Betting on the Belmont Stakes is heating up, and We The People remains the favorite for Saturday’s final leg of the Triple Crown.
We The People opened at +200 on the morning line, and his odds had lengthened to +240 at Circa Sports as of Friday morning.
Longshot Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike headlines the eight-horse field, but he won’t provide nearly as much value with another victory. He opened +350 on the morning line. Circa had him at +460 as of Friday, a far cry from the +8000 (or 80-1) odds he scored at in the Kentucky Derby.
2022 Belmont Stakes Field: Post Positions, Jockeys, Trainers, Circa Odds
Here is the field for Saturday’s race. Post time is 6:44 ET.
|1||We The People||Flavien Prat||Rodolphe Brisset||+240|
|2||Skippylongstocking||Manuel Franco||Saffie Joseph Jr.||+2000|
|3||Nest||Jose Ortiz||Todd Pletcher||+850|
|4||Rich Strike||Sonny Leon||Eric Reed||+460|
|5||Creative Minister||Brian Hernandez Jr.||Kenny McPeek||+740|
|6||Mo Donegal||Irad Ortiz Jr.||Todd Pletcher||+260|
|7||Golden Glider||Dylan Davis||Mark Casse||+2680|
|8||Barber Road||Joel Rosario||John Ortiz||+1000|
Veteran oddsmaker Paul Zilm, who handles horse racing odds for Circa in Las Vegas, didn’t see any surprises coming out of Tuesday’s post position draw.
“A pretty straightforward draw and race,” Zilm said in a text to Gaming Today. “Not the most exciting Belmont we have had, but not a bad betting race either.”
We The People won the Peter Pan Stakes his last time out on May 14 at Belmont Park. He’s got three wins in four career starts for trainer Rodolphe Brisset. We The People represents the lone speed in the race, which is not expected to have the same frenetic pace as the Kentucky Derby. It should more resemble the Preakness Stakes, which was won by Early Voting last month at Pimlico Race Course.
Other Top Belmont Contenders To Watch
Mo Donegal is another horse to watch in Saturday’s “Test of the Champion” at Belmont Park. The race is contested over 1.5 miles, making it the longest of the Triple Crown events. Mo Donegal, who is well bred for the distance, won the Wood Memorial Stakes prior to his fifth-place finish in the Kentucky Derby.
As for Rich Strike, he comes into the Belmont Stakes after skipping the Preakness. Trainer Eric Reed made the decision to focus his colt’s training on the Belmont, much to the chagrin of some horse racing fans. That decision meant the industry would not have a Triple Crown champion for the fourth straight year. Justify was the last Triple Crown winner in 2018.
The Kentucky Derby’s blistering pace — created by Summer Is Tomorrow and Crown Pride dueling on the front end — allowed Rich Strike to track down the leaders after a magnificent ride by jockey Sonny Leon. The problem for Rich Strike in the Belmont? We The People is the only speed horse in the race, and he will have the ability to dictate the pace without being pressed on the front end by another contender.
New shooter Nest, the lone filly in this year’s Belmont Stakes, is coming off a runner-up finish to Secret Oath in the Kentucky Oaks last month. Trained by Todd Pletcher, Nest will have jockey Jose Ortiz aboard at odds of +850. Secret Oath took a shot against the boys in the Preakness and never challenged for the win before finishing fourth.
Weather Or Not?
The latest installment of the Belmont Stakes could be contested on a wet track. The Weather Channel’s forecast earlier this week called for clouds early with showers developing later in the day. The chance of rain was 40%, but the updated forecast now has only a 13% chance. We The People won the Peter Pan Stakes over a wet track, so rain could also help the betting favorite’s cause in the Belmont Stakes.
Belmont Stakes Betting Analysis
We’re fading Rich Strike due to the pace considerations. Mo Donegal is our pick to win. He ran a game race in the Kentucky Derby, where he closed from 19th place to finish fifth. If he runs that performance back in the Belmont, it should be enough to beat this field.
Predicted Order of Finish:
Mo Donegal (win)
We The People (place)
Barber Road (show)