That ticking clock is getting louder and louder.
There are just two events remaining in the 2022-2023 PGA Tour wraparound season (tick…tick…tick) for players to work their way up far enough on the FedEx Cup rankings (tick…tick…tick) to guarantee they have a spot to play in the 2024 season (tick…tick…tick).
This week’s event, the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, has a couple of big names in the field but for the most part, it’s an event that will let many players — to steal a football metaphor — try to throw a Hail Mary and pick up a victory.
These next two weeks are literally go low or go home for a lot of Tour pros.
A lot of the players teeing it up this week at the Southhampton Golf Club in Bermuda wouldn’t be in this PGA Tour event if the big guns were in the field.
But many of the big names are already celebrating their 2023 successes and looking forward to the holiday season and have the clubs tucked in the closet.
But not all of these 132 players. With the exception of players like Adam Scott, Lucas Glover, Stewart Cink, and a few others, this is one of two events remaining for players to pocket the winner’s share of the $6.5 million purse — $1.17 million.
Oh, and just about as important are the 500 FedEx Cup points and the two-year exemption onto the PGA Tour.
That’s a whole lot of incentives to play well this week.
Let’s see who just might get into the winner’s circle — and maybe for the first time. Here are our Butterfield Bermuda Championship odds and picks.
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Butterfield Bermuda Championship Field: Top Favorites & Best Odds Available
What’s Wrong With This Picture?
Sometimes there are names in a tournament that just don’t make sense.
This week is one of them as Adam Scott, the tournament favorite at +1600 (Best Live Odds: ), is teeing it up in what would normally be his offseason.
We’re going to take a look at him for the simple reason of…well, he’s Adam Scott.
He’s got 14 career PGA Tour wins and four top-10 finishes this season.
He’s down to 45th in the world rankings and only 72nd in the FedEx Cup standings so a win here would solidify his status going forward.
Why he’s in the field is still the big question.
But make no mistake about it: If he’s going to tee it up this week, he’s got winning on his mind.
No Defending Champion This Week
We’re big fans of looking at the defending champ to see if there’s value in backing him to win a second straight title.
The problem is last year’s winner here, Seamus Power, isn’t in the field.
But that doesn’t mean we can’t still look back at last year’s tournament and see plenty of value.
That’s why we’re going to take a hard look at Thomas Detry, at +2000 (Best Live Odds: ) this week, because he will certainly have good vibes coming into this week.
He was solo second here last year and has two other top-10s in this wraparound season.
He’s not in the best of form coming in, but he’s been playing the weekends over the last few events, so his game is trending in the right direction.
His best result in his last few outings was a T-13 at the Open Championship, so he’s proven he can perform on the big stage.
He’s coming in with a less-than-stellar outing in his last couple of events, the ZOZO Championship where he was T-51 and then last week at the World Wide Technology Championship.
But those final results don’t show the effort he put into the tournament.
He opened his ZOZO play with a 74 and followed that up with three rounds that got progressively better as he went 72, 70, and 69 to close out the tournament on a positive note.
Last week, he had a 71 in the first round before finishing with three rounds of 68 or less.
We’re looking for a better start this week as he opened up with a 64 here last year.
We’ve Got to Back One of the Big Names
Lucas Glover is one of the big names in the field this week and at +2800 (Best Live Odds: ), he’s not one of the favorites despite coming in as one of the hottest golfers.
Glover is celebrating an impressive 2022-2023 season where he posted a couple of victories and put himself back on the radar for players to keep an eye on week in and week out.
We picked him last week (as well as picking him to finish in the top-20 in the prop bets) but he got stuck in neutral after a quick start as he posted seven birdies in his first 13 holes.
He wound up tied for 59th despite the hot start so not the outcome we expected.
We’re betting that after he knocked some of the rust off last week, he’s ready to finish strong as he heads into the offseason off one of the best seasons of his career — and a season that no one saw coming.
Why not finish that impressive season with a third victory?
Around the Prop Scene
We’re going to go to DraftKings for a couple of prop bets.
First, we’re going to look at Camilo Villegas to finish in the top 20 at +360 (Best Live Odds: ).
Villegas is coming off one of his best finishes in a long, long time — a T-2 last week at the World Wide Technology event. Prior to that, he had three straight missed cuts. Maybe he and his coach found something in his swing or his mindset has changed but whatever he found may have worked wonders.
We’re thinking he rides that to another solid effort this week.
We’re also looking at the winner of this year’s event winning by exactly one stroke at +200.
The last two tournaments have had one-stroke winning margins as Seamus Power beat Thomas Detry by a stroke last year and Lucas Herbert beat Patrick Reed and Danny Lee in a playoff in 2021.
Both events were held right here, so we might as well make it three in a row.
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