How to Bet the Carolina Panthers After Baker Mayfield Trade

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Baker Mayfield's trade to Carolina should help improve the Panthers' win total this season. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

Betting odds on the Carolina Panthers have shifted at sportsbooks across the US after the team’s trade for former Cleveland Browns QB Baker Mayfield on Wednesday.

FanDuel’s futures odds on a Panthers Super Bowl victory shortened from +13000 to +10000 upon Mayfield’s arrival in Carolina. FanDuel also adjusted the betting line for the Browns-Panthers season opener at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte.

Cleveland was being dealt as a 2.5-point road favorite prior to the trade. With Mayfield now squaring off against his former team, FanDuel is offering Browns -1.

Here’s a look at futures odds on the Panthers across the sports betting industry as of Friday:

Team Westgate SuperBookCirca Sports(FanDuel)(DraftKings) (BetMGM, Use Code TODAY)
Panthers+20000+17500+10000+13000+12500

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Mayfield, who became disgruntled with Cleveland after the Browns signed Deshaun Watson in March, will compete with Sam Darnold for (and likely win) the starting QB job in Carolina. But how much of an upgrade is the former Heisman Trophy winner for the Panthers?

Westgate SuperBook VP of Risk Management Ed Salmons has yet to adjust Carolina’s season win total, but he said that could be coming soon. Super Bowl odds on the Panthers were also unaffected at the SuperBook, as the number remains +20000.

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How to Bet the Carolina Panthers

Mayfield isn’t among the NFL’s top tier of QBs — reserved for the likes of Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, and Justin Herbert — but he’ll have a talented trio of options to throw to in WRs DJ Moore and Robbie Anderson along with RB Christian McCaffrey out of the backfield.

If you bleed blue and back, go ahead and bet a small amount on Carolina to win Super Bowl 57. But there are smarter ways to make money on the Panthers this season. Let’s examine those opportunities using these betting markets at the SuperBook.

Panthers 2022 Season Win Total

Over 6 wins -120
Under 6 wins +100

Betting Analysis: We’re bullish on this one. The Panthers have won five games in each of their last two seasons under head coach Matt Rhule. The QB carousel has played a big part in the team’s recent mediocrity. It has featured Darnold, PJ Walker, a diminished Cam Newton, and Teddy Bridgewater. Bet on Mayfield to be the difference between winning and losing at least two additional games, and the Panthers to finish with a minimum of seven victories.

Salmons’ Take: “There’s been (very little betting) on that, but probably I will bump that up because I do think that he’ll (make a difference). Their QB play just has been so horrendous. It can only go up; it can’t go down. That’s like a low-ball number with Darnold and the other nonsense they had (at QB).”

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Panthers To Make Playoffs Prop

Carolina is a large underdog to advance to the postseason for the first time since the 2017 season, per the SuperBook’s odds on this prop, although there’s been some movement toward the Panthers in early wagering.

Yes +500
No -700

Betting Analysis: Rhule has been given a long leash by Carolina owner David Tepper, who has consistently preached that it will take time (and as many as four seasons) to build a winning foundation for the franchise. This is a critical season, however, and Rhule’s job security will be compromised by another 5-12 season. The thought here is Carolina punches above its weight and finds a way to compete for the NFC’s final wildcard spot. At +500, it’s worth a sprinkle.

Salmons’ Take: “We were at (No -900) and (Yes +600), and now it’s 7 and 5, so it did drop a little.”

Panthers’ Odds to Win NFC South Division

The Panthers are longshots to win the division, priced far behind Brady and the Bucs, the prohibitive favorites.

Bucs -400
Saints +400
Panthers +2000
Falcons +3000

Betting Analysis: This is an easy pass. With Brady back for another season in Tampa Bay, there’s no reasonable basis to bet the Panthers to win the NFC South. Stay away.

Salmons’ Take: The SuperBook has all of Carolina’s regular-season games on the betting board, and Salmons saw some Panthers money come in after the trade on multiple weeks. He noted July is a slow month for NFL futures activity. Salmons expects things to pick up at the SuperBook after training camps open and preseason games start in August.

Also read: 2022 NFL Rushing Props & Odds | 2022 NFL Passing Props, Odds & Picks

About the Author
Kris Johnson

Kris Johnson

Writer & Contributor
Kris Johnson is a Senior Writer at Gaming Today with more than 15 years of experience as a sports journalist. Kris' work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, NASCAR Illustrated, and more. Kris also authored a sports betting novel entitled The Endgame.

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