As college football enters Week 8, here are a couple of long shots that appear to have a nice chance to pull moneyline upsets Saturday or at least beat the spread.
The odds listed are the best offered at DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet, and BetMGM.
Also, there’s a small favorite listed below that should have a big win.
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New Mexico vs. Fresno State Betting Line: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
New Mexico is one of only two home teams to be a double-digit underdog this week (along with New Mexico State, which upset the visiting Lobos last Saturday). UNM will be taking on a Fresno State team that was a 19-14 loser to UConn as a 23.5-point favorite three weeks ago.
NCAAF · Sat (10/22) @ 6:30pm ET
|Ross-Ade Stadium, Lafayette, IN|
Although the Lobos (2-5 Straight Up/3-3-1 Against The Spread) have been relatively ineffective on offense this year, they’ll be working against a Bulldogs defense that ranks 89th in the nation while playing a relatively weak schedule.
And it’s not like UNM has been getting blown out. Earlier this month, New Mexico jumped a 17-0 lead at UNLV before tumbling 31-20 and a week later held a 14-0 edge over Wyoming before going down 27-14.
What should slow the attack of FSU (2-4 SU/1-5 ATS) is the likely absence of star QB Jake Haener, who suffered a high ankle sprain two weeks ago. Last season, he threw for more than 4,000 yards and had 33 TD passes.
And if this means anything, a homecoming crowd will be in attendance — provided the fans can tear themselves from tailgate parties.
Florida International vs. Charlotte Betting Line: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
How bad must Florida International be to warrant being listed as a two-touchdown underdog to a team that’s by far dead last in the nation in yards yielded per game (533.6) and points allowed (44.6)?
NCAAF · Sat (10/22) @ 3:32pm ET
|Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL|
Well, FIU actually is pretty bad (2-4 SU/2-4 ATS), averaging only 15.5 points a game, the seventh-lowest norm in the nation. But still, the Golden Panthers are getting 14.5 points?! Two weeks ago on the road, they were 16-point dogs and beat New Mexico State 21-7.
Charlotte, meanwhile, is 1-6 (2-5 ATS), even losing 41-24 to FCS school Williams & Mary as a 4.5-point choice, and has yielded at least 34 points in each of its games.
The gamble inside the gamble is that FIU’s leading receiver, Tyrese Chambers (questionable, foot), will see action. But the way the 49ers play defense, maybe anyone could fill in and be productive.
Now for picking a favorite:
LSU vs. Ole Miss State Betting Line: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
The host Tigers (5-2 SU/4-3 ATS) will have the benefit of the home crowd in this big rivalry game along with the return of explosive RB Armoni Goodwin, who’s been out since suffering a hamstring injury four weeks ago.
NCAAF · Sat (10/22) @ 3:39pm ET
|Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM|
And the Tigers have made defensive adjustments, too, so they’ll be more prepared to face Ole Miss’ spread offense after being tormented two weeks ago by Tennessee’s spread in a 40-13 loss to the now-No. 3 Vols.
The Rebels (7-0 SU/3-4 ATS) are ranked No. 7 in the country but have played a relatively fluffy schedule, with exception of topping No. 19 Kentucky 22-19 as a 6.5-point pick. In all other games, Ole Miss has been a double-digit favorite and has hardly been tested.
The Rebels should be tested in Death Valley in this meeting. It’s just too bad the game isn’t played at night when Tigers fans seem to be a little more boisterous.