We all know how the last contest between the Cincinnati Bengals (13-4 straight up, 12-6 against the spread) and Buffalo Bills (13-3 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) finished – or didn’t finish. Although we didn’t get to watch the rest of that game play out, we’re blessed to now watch these two teams face off again in the playoffs.
The two teams bring a lot of star power and long winning streaks to the table, giving bettors an exciting chance to cash some Bengals vs. Bills player props and anytime touchdown scorer bets.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills Divisional Odds
The Bills (between -240 and -265 on the moneyline as of Saturday afternoon) are 5.5- to 6-point home favorites against the Bengals. Bettors can grab the underdog with odds ranging from +200 to +216.
This is just the third game all season in which the Bengals are underdogs, but don’t count them out. They went 2-0 ATS in the first two contests, while also going 7-2 ATS on the road. The Chiefs, meanwhile, went 3-5 ATS at home and 5-9-1 ATS as the favorite.
The betting public is following these trends, because Cincinnati has received 59% of moneyline tickets and 71% of spread tickets at DraftKings.
The Over/Under total for this matchup is set between 48.5 and 49.5 points on legal US sports betting apps — the second-highest of any Divisional Round contest.
Player Props, TD Scorer Bets for CIN-BUF AFC Divisional
Joe Burrow Over 276.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel) | Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-125, FanDuel)
It’s a shame we didn’t get to watch Joe Burrow play a full game against the Bills in Week 17, but in the 3:21 that the Bengals offense was on the field for, Burrow looked very comfortable. He completed all four of his passes for 52 yards and one touchdown.
Cincinnati still feels they got screwed out of a better seed as a result of its Week 17 meeting getting canceled, and Burrow will surely play with a chip on his shoulder.
He finished with the second most passing scores this past regular season (35), and tossed for multiple touchdowns in 11 of his 16 regular season games. He also threw for the fifth most yards (279.7 per game) in the league.
NFL props betting bonus: Bet 5, Get $150 at FanDuel
Dawson Knox Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-110, BetMGM)
The theme with Dawson Knox is that he starts the season spectacularly before breaking out down the stretch. He’s reached the end zone in each of his last five appearances after doing so just twice through his first 11 games.
As enticing as his anytime touchdown price is, we’re going to go a different direction because the Bengals forbid tight end scoring. We’re focusing on his 35.5 receiving yards prop total, which he’s topped in three of his last five games.
Cincinnati allows the eight most catches to players at the positions (5.1 per game), and just gave up 73 yards to Mark Andrews in the Wild-Card Round.
Ja’Marr Chase Over 83.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel) | Anytime TD Scorer (+125, DraftKings & FanDuel)
We’re going all in on Ja’Marr Chase. Oddsmakers are expecting the Bengals to trail on Sunday, as indicated by the point spread, and what better way to play catch-up than by targeting your most electric skill position player?
Chase scored in five of his last seven appearances, averaging over 100 yards per game over that span. In his most recent sighting, he notched eight catches for 86 yards and a touchdown. The plus-money odds alone should be enough to entice you into backing him to score.