NFL · Sun (11/28) @ 8:20pm ET
|SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CO|
Cleveland Browns (6-5, 5-6 ATS) at Baltimore Ravens (7-3, 4-6 ATS)
Time: 8:20 p.m.
FanDuel Line: Ravens -3.5 (45.5)
The skinny: Expect the unexpected when the Browns visit Baltimore in this battle between AFC North rivals who will be meeting twice in the next three weeks.
Facts: Cleveland’s past two visits to Baltimore have resulted in stunning results. In Week 4 of 2019, the Browns had one of their most dynamic victories with a 40-25 romp as a 7-point dog. The Ravens went on to close the season with 12 straight wins, going 9-2-1 ATS. Then last year, in the season opener, Baltimore again was a 7-point choice and waxed Cleveland 38-6. It was the Browns’ most lopsided loss since 2015 until its 45-7 beatdown at New England two weeks ago.
The big question this week is the health of Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, who was held out of last week’s 16-13 win at Chicago with a non-COVID-related illness. He reportedly said Wednesday he felt perfect and that there was a “120% chance” that he would play on Sunday. Good thing. Undrafted second-year QB Tyler Huntley did earn a victory in his first career start vs. Chicago, but he got sacked six times, the most against Baltimore this season.
Cleveland QB Baker Mayfield, meanwhile, continues to deal with knee/foot/shoulder issues. He’s also dealing with cranky home fans who booed the offense last week even in victory, a 13-10 win against winless Detroit. The offense has been held to 14 points or less in four of his past five starts.
Analysis: Over the past three weeks, Baltimore has held three enemy QBs to less than a 50 percent completion rate, including Chicago’s Justin Fields and emergency fill-in Andy Dalton last week. Now comes the battered Mayfield, whose two worst games of the season (according to passer rating) came in Weeks 10 and 11. And it won’t help that top receivers Jarvis Landry (knee) and Donovan Peoples-Jones (groin) were slated to skip practice Wednesday. They are both listed as questionable.
Browns RB Nick Chubb, coming off his fourth 100-yard-plus rushing game in five outings, can’t do it all against a defense that has allowed only Minnesota’s Dalvin Cook to eclipse the century mark.
Browns at Ravens Pick
Ravens 26, Browns 14
Last week: 7-8 ATS, 11-4 SU
Season total: 78-84-3 (.481) ATS; 100-64-1 (.610) SU