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This week’s Thursday Night Football game pits the 3-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers against the 4-3 Buffalo Bills. Ahead of the matchup, bettors can get in on an excellent TNF promo from BetMGM Sportsbook, one of the top sports betting apps we recommend.
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BetMGM Buccaneers vs. Bills odds
Here are the latest odds for Week 8’s Thursday Night game between the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Thursday Night Football preview: Buccaneers at Bills
Despite these teams having similar records, sportsbooks — BetMGM included — heavily favor the Buffalo Bills. The juggernaut team led by QB Josh Allen returns home after a surprising 4-point loss to the New England Patriots in Week 7. It’s tempting to view that loss as an anomaly, but the Bills suffered a similar loss to the Jaguars two weeks prior.
Still, it’s hard to bet against the Bills, even in the face of some jaw-dropping missteps for the capable team. During the Bills’ loss to New England, Josh Allen nearly matched Mac Jones’ numbers, throwing for 265 yards to Jones’s 272. Both QBs threw two touchdowns, but Allen’s interception spelled doom for the Bills.
Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been holding their own with Baker Mayfield behind center, to a degree. Last week’s loss to the Falcons saw Atlanta’s Desmond Ridder statistically outplayed by Mayfield, who threw for 275 yards and one touchdown.
No matter how you shake things out, the Bills have a distinct advantage here. Josh Allen has a complete arsenal of rushing threats and pass catchers, with James Cook, Stefon Diggs, and Dalton Kincaid on the field. The Bills moneyline naturally carries no value here.
I actually like the Buccaneers’ point spread (+8.5 at the time of writing). Buffalo has blown out a few teams this season, including a 37-3 trouncing of the Commanders and a 38-10 victory over the Raiders. But the flip side of that coin is Buffalo’s struggles with teams undeniably worse on paper.
Losses to the Jets, Jags, and Patriots make this game distantly winnable for the Bucs. And even if they can’t pull it out, the spread gives them more than a touchdown of insurance.