As college football enters Week 7, we’re on the lookout for underdogs that can pull off moneyline upsets or at least cover the spread on Saturday.
Our Saturday selections include two longshots and a well-off-the-radar game to hopefully help you make a profit.
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Nebraska vs. Purdue Betting Line: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
The visiting Cornhuskers are 14-point underdogs on several oddsboards and +430 on the moneyline (FanDuel).
NCAAF · Sat (10/15) @ 7:31pm ET
|Ross-Ade Stadium, Lafayette, IN|
Nebraska (3-3 Overall, 1-5 ATS) vs. Purdue (4-2 Overall, 3-3 ATS)
A little more than a month ago Nebraska suffered one of the most humiliating defeats in school history, or by any school this season, when it fell at home to Georgia Southern of the Sun Belt Conference 45-42 as a 23-point favorite. That dropped the Cornhuskers’ record to 1-2 and cost head coach and ex-Nebraska quarterback Scott Frost his job.
Assistant coach Mickey Joseph, also a former Nebraska QB and the older brother of former Denver Broncos head coach Vance Joseph, was then elevated to the top.
And since a loss to Oklahoma in the Huskers’ next game, they’ve been making headlines in a good way with back-to-back wins — 35-21 at home vs. Indiana and then a 14-13 road win vs. Rutgers after erasing a 13-point deficit.
Now Nebraska is in a three-way tie for first in the Big Ten West with Purdue and Illinois at 2-1 in conference. If the Cornhuskers prevail this week, it will be their first three-game winning streak in six years. The motivation is certainly there in a season that appeared doomed early on.
Purdue has played well of late with wins over Minnesota and Maryland. But beating the Gophers was no great achievement since their 4-1 record had been built on soft foes. The Boilermakers escaped with a win last week thanks in large part to crushing penalties incurred by the Terrapins.
One more thing: Purdue will be without its second-leading rusher, Dylan Downing (foot).
Enough chatter. Go Huskers!
Texas State vs. Troy Betting Line: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
The visiting Texas State Bobcats are 16.5-point dogs (PointsBet) and +640 on the moneyline (FanDuel).
NCAAF · Sat (10/15) @ 3:30pm ET
|Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL|
Texas State (3-3 Overall, 3-3 ATS) vs. Troy (4-2 Overall, 5-1 ATS)
Texas State is fresh off a 36-24 victory over an Appalachian State team that earlier this season beat then-No. 6 Texas A&M on the road, 17-14, as an 18-point underdog.
Now the Bobcats take on a Trojans team that hasn’t been the same since then-coach Neal Brown led Troy to back-to-back-to-back seasons of 10-3, 11-2, and 10-3 from 2016-18 before he left for West Virginia.
The Trojans have had three losing seasons since, but are showing improvement this season. But if last year is any indication, the team could enter this game overconfident. In Week 3 of 2021, the Trojans were 23.5-point favorites over UL-Monroe and wound up losing, 29-16.
In addition, will Troy starting QB Gunnar Watson play? He was out last week with an undeclared issue.
Anyway, the Bobcats should at least keep it close, if not pull off one of the biggest upsets of the year.
New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Betting Line: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
NCAAF · Sat (10/15) @ 8:00pm ET
|Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM|
New Mexico (2-4 Overall, 3-2-1 ATS) vs. New Mexico State (1-5 Overall, 2-4 ATS)
The past two weeks have been excruciating for the team’s fan base, starting with a Friday night nationally televised game at UNLV on Sept. 30. The Lobos grabbed a 17-0 lead against the Rebels but fell, 31-20. Then last week, at home as a 3-point favorite, UNM grabbed a 14-0 advantage over Wyoming before being defeated 27-14 in an outcome punctuated by a last-minute, rub-it-in pick-six.
New Mexico State, meanwhile, has had it worse. And that’s pretty much been the case over the years for a team that’s been to one bowl game since 1960.
The Aggies opened the year at or near the bottom of virtually all preseason surveys and they remain there, with their only win coming at home against equally awful Hawaii. A week later, as a 14-point pick, they were 21-7 losers at home to a Florida International team that lost the week before 73-0 to Western Kentucky.
One of the biggest issues for New Mexico State is its QBs have only two TD passes but nine INTs.
Anyway, here’s what should give the Lobos an extra edge Saturday night in Las Cruces. Four players who were held out of last week’s game against Wyoming for disciplinary reasons — the team’s top two wide receivers and two backup running backs — reportedly are set to return this week.
Back the favorite to cover here.
Also read: College Football Playoff Odds & Predictions