NFL · Sun (12/5) @ 4:05pm ET
|Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, Nevada|
Washington Football Team (5-6, 4-7 ATS) at Las Vegas Raiders (6-5, 5-6 ATS)
Time: 4:05 p.m. EST
FanDuel Line: Raiders -1.5 (49.5)
The skinny: Washington will be looking to earn its fourth consecutive victory as an underdog when it makes its first journey to Las Vegas.
Facts: Only four weeks ago, WFT was all but left for dead in the NFC playoff race before its sudden surge, which has it in the third wild-card slot despite a losing record. Vegas, on the other hand, has a winning mark but is just outside of the current post-season mix.
The Raiders have a significant scheduling edge after beating the host Cowboys on Thanksgiving and then enjoying a long weekend break. WFT, meanwhile, is coming off a home MNF win over Seattle, and now has to travel cross-country on short rest and short prep time.
Washington had possession for 41 minutes, 40 seconds in its 17-15 home win last week, with the Seahawks at 18:20. That’s the biggest margin in a regulation game this year.
Analysis: A weakness for Washington is its 31st-ranked defensive passer rating that now will be going against a QB, Derek Carr, who has more completions of 20-plus yards than any other passer in the league.
Last week, in the team’s 36-33 win over Dallas, WRs Hunter Renfrow and veteran newcomer DeSean Jackson both had 100-yard days.
And this can’t be good for the visitors: Washington is now down to its fourth-string center as well as its fourth place-kicker after Joey Slye went on IR (hamstring). Plus, top RB Antonio Gibson (questionable) is nursing a shin injury.
WFT at Raiders Pick
Raiders 30, WFT 18
The line opened at 13.5 but has dipped slightly, but Jags fans can still get 13 on some sites.
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9, 3-8 ATS) at L.A. Rams (7-4, 4-7 ATS)
Time: 4:05 p.m. EST
PointsBet Line: Rams by 12.5 (47.5)
The skinny: The playoff-contending Rams will aim to snap a three-game losing streak when Jacksonville makes its second trip to the West Coast this season.
Facts: Five weeks ago, when the Jags made their previous cross-country journey, they were 31-7 losers in Seattle, their most lopsided loss of the season.
Twice this year the Rams have been a heavier favorite, winning both times as a 16.5-point pick (vs. Detroit, Houston) but failing to cover. In Week 15 last season, they were a 17-point home choice and lost to the Jets, the biggest upset of the 2020 season.
During LA’s November swoon, QB Matt Stafford threw a pick-six in each of the Rams’ three straight losses, including 36-28 in Green Bay last week. If he throws another one this week he’ll tie then-Houston QB Matt Schaub for the NFL record of four in a row. FYI: The Texans deactivated Schaub their next game.
Analysis: The Rams certainly won’t be taking the struggling Jaguars lightly after what’s transpired the past 12 months when facing heavy underdogs. And they should be able to strike fear of some sort into rookie QB Trevor Lawrence, the league’s 30th-rated passer — just a tick ahead of Carolina’s beleaguered Sam Darnold.
And if Jacksonville opts to test L.A.’s run defense, it will be facing a unit that’s tied for second in the league in allowing only 3.9 yards a carry.
This seems like the week the Rams cover a big spread with Stafford playing less recklessly.
Jaguars at Rams Pick
Rams 34, Jaguars 17
The spread was 3.5 to open but it rose a point on most sites. But some have the number at 4.
Baltimore Ravens (8-3, 5-6 at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1, 4-7 ATS)
Time: 4:25 p.m. EST
PointsBet Line: Ravens -4 (44)
The skinny: The struggling Steelers have the misfortune of trying to end a three-game winless streak on the road against the conference’s top-seeded Ravens.
Facts: The Steelers, 0-2-1 their past three, were 41-10 losers at Cincinnati last week. They hadn’t had a more lopsided defeat since opening the 1989 season with a 51-0 home loss to the original Browns. The next week, they were losers at Cincinnati by the now-familiar score of 41-10.
Even though the Ravens were 16-10 winners over the Browns last Sunday night, it seemed somewhat like a loss considering QB Lamar Jackson threw four INTs. Until that game, no team in the league won a game when throwing only three interceptions.
Analysis: Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has been pretty pedestrian during the team’s three-game winless streak, which included a tie with winless Detroit. He had two INTs and two fumbles against Cincinnati.
Now he’ll be facing a Ravens team that has held three QBs to less than 50% passing the past two weeks, including Chicago’s Justin Fields and backup Andy Dalton two weeks ago in a 16-13 road win, then Baker Mayfield last week.
And then there’s that sagging Steelers defense that’s next to last in giving up a norm of 4.8 yards a rush and will be playing without the league’s second-leading sacker in T.J. Watt (COVID) in addition to two key defensive linemen and a linebacker..
Ravens at Steelers Pick
Ravens 27, Steelers 10
After opening with SF as a 2.5-point favorite, Seahawks fans will be interested to know 3.5 is available on many sites.
San Francisco 49ers (6-5, 5-6 ATS) at Seattle Seahawks (3-8, 5-6 ATS)
Time: 4:25 p.m. EST
BetMGM Line: 49ers -3.5 (45.5)
The skinny: With much of the pizzazz missing from this game thanks to the Seahawks’ free fall, the game was yanked from prime time.
Facts: In Week 4, the Seahawks were 28-21 winners in San Fran as a 2.5-point dog despite being outgained by 223 yards. Seattle has lost its other four games as an underdog this season but has gone 2-2 ATS.
In that previous meeting, starting 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo left with a calf injury and rookie Trey Lance saw his first significant action and threw two TD passes. Jimmy G is back and has SF on a three-game winning streak.
San Francisco will be without WR Deebo Samuel (doubtful, groin), who had 156 receiving yards in that previous meeting. Also missing will be LB Fred Warner, the team’s defensive play-caller. He has a hamstring injury.
Analysis: Seattle QB Russell Wilson has not been the same QB since coming back from surgery on the middle finger of his passing hand. His accuracy has dropped significantly from 68.8% before the injury to 55.7% since.
And don’t count on veteran RB Adrian Peterson to come to the rescue for a banged-up backfield after being signed to the practice squad this week. He had only 82 yards on 27 carries in a three-game stretch for Tennessee in November.
The 49ers and their ground game should dominate against a team that’s had 30 fewer snaps than its foe three times this season, including last Monday’s 17-15 loss in Washington.
49ers at Seahawks Pick
49ers 26, Seahawks 14
Last week: 8-7 ATS, 8-7 SU
Season total: 86-91-3 (.486) ATS; 108-71-1 (.603) SU