Belmont Stakes Best Bets & Predictions: Vegas Expert Circles Angel of Empire, Tapit Trice

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As we approach the last leg of the 2023 Triple Crown, Saturday’s Belmont Stakes looks like the best betting race of the bunch.

There will be no Triple Crown winner for the fifth consecutive year, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be any drama.

We’re happy to have Circa horse racing oddsmaker Paul Zilm along for the ride to help offer up Belmont Stakes best bets and predictions.

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Belmont Morning-Line Odds 2023

Here are Belmont Stakes morning-line odds with posts, jockeys, and trainers for all nine horses.

Post PositionTrainerJockeyMorning Line Odds
1 Tapit ShoesBrad CoxJose Ortiz20-1
2 Tapit TriceTodd PletcherLuis Saez3-1
3 ArcangeloJena AntonucciJavier Castellano8-1
4 National TreasureBob BaffertJohn Velazquez5-1
5 Il Miracolo Antonio Sano Marcos Meneses30-1
6 ForteTodd PletcherIrad Ortiz Jr.5-2
7 Hit ShowBrad CoxManny Franco10-1
8 Angel of EmpireBrad CoxFlavien Prat7-2
9 Red Route One Steve AsmussenJoel Rosario15-1

More from Belmont: 2023 Belmont post position draw & field | 2023 Belmont Stakes odds

Belmont Stakes Top Contenders

Forte, Tapit Trice, Angel of Empire, and National Treasure lead the way on the morning line. National Treasure didn’t compete in the Kentucky Derby, due to trainer Bob Baffert’s suspension from Churchill Downs, but he came back to win the Preakness in fine fashion.

“The betting should be distributed pretty good to ensure we won’t have a real short price,” Zilm said of the Belmont Stakes. “I think the top three of Forte, Tapit Trice, and Angel of Empire are solid, and when the Preakness winner is the fourth choice on the morning line, I think that’s a great sign we should have a good betting race.”

Angel of Empire factors into our Belmont Stakes best bets and predictions.
Angel of Empire trains ahead of the 2023 Belmont Stakes at Belmont Park. (AP Photo/John Minchillo)
The Belmont’s grueling 1 1/2-mile distance is always a wildcard in the final leg of the Triple Crown. Will National Treasure attempt to set the pace again as he did in the Preakness?

“I don’t see a wicked hot pace here, and I do think National Treasure may get out on the lead and get comfortable again, just like he did in the Preakness,” Zilm said. “The difference being in this race, I feel the quality of horses are better, and that extra distance may do more favors to the off-the-pace horses than for him.”

Look for a Longer Shot in Belmont Stakes?

Like a lot of horse bettors, Zilm typically looks for more value with mid-range prices and even longshots when circumstances dictate. But his outlook for the 2023 Belmont Stakes doesn’t make that an easy task.

“It might be hard to find a price horse in this race,” he said. “Arcangelo will get some attention because of his win over this track a month ago, but he would have to be higher than 12-1 or 15-1 for me to get real interested. Hit Show and Red Route One both have shown ability to come off the pace, but are they good enough? I don’t think they are.”

Tapit Shoes (20-1) and Il Miracolo (30-1) are the longest shots in the morning-line odds, and Zilm thinks they are priced accordingly.

“May need chaos for either of them to be there in the end,” he said.

Best Bets & Predictions for Belmont Stakes 2023

In the final analysis for Belmont Stakes best bets and predictions, Zilm favors Angel of Empire and Tapit Trice over Forte and National Treasure. In their last starts, Angel of Empire finished third and Tapit Trice came home seventh in the Kentucky Derby.

“Both ran respectable in the Derby and the five weeks off should mean they are fresh and ready to go,” Zilm said. “If Forte is 100% healthy, obviously you can’t discount what he’s done to this point. I lean Angel of Empire and Tapit Trice over the other two.”

Bet it here: Claim Your $20 ‘No Sweat Belmont Bet’ at FanDuel Racing

How to Watch 2023 Belmont Stakes

Date: Saturday, June 10, 2023
Post Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
Location: Belmont Park, Elmont, NY
TV: FOX

About the Author
Kris Johnson

Kris Johnson

Senior Writer
Kris Johnson is a senior writer at Gaming Today with more than 15 years of experience as a sports journalist. Johnson's work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, NASCAR Illustrated, and other publications. He also authored a sports betting novel titled The Endgame.

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