Big 12 Championship Game Betting Odds And Pick: Back Baylor As Dog Vs. Oklahoma State

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Baylor Bears running back Abram Smith (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)

A college football team from Oklahoma is favored to win the Big 12 Championship on Saturday afternoon at AT&T Stadium, but not the one fans are accustomed to seeing. After beating the Oklahoma Sooners in the 116th edition of the Bedlam Series last weekend, the Oklahoma State Cowboys earned the right to play the Baylor Bears for the Big 12 title.

The Cowboys were 4-point favorites when they beat the Bears at home earlier in the season, 24-14. For Saturday’s title game, they opened as high as 6.5-point favorites at Caesars, but the spread ranges from -5.5 (BetMGM and Caesars) down to -4.5 points (BetRivers and FanDuel) as of Tuesday morning.

BAYL Baylor vs OKST Oklahoma State Odds NCAAF Odds

NCAAF · Sat (12/4) @ 12:00pm ET

BAYL Baylor at OKST Oklahoma State
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

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Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-1 SU, 9-2-1 ATS)

Like most Big 12 teams, Oklahoma State usually has a high-flying offense powered by an excellent passing game but struggles on the defensive side of the ball. But that is not the case this year.

The offense is still a respectable one that averages around 400 total yards and 32 points per game. The offensive line has done a great job protecting Spencer Sanders (second in sacks allowed in the Big 12) but allows too many plays in the backfield (seventh in tackles for a loss).

Sanders has become a solid dual-threat quarterback. However, while the offense has played well, the defense has led the way.

Oklahoma State’s D ranks first in the Big 12 in many statistical categories, including rush defense, passing yards allowed, scoring defense, sacks, and tackles for a loss. Teams are averaging just 281.4 yards and 16.4 points per game this season.

When the Cowboys played Baylor earlier in the season, the defense held the Bears to 280 total yards and 14 points. But the Baylor defense is no joke, either. So, the question for the Cowboys going into the Big 12 Championship is the same as when these teams met in October:

Will the offense be able to move the ball?

Big 12 Championship Game Full Sportsbook Odds

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Baylor Bears (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS)

Baylor needed to win last weekend against Texas Tech to keep its Big 12 title game hopes alive, and the difficulty level of the game was ratcheted up a few notches because the Bears did not have their starting quarterback behind center.

Gary Bohannon was out with a hamstring injury he suffered against Kansas State the week before, so the Bears had to go with freshman Blake Sharpen at quarterback. Sharpen had a respectable game in his first career start with 254 yards and two touchdowns.

There is a good chance the Bears may need him to go again if Bohannon is still laid up. According to early reports, Bohannon will be at practice this week, but those reports did not state to what extent he’d be taking part.

The Bears will need a big game out of the offensive line and running game to take pressure off whomever plays quarterback. That will not be easy against Oklahoma State’s defense, of course. But the Bears do have the best run game in the conference. Also, the offensive line has allowed the fewest sacks in the Big 12 this season.

However, when these two teams played during the regular season, the Cowboys recorded three sacks and ten tackles for a loss.

Baylor Vs. Oklahoma State Pick

While Oklahoma State and Baylor both have strong defenses and run games, the uncertainty at quarterback makes it a little harder to get behind the Bears. Sharpen played fine last week against the Red Raiders, but Texas Tech’s defense pales in comparison to Oklahoma State’s.

But with the quality of the roster surrounding the quarterback, Baylor should be fine no matter who they start.

Our Pick: Baylor +5.5 (Caesars)

About the Author

Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, his love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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