC, Miami, and Nebraska outside of Big 12 play, and they’re coming off their first conference loss of the season, to Texas Tech last Saturday.
Baylor vs Kansas State Odds and Prediction: Bears to Survive Tough Road Battle
Baylor has a tough test on the road in Manhattan, but this team’s experience and versatility should be enough for a close win. Four of the top six players in the Bears’ rotation are juniors or seniors, and that experience will likely make the difference on Tuesday night. Drew’s team has several players capable of carrying the load offensively if one or two of their top options are having an off night, while the Wildcats cannot afford a quiet performance from Carter, Kaluma, or Perry.
Kansas State is solid enough defensively — and on the boards — to keep this one close, but Baylor is the play at nearly even money in this matchup.
Pick: Baylor moneyline (-105 at time of publishing)
How To Watch Baylor vs Kansas State
- Date: Tuesday, Jan. 16, 2023
- Tipoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Bramlage Coliseum — Manhattan, Kansas
- Where to Watch: ESPN+