We are on to the quarterfinals in the Big Ten Tournament, and there is a potential storyline brewing as Ohio State has won its first two games as a 13 seed. A few teams have been eliminated, and your future bets may be dead already, but there is still time to scan the Big Ten tournament odds, picks some winners, and enjoy whats been a highly competitive conference tournament.
Purdue is the favorite at most of the top US mobile sportsbooks, with Indiana, Michigan State, and Maryland rounding out the top picks to win the Big Ten Tournament. Every team from the conference will get a chance to punch its ticket to the March Madness NCAA tournament, but teams like Ohio State have a long way to climb as they round out the bottom of the odds to win the Big Ten.
The best part about the month of March is that all the college basketball games are so unpredictable. Even though there are some clear favorites to win the Big Ten Tournament, many value picks are still out there. Here, we will break down the odds to win the Big Ten Tournament and give our official prediction.
Odds to Win 2023 Big Ten Tournament
Below, we have included the odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, and BetMGM for all teams to win the Big Ten Tournament. With each sportsbook having different odds, it is vital to know each book’s lines and odds, so you are getting the best number.
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Purdue +140 +145 +160 +150
Indiana +450 +430 +500 +400
Michigan State +600 +600 +600 +500
Maryland +700 +750 +800 +750
Northwestern +900 +1000 +1000 +900
Illinois N/A N/A N/A N/A
Iowa N/A N/A N/A N/A
Michigan N/A N/A N/A N/A
Rutgers +1500 +1300 +3000 +1000
Penn State +1300 +1000 +2200 +1200
Wisconsin N/A N/A N/A N/A
Ohio State +1800 +1400 +7500 +1600
Nebraska N/A N/A N/A N/A
Minnesota N/A N/A N/A N/A
Big 10 Tournament Betting Lines
Below, we have included an odds table with up-to-date odds and lines for each game.
Big Ten Tournament Betting Lines
|Wed (12/6) @ 7:00pm ET||Miami (OH)||+21.5 -110||+23.5 -105||–||+19.5 -385||+23.0 -110||+19.5 +136|
|Ohio State||-21.5 -110||-23.5 -125||–||-19.5 +280||-23.0 -110||-19.5 -179|
|Wed (12/6) @ 7:01pm ET||Penn State||+7.5 -110||+3.5 -141||+1.5 +100||+1.5 +100||–||+0.5 -102|
|Maryland||-7.5 -110||-3.5 +110||-1.5 -130||-1.5 -130||–||-0.5 -128|
|Wed (12/6) @ 9:00pm ET||Nebraska||-1.5 -110||+8.5 -135||+8.5 -145||+8.5 +120||-2.0 -110||+9.5 -120|
|Minnesota||+1.5 -110||-8.5 +105||-8.5 +110||-8.5 -149||+2.0 -110||-9.5 -108|
|Thu (12/7) @ 7:30pm ET||Iowa||+7.5 -110||+7.0 -110||+6.5 -105||+7.0 -115||+7.0 -110||+6.5 -110|
|Iowa State||-7.5 -110||-7.0 -110||-6.5 -115||-7.0 -105||-7.0 -110||-6.5 -110|
Betting Favorites to Win Big Ten Tournament
Purdue Boilermakers (+145, FanDuel)
The Boilermakers were an unstoppable force to begin the season and were the No. 1 ranked team in the country for most of the season. However, they have stumbled down the stretch, losing four of its last eight to end the regular season, and they are in danger of falling out of a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
Luckily, they have the most overwhelming player in the country with 7-foot-4 center Zach Edey. The junior was an incredibly raw player last season, but he walked into this season noticeably better, and he is now a walking 20 points and 10+ rebounds per night player. While Purdue is missing the offensive playmaking ability of Jaden Ivey from last season, the guard play from Fletcher Loyer and Braden Smith gives this team some sort of outside threat.
As a team, Purdue ranks 249th in three-point percentage (32.7%) and 224th in made three-pointers per game (6.9). They make up for the lack of an outside scoring threat with its play down low, as they are pulling in 38.7 rebounds per game (11.1 offensive rebounds), and they are getting over 50% of its scoring from two-point field goals.
However, they are also scoring 20.8% of their points from the free throw line, and they are the top-ranked team in which opponents made free throws per game and opponents attempted free throws per game. If they can get Edey going early and score at the free-throw line, Purdue can choke a lot of weak Big Ten teams out and easily win this tournament.
Indiana Hoosiers (+450, DraftKings)
Indiana has been desperate to return to the pinnacle of college basketball, and this team has a real chance. Like most Big Ten teams, they stumbled down the stretch, losing three of its last six. The Hoosiers lost both games to Northwestern this season, meaning the Hoosiers will play as the No. 3 seed, but they also swept Purdue during the regular season.
While they have missed one of its biggest offensive threats in Xavier Johnson for the season, Trayce Jackson-Davis and Jalen Hood-Schifino have picked up the slack. As Jackson-Davis is putting up 20.5 points and 11.0 rebounds per game, Hood-Schifino is scoring 13.4 points per game on 36.3% shooting from deep.
Indiana is a trendy pick to win not only the Big Ten Tournament but the whole thing (+3500 at DraftKings) because they have a dominating inside presence in Jackson-Davis, and they are one of the best shooting teams in the country. As a team, Indiana is ranked eighth in shooting percentage (48.9%), 22nd in three-point shooting percentage (37.6%), 35th in effective field goal percentage (53.9%), and 38th in shooting efficiency (1.138).
Defensively, they are prone to giving up big runs, but they are good at defending the three-point line, giving up only 7.4 made three-pointers per game.
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Best Big Ten Tournament Longshot
The Big Ten Tournament is the perfect conference tournament to look at the long shots. Outside of Purdue to start the season, no team has been overly dominant in conference play, and the top teams are entering the tournament in a bit of a funk.
Michigan Wolverines (Already Eliminated)
Michigan has been one of the premier programs in college basketball over the last decade, and it’s not because they win a bunch of games or are a perennial March Madness team. They win games when it matters, despite how mediocre they have been during the regular season.
The Wolverines are suffering from an incredible roster but a coach that has mismanaged this team every season. With a trio of Hunter Dickinson, Kobe Bufkin, and Jett Howard, this unit can out-talent every team, despite Juwan Howard’s insistence on drawing up poor in-game adjustments.
The problem with Michigan is they break down on defense way too often, and they are not great enough on offense to reliably claw its way back in games. This program has proven time and time again that when the games start to matter, they play to their full potential.
Big Ten Tournament Prediction
As we have said, this is a wide-open conference tournament, and the top seed is not necessarily playing great basketball right now. Purdue has been one of the best teams in college basketball all season, but something changed with the loss to Indiana earlier last month, which has Purdue playing at a .500 level.
According to Joe Lunardi’s ESPN Bracketology, Penn State, Rutgers, Wisconsin, and Michigan are all on the bubble right now, meaning that the level of competition should be as high as ever as teams are looking to add to their resumes before selection Sunday.
Purdue won the regular season title by three games, but with how shaky they have looked to end the regular season, we are hesitant to take them. This is not to say that Purdue is a lousy team, but this could be a conference that sees a lot of upsets and a surprise team that rises from the rubble of what should be a competitive conference tournament.
With Indiana having the scoring threats inside and from deep, we will roll with the Hoosiers as the 2023 Big Ten Tournament Champions.
Our Pick: Indiana (+550, DraftKings)