Bettors ran out of reliable faves in NFL Week 7

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“All our favorite teams were off this week,” is what multiple bettors across Las Vegas were saying during Week 7 NFL action.

Three undefeated teams had byes, which put bettors in a situation they don’t like to be in. Every week they like the Packers. They also like the Bengals and they’re starting to trust the Broncos defense. But none of those teams were available on Sunday.

The teams they had to choose from were a new breed of favorites like the Falcons at Tennessee. Atlanta had covered four of six games. And there was an old favorite like the Steelers who the public has always loved, but until recently had been skeptical to trust. However, Pittsburgh had gone 9-1-1 ATS in its past 11 games and was using third-string QB Landry Jones.

With not so much one-sided action, and a week that featured only two late games, the books found themselves in a position to fare well and did. It was almost as if the NFL did them a favor in scheduling, but we already know NFL commissioner Roger Goodell doesn’t like Las Vegas – or at least until he can get a piece of the win percentage.

“The public had their sides they did well on, but stumbled a bit with the Colts and Falcons,” said South Point sportsbook director Bert Osborne. “The Titans turned out to be the best game of the day for us while the Falcons still hurt us a little bit with the teasers.”

It’s not hard to understand why there was an allure to Atlanta. The Falcons were almost everyone’s favorite bet of Week 7, or at least the ticket count showed it that way. Titans’ rookie QB Marcus Mariota didn’t play and the line increased from the Westgate’s early -3 up to -6 with backup Zach Mettenberger, but it would take a late rally for the Falcons to win, 10-7.

“The Titans were the biggest game for us from a parlay standpoint,” said Station Casinos sportsbook director Jason McCormick.

Sharp money did well early on with the Rams’ 24-6 win as 6-point favorites and also the Jets covering 9 in a 30-23 loss at New England. The public loved the Rams as well, but they also laid the points with New England negating any momentum they might have had on parlays.

The Jets got a late field goal when down by 10 points which ruined several parlays across town. People love the now 6-0 Patriots too, but a few still got paid on them.

“The teaser and money-line parlays with the Patriots still hurt us,” said McCormick.

Way to go people. You got the double whammy on the books with that one, but still, it wasn’t enough to get the players’ fourth win of the season over the house.

And what got things worse for the public was that there were only two games in the afternoon. Most parlay hopes were dashed when the Raiders spanked the Chargers (-3.5) in San Diego, 37-29, a score that wasn’t nearly as revealing as the true beat down.

“The afternoon turned out to be a wash for us where we won a little with the Raiders and were even with the Giants,” said Osborne. “We got some sharp plays on the Cowboys (+3.5) during the week.”

The Panthers moved to 6-0 as 2.5-point home favorites with their 27-16 Sunday night win against the Eagles and Osborne at the South Point said it was their “best scenario – favorite to UNDER, and killing Philly teasers.”

The big risk was still to come Monday as America’s new team – the Arizona Cardinals – seemed to be on everyone’s parlay ticket laying 9.5-points against the Ravens.

So far this season, Monday nights have been better than usual for the house, but some bookmakers would like to trade result positions from the past.

“I kind of liked last year’s trend better when we’d win on Sundays and lose on Mondays,” MGM Resorts VP of race and sports Jay Rood joked before Week 7’s games began. “Now we’re losing on Sundays and winning small on Mondays.”

Scoreboard reads: Sportsbooks 4, Players 3. Not bad, players. Keep at it!

Big parlay cashes

You gotta love a guy that walks up to the window and confidently asks for an eight-team parlay for $200 and then cashes for the 300-to-1 maximum at $60,000. That’s what happened Friday night at a CG Technology book when he correctly picked four NHL games, three college football side/totals and the Royals in Game 6 of the ALCS. Well done, cheers!

Best Super Bowl odds

If you’re looking for the best future prices in town to win the Super Bowl, you should head over to the South Point where Osborne is offering an almost unheard of 25 percent theoretic hold percentage for the simple pleasure of enticing your dollar.

When each of the teams kick off, Osborne cuts the odds in half, but for six days you get the best of the city. While there may be better prices available at other places based on the risk, none offers 25 percent hold, which includes outstanding future book places like Westgate and William Hill.

Micah Roberts is a former Las Vegas race and sports book director, one of The Linemakers on SportingNews.com , and longtime motorsports columnist and sports analyst at GamingToday. Twitter: @MicahRoberts7 Email: [email protected].

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