Nevada sportsbooks had a fantastic Sunday of Week 10 NFL action with some books having their best day of the season as the favorites were 3-7-1 against the point spread and six of the underdogs winning outright.
“It was our biggest day of the year,” said Caesars Palace sportsbook director Jeff Davis. “Our best games were the Chiefs losing and the Falcons winning.”
Those were two of the three biggest ‘dogs of the day to win outright and the Titans’ 35-32 win against the Chiefs (-5.5) happened to be the biggest win of the day for most sportsbooks. The 1-7 Falcons gave the Saints (-13.5) their second loss of the season in a 26-9 upset at New Orleans that paid +600 on the money line.
“We basically won every game but one,” said Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay. “It was our best Sunday so far this season. The NFL continues to be difficult for players. The Falcons and Titans were our two biggest winners.”
The other big underdog on the day was the Dolphins (+12) winning 16-12 at Indianapolis which paid +450 on the money line at CG Technology books. The Colts were playing with Brian Hoyer at QB. The Dolphins have now won two straight after starting 0-7 and have covered their last five games which coincides with Ryan Fitzpatrick being in the lineup.
“Believe it or not, the public was actually on the Dolphins,” said Stoneback. “Sharp money was on the Colts which was surprising because they rarely lay double-figure spreads in the NFL, and just as rare is the public siding so united with a double-digit underdog.”
But the main story of the day was the Chiefs losing. There was a huge amount of risk built throughout last week with the public knowing Patrick Mahomes would be starting.
“It felt like nine of every 10 tickets written this morning were on the Chiefs,” Kornegay said. “You know, like that last three-hour rush on Sunday before kickoff it seemed like it was on every ticket.”
There weren’t a lot of games the books lost with, but one of them was the Browns.
“The only game we lost on was the Browns because we took some (larger) bets on the Browns at -2.5 and then the last rush of action was on both teams at 3,” Kornegay said.
The Browns won 19-16 causing a lot of books to get sided. But a push is what most bettors were hoping for in many instances where the popular favorites were dying with regularity.
The other game some books did poorly with was the Packers (-5) winning 24-16 against the Panthers. The spread came down to a Packers goal-line stand in the final seconds, inches away from being another great game for the house.
While Chiefs destroyed a huge amount of parlays on the day and the Saints helped kill a bunch of teasers, the final nail in the coffin for bettors was the Steelers’ (+4.5) 17-12 home win against the Rams.
“The Steelers win made up for the afternoon loss with the Packers covering,“ said CG Technology sportsbook director Tony DiTommaso.
If bettors would have had the foresight to bet the Titans (+220), Falcons (+600), and Steelers (+200) in a money-line parlay in Sunday’s Week 10 NFL action in Nevada, a $100 3-team parlay wager would have won $6,620.
After crushing the first 10 games on Sunday, the books found themselves with a chance to give some of the win back with the Cowboys (-3.5) at home against the Vikings. It was all Cowboys action.
”If the Vikings win or cover it’ll be a huge day for us,” Stoneback said before kickoff. “We’ve got a 3-to-1 money disparity on the Cowboys and our ticket counts are 2-to-1 on the Cowboys.”
Of course, the Vikings would win 28-24 to complete an amazing day for the house.
I don’t know how bettors keep coming strong with cash every week after getting pummeled over and over again, but they are persistent and their big Sunday with popular favorites cashing is going to happen like it always does at least twice a year. It’s on to Week 11, so maybe this is the week.
CFP odds shift
Last week, Station Casinos had Joe Burrow 11-to-10 to win the Heisman Trophy. But after LSU won at Alabama, 46-41, with Burrow throwing for 393 yards and three touchdowns, the SuperBook adjusted him to a 1-to-10 favorite. LSU’s last Heisman winner was Billy Cannon in 1959.
MGM Resorts sportsbook director Jeff Stoneback said they won overall Saturday, but lost with the LSU win paying +170 on the money line. He said sharp money had bet LSU down to +5.5, but they got a late $20,000 money-line bet on Alabama to lessen the blow.
The ripple effect of LSU’s huge win over Alabama, snapping an eight-game losing streak against them, was a massive shift in odds to win the College Football Playoff championship game. Ohio State and LSU are now the 2-1 co-favorites with Clemson 7-2, and Alabama bumped up to 6-1. Those are the only four teams with single-digit odds. Georgia is 14-to-1 and 9-0 Minnesota is 80-to-1.
I can’t think of a better final story of the season with Ohio-born Burrow, a transfer from Ohio State, playing the Buckeyes for the National Championship. Or how about Georgia transfer Justin Fields leading Ohio State to a date against Georgia. Or if things get really shook up, how about Jalen Hurts (10-1 to win Heisman) leading Oklahoma (40-1) to a Final Four match against Alabama, his former team.