2022 World Cup favorite Brazil begins knockout play in Qatar with one of the most favorable round of 16 match-ups – at least on paper – of any contender. The Selecao meet South Korea at 2 p.m. ET on Monday afternoon, and for most fans, the biggest question is how Neymar will look. The star winger is expected to return to action for the first time since he injured his ankle in Brazil’s tournament opener against Serbia.
South Korea advanced to knockout play by finishing second in Group H behind Portugal. They entered their final match of group play against Portugal with just one point and quickly fell behind 1-0 in that game. But against a rotated Portugal XI, South Korea equalized in the 27th minute, and Hwang Hee-chan found the stunning game-winner in the 91st to send his team through. South Korea and Uruguay both finished their Group H matches with four points and tied on goal differential, with South Korea advancing thanks to a 4-2 advantage in the next tiebreaker, goals scored (4-to-2).
In Gaming Today’s breakdown of Brazil vs. South Korea odds, props, and predictions, we examine the Round of 16 matchup.
Brazil vs. South Korea Odds: Moneyline, Total for World Cup Clash
Here are the betting lines from top US sportsbooks for Brazil-South Korea. The odds are likely to change between now and kickoff, and it’s always advised to weigh the options at various sports betting apps to find the best sportsbook bonuses and prices.
These odds reflect the prices for both sides on the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. DraftKings lists the draw at +500.
SOCCER · Mon (12/5) @ 2:00 pm ET
|Stadium 974, Doha, QA|
The three-way moneyline prices apply only to what the scoreboard reads after 90 minutes of regulation (including stoppage time). That means that if you bet Brazil (or South Korea) to win, and they do advance in overtime or on PKs, your bet still goes down as a loss since the game was tied at the end of regulation.
If you think one side will advance to the next round, but think it might happen after the match is tied through 90 minutes, take a look at odds to advance. For this match, Brazil are -1200 to advance, while South Korea are +700 on DraftKings. At FanDuel, the “to advance” prices are Brazil -1100 and South Korea +770, while Caesars offers Brazil -1000, South Korea +550.
The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over priced at -135 on DraftKings, while the Under is +110. With three clean sheets in three group stage matches for Brazil – and just four goals scored – the Under offers great value.
Brazil vs. South Korea: World Cup History
Brazil have the richest World Cup history of any country, with five titles. In fact, Brazil are one of just three countries – Italy and Germany, with four apiece, are the other two – with more than two World Cup trophies.
Brazil won their most recent World Cup title in 2002. They have been eliminated after reaching the quarterfinals in three of the last four World Cups, but did advance to the semifinals in 2014. That run, which took place with Brazil serving as host of the tournament, is not well remembered, though, because they were eliminated in a 7-1 loss to eventual champion Germany.
South Korea are one of the strongest sides in Asia. Including this year’s World Cup, they have qualified for the tournament 10 times in a row, dating back to 1986. This year marks the third team South Korea have advanced past the group stage. They finished fourth in 2002, when they served as co-hosts alongside Japan, and they reached the Round of 16 in 2010.
Brazil and South Korea have never met in the World Cup, but they did play a friendly on June 2, which Brazil won 5-1.
Brazil Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Brazil are the consensus favorites to win the World Cup, with sportsbooks currently listing their odds to raise the trophy at +250 or better. They are currently +250 at BetMGM, +245 at BetRivers, and +230 at FanDuel.
While Neymar is the unquestioned star and leader of the team, his side fared well without him in group play. After he suffered an injury late in Brazil’s tournament opener that kept him out of the next two matches, Brazil still won their next match comfortably, beating Switzerland 1-0 while not allowing a shot on target. But with little to play for, a rotated Brazil lineup lost its final match of group play 1-0 when Cameroon scored a surprising late goal.
Neymar and his teammates up top dominate the spotlight for Brazil, but this is a solid roster from front to back, and keeper Alisson has been outstanding so far. Center backs Marquinhos and Thiago Silva anchor the back line, with Danilo, Alex Sandro, Dani Alves, and Eder Militao among a solid group of options at left and right back.
In the midfield, Brazil rely on Casemiro, Fred, and Lucas Paqueta, with Fabinho and Bruno Guimaraes among the top backups.
In addition to Neymar, Brazil’s wealth of attacking threats includes Vinicius, Richarlison, Raphinha, Antony, Gabriel Martinelli, and Gabriel Jesus.
The good news for Brazil is that Neymar is expected to play against South Korea, as is Danilo, who has also been battling an ankle injury. The status of Sandro is unclear.
Even if Neymar and Danilo quickly return to full health, Brazil have been as banged up as any team in Qatar. They have already lost Jesus for the remainder of the tournament due to a knee injury. They will also be without defender Alex Telles, who suffered a knee injury of his own against Cameroon, for the rest of the Cup.
South Korea Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
South Korea surprised fans and bettors by advancing from Group H in second place at the expense of both Uruguay and Ghana. Despite a slow start — they drew their opener against Uruguay 0-0 and lost their second match 3-2 to Ghana — South Korea somehow upset Portugal to reach the Round of 16. South Korea currently have by far the longest odds to win the World Cup of any team that is still alive at +20000.
The best-known player on this roster is Tottenham star forward Son Heung-min. Other recognizable names for South Korea include 26-year-old center back Min-jae Kim of Napoli, Hwang Hee-chan of Premier League side Wolves, and 21-year-old La Liga side Mallorca winger Kang-in Lee.
The biggest concern for South Korea is Min-jae Kim, who is dealing with a calf injury.
Brazil vs. South Korea Props
Below is a sampling of props on England vs. Senegal.
Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):
- Neymar: -105
- Pedro: +100
- Richarlison: +130
- Antony: +175
- Son Heung-min: +500
- Hwang Ui-Jo: +600
Correct Score (DraftKings):
- Brazil 1-0: +600
- Brazil 2-0: +475
- Brazil 2-1: +950
- South Korea 1-0: +2200
- South Korea 2-0: +9000
- South Korea 2-1: +2800
- 0-0: +1600
- 1-1: +1000
Total Goal Props (DraftKings):
- Over 0.5 goals -5000, Under 0.5 goals: +1200
- Over 1.5 goals -475, Under 1.5 goals: +330
- Over 2.5 goals -140, Under 2.5 goals: +110
- Over 3.5 goals +195, Under 3.5 goals: -250
Brazil vs. South Korea Broadcast Info: Where to Watch
- Monday, Dec. 5, 2 p.m. ET
- Stadium 974
- Fox Sports App
Brazil vs. South Korea Prediction: Brazil 2, South Korea 0
The chances Brazil will struggle in a game in which they’re as heavily favored as -1200 to advance (DraftKings) are incredibly remote. South Korea advancing the way they did was one of the biggest surprises — and best stories — of group play, but they are unlikely to test Brazil. Neymar and Co., though, have not blown anyone out, as their highly touted attack is yet to kick into gear. That means the most likely outcome here is a game in which Brazil stifle South Korea, but win by two goals or fewer.
Here are two other bets on DraftKings worth checking out:
- Halftime/Full Time — Brazil/Brazil: -125
- Brazil Win and Under 3.5 (in regulation): -140
Updated prices: Odds to win 2022 World Cup