It looks like the college football landscape will change again in 2024 when USC and UCLA leave the Pac-12 for the Big Ten. The impact will be massive for both conferences from a competitive standpoint. But what about from a sports betting perspective? How will the move impact the Big Ten odds at sportsbooks?
We’ll have to wait a couple of years to find out, but PointsBet has given us an idea of how Big Ten futures odds would look this season with USC and UCLA in the fold, thanks to a Thursday tweet from the sportsbook.
Register and wager: Get $2,000 Risk-Free at PointsBet with Code BONUSDAY
Hypothetical Big Ten Odds
PointsBet’s hypothetical 2022 Big Ten odds have USC and UCLA factored in with the assumption that the Trojans and Bruins would play a standard nine-game Big 10 schedule.
Hypothetical Big Ten odds:
Ohio State -190
Michigan State +2000
Penn State +2000
— PointsBet Sportsbook (@PointsBetUSA) June 30, 2022
Of course, Ohio State would still be the team to beat, but the Buckeyes’ odds would be slightly longer. That makes sense since Lincoln Riley should turn the Trojans into potential contenders in Year One.
As for USC, assuming Riley can work his magic, the Trojans would be one of the better teams in the Big Ten. These 10-to-1 mock odds imply a 9.09% chance of winning the conference.
Michigan would still be the second-best team in the conference, but with slightly longer odds, moving from +700 to +800.
With USC muscling its way into third on the oddsboard, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Penn State, Iowa, and the rest of the conference would have seen their odds grow longer as well.
As for UCLA, they’d go from being a fringe contender in the Pac-12 (+900; fourth-shortest) to just another team in the Big Ten (+8000).
Don’t Expect Big Changes In Big Ten Right Away
USC and UCLA moving to the Big Ten will impact revenue for both schools. While both are already big-name programs, and neither needs the cache that comes with joining the Big Ten, the Big Ten brings more notoriety than the Pac-12.
But until either school proves it can compete in the Big Ten, don’t expect significant shifts regarding recruiting (yet).
Ohio State will likely still be the team to beat, followed by Michigan and Wisconsin. USC could be right there with the Wolverines and Badgers, but Riley is inheriting a program that needs a lot more work than the Sooners did when he took over at Oklahoma.
As for UCLA, Chip Kelly will probably be gone after the Bruins have another lackluster season this year. Becoming competitive in the Big Ten will be an uphill climb for them.