Bookies Battle, Week 18 Picks: Heavy Underdog Lean As Season Wraps Up is an independent sports news and information service. has partnerships with some of the top legal and licensed sportsbook companies in the US. Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook company when you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves.

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Zach Wilson and the Jets are on a three-game ATS streak heading into Week 18 (Photo by Joshua Sarner/Icon Sportswire)

Underdogs dominate the list of top consensus picks in Week 18 of the Bookies Battle, as contestants are taking the points with five of the six most popular plays in the season’s final week.

In fact, the biggest of all dogs – the Jets – are on a contest-high 80.8% of Week 18 sheets. New York is spotted 17 points at the Buffalo, as contestants scrape a half-point of value from the +16.5 that’s on most oddsboards heading into the weekend. While the Jets are long eliminated from playoff contention, the Bills need a win to secure the AFC East title. New York, though, is on a nice ATS run, looking for its fourth straight cash to close the season.

More than 73% of the field is on the Dolphins, another eliminated AFC East facing a division opponent still in contention. Miami is a 7-point dog at home against the Patriots on Sunday.

Bucs -8 (vs. Panthers) interrupts the trend of underdog picks, garnering 69% of our bookmakers’ plays. Tampa Bay has the NFC South clinched but can move from the No. 3 seed to No. 2 with a win coupled with Rams loss to the 49ers.

Saturday night’s Eagles-Cowboys game has been perhaps the most confounding on the final week’s card, always a tough one to figure out. We’ve seen this point spread range from Dallas -1.5 to -7, and it sits -4 on Friday evening. Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy has said he’ll play his starters, but the betting market seems unconvinced, the line tightening as the week has progressed. About 65% of our contestants are on Eagles +7, taking advantage of what’s on track to be excellent closing-line value.

Here are the top six consensus plays for Week 18 of Bookies Battle, with contest lines compared to market numbers as of Friday.

TeamPercentage of picksContest line
Market line




Admirals 61.5%

Down To The Wire

Heading into the final week of the regular season, Duane Colucci from Rampart Casino has tallied 146 winners, two games ahead of Max Schmerin (Rivers Pittsburgh) in second place.

While Max put together a contest-best 12-3 record in Week 17, Duane picked 10 games correctly to maintain his lead. Nick Smith (Snoqualmie) is now four games behind the leader.

First place in the regular season pays $3,000, $1,000 goes to second, and the top 10 finishers advance to compete in the NFL Playoff portion of our contest, with $1,000 going to the winner.

Art Heun (Gold Strike) is currently 10th in the standings, with three contestants – Brad Carpenter (DraftKings), Brian Hebert (Harrah’s), and John Lindheimer (Harrah’s) – three games back of the final playoff spot.

Check the standings and all the contestants’ Week 18 picks here.

Also read: 2022 NFL MVP OddsSuper Bowl Odds | Week 18 early line moves

About the Author
Marcus DiNitto

Marcus DiNitto

Managing Editor, News
Marcus DiNitto was news managing editor of Gaming Today. In past roles, he has been managing editor at national sports websites SportsBusiness Daily, Sporting News, and The Linemakers, as well as with licensed sportsbook operator USA Sports Gaming. Marcus graduated from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, earned his MBA from the University of North Carolina-Charlotte, and studied sports and entertainment marketing at New York University.

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