Canada vs. USA Predictions, Odds: USMNT Faces Underdog in CONCACAF Nations League Final

Both USA and Canada reached Sunday’s CONCACAF Nations League Final with convincing shutout wins in the semifinals.

For years, CONCACAF’s marquee rivalry has been USA vs. Mexico. At the moment, though, El Tri aren’t on the same level as either the USMNT or Canada. In fact, it was the latter who finished first in qualifying for the 2022 World Cup.

In Gaming Today’s breakdown of Canada vs. USA odds, props, and predictions, we analyze Sunday’s final between a US side missing Weston McKennie and Sergiño Dest (both were issued red cards in Friday’s semi) and Canada, who will boast two of the best players on the pitch in Alphonso Davies and Jonathan David.

Canada advanced to the CONCACAF Nations League Final with a 2-0 defeat of Panama, while the USMNT routed Mexico 3-0 in a match that turned ugly with four late red cards.

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Betting Odds for Sunday’s Canada vs. USA Match

Here are Canada vs. USA betting lines available on top sports betting apps.

Canada Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Led by star Bayern Munich left back Davies, Canada went 8-4-2 in CONCACAF qualifying for the 2022 World Cup, which created high expectations ahead of just their second WC appearance and first since 1986.

But John Herdman’s team disappointed in Qatar, losing all three matches in group play en route to a quick exit. Still, Canada are a dangerous opponent that would challenge USA even with Tyler Adams, McKennie, and Dest available. With those three out (Adams due to injury and McKennie and Dest suspended), these squads are more evenly matched than many fans — and oddsmakers — think.

Davies and David, who finished third in Ligue 1 with 24 goals this season, are not the only players that should concern USMNT fans. Winger Tajon Buchanan will test the USA back line in a way that no one for Mexico did on Friday night, and Cyle Larin is a dangerous striker who will challenge US center backs Miles Robinson and Chris Richards.

Any US fan skeptical of whether Canada can hang with the impressive version of the USMNT we saw on Friday night should revisit the highlights from these teams’ Qatar World Cup qualifiers. In their first meeting, USA and Canada drew 1-1 in Nashville. USA lost 2-0 in Hamilton, Ontario, on Jan. 30, 2022, in a match Canada played without Davies.

Sunday night should offer similar intensity to Friday night’s USA-Mexico semifinal. But expect Canada, playing for its first trophy since it won the 2000 Gold Cup, to keep its composure much better than Mexico, who managed to turn the semifinal into a red card-fest.

Injuries

Davies came on as a sub against Panama, but Herdman otherwise has his full complement of players.

USA Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Based on the result of the match alone, USA had one of their best nights in a long time against Mexico. Christian Pulisic once again looked like a star against his national team’s biggest rival, and USA were the better side from start to finish.

Unfortunately, plenty happened to overshadow the quality performances by Pulisic, Ricardo Pepi (who scored off the bench), and the rest of the team. Not only did USA have two of its players get red cards for retaliating after cynical play from El Tri late in the match, but it also has the off-field distraction of the news that Gregg Berhalter is returning as manager.

The Athletic reported just before kickoff on Friday night that Berhalter’s re-appointment is imminent. Regardless of how you feel about that decision by the USSF, there’s no denying that development will overshadow the rest of the CONCACAF Nations League.

USA fielded a dangerous XI against El Tri that included Tim Weah, Gio Reyna, and Pulisic playing just behind newly minted US striker Folarin Balogun. The results lived up to the hype that accompanied the lineup announcement prior to kickoff. While it was obvious Balogun will need some time to get used to his new teammates, he showed flashes.

The other good news striker-wise was Pepi coming in for Balogun in the 75th minute and scoring in the 78th on a smart run and composed finish past Mexico keeper Guillermo Ochoa. Those two will bring the best out of each other as they compete for the striker role. Whoever earns that spot will enjoy a lot of quality scoring opportunities via Pulisic, Reyna, Weah, and Brenden Aaronson.

Injuries

With McKennie and Dest suspended, the USA now have several solid contributors who are unavailable. The USMNT is missing World Cup starters Tyler Adams and Tim Ream due to injury and is also without goalkeeper Zack Steffen, forward Daryl Dike, center back Cameron Carter-Vickers, and midfielder Malik Tillman.

Canada vs. USA Props

Below is a sampling of props for Canada vs. USA.

Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):

• Folarin Balogun: +165
• Cyle Larin: +210
• Ricardo Pepi: +220
• Jonathan David: +230
• Christian Pulisic: +330

Correct Score (FanDuel):

• Canada 1-0: +800
• Canada 2-0: +1700
• Canada 2-1: +1200
• USA 1-0: +550
• USA 2-0: +900
• USA 2-1: +850
• 0-0: +650
• 1-1: +500

Total Goal Props (FanDuel):

• Over 0.5 goals -1200, Under 0.5 goals: +660
• Over 1.5 goals -230, Under 1.5 goals: +176
• Over 2.5 goals +140, Under 2.5 goals: -180
• Over 3.5 goals +380, Under 3.5 goals: -600

Canada vs. USA Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

• Date/Time: Sunday, June 18, 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Allegiant Stadium

Watch this match at one of the following:

• Paramount+
• Univision
• TUDN
• Fubo
• DirecTV Stream

Canada vs. USA Prediction: Canada 1, USA 2

The biggest question is how the USMNT will fare without McKennie and Dest. McKennie’s likely replacement in the lineup, Aaronson, should prevent a dropoff at that position. USA will need a big night from whoever steps into Dest’s right back role, though.

Pulisic’s form and the home-field advantage in Las Vegas — Canada will not have nearly as many fans as Mexico did — make me confident in the USMNT, but this is not going to be the one-sided affair that oddsmakers envision.

I’m not quite bullish enough on Canada (or objective enough in matches involving the US) to predict that they’ll pull the upset, but don’t be surprised if this one is not decided until extra time or PKs. That makes Double Chance — Canada or Draw tempting.

Here are a few other bets available at FanDuel that are worth checking out:

• USA (+105)
• Double Chance — Canada or Draw (after 90 minutes plus stoppage time) (-145)
• Under 2.5 Goals (-180)
• Anytime Goalscorer — Christian Pulisic (+330)