Following the Kansas City Chiefs’ 27-17 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars at Arrowhead Stadium and the loss by the Buffalo Bills against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 10, the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds are at their shortest during the 2022 NFL season at DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet, and BetMGM.
Here’s where KC stands as of Nov. 15, 2022.
Analysis of Chiefs’ Super Bowl Odds
The Chiefs (7-2 Straight Up/4-5 Against the Spread), leaders in the AFC West, have the second-shortest odds on the boards and are listed as a +500 pick at DraftKings and FanDuel.
They are right behind the AFC East’s Bills (6-3), who have been atop the Super Bowl betting charts all season. And they are just ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles (+650 PointsBet), frontrunners in the NFC with an 8-1 mark and holding the conference tiebreaker over Minnesota, who are also at 8-1.
| Chiefs odds to win: | DraftKings | BetMGM (Code TODAY) | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl 57 | +500 | +400 | +500 |
| AFC | +225 | +200 | +240 |
| AFC West | -1200 | -1000 | -1250 |
The Eagles (8-1 SU/5-4 ATS) had been a heavier favorite than the Chiefs until their 32-21 home loss to the Washington Commanders on Monday Night Football as an 11-point favorite.
The only other team that has odds shorter than +1000 are the NFC West’s San Francisco 49ers (4-4), who dropped to +900 (DraftKings) after the Eagles’ loss.
With regard to the Bills, fans will be keeping a close eye on QB Josh Allen’s right (passing) elbow every time he takes a hit. He was injured late in Week 9 in a loss to the NY Jets.
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What are the Chiefs’ Odds to Win Super Bowl 57?
KC’s odds to win its second Super Bowl in four seasons and the third in its history improved immensely now that it is slotted as the current No. 1 seed in the AFC.
That designation would afford the Chiefs the sole bye week to open the postseason and the opportunity to play all their conference playoff games at Arrowhead Stadium.
Top seeds in the AFC have gone on to reach the Super Bowl 11 times in the past 22 seasons, dating to the turn of the century. KC advanced to the Super Bowl as the top seed two seasons ago.
As usual, the Chiefs have been formidable on offense, behind QB Patrick Mahomes, who leads the league with 25 TD passes, five more than anyone else. And no team matches KC’s norm of scoring 30 points a game.
The schedule is in the Chiefs’ favor, too, in their quest to be tops in the conference. Their remaining foes have a cumulative winning percentage of .390, giving them the second-easiest slate, according to Tankathon. Five of their final eight games will be against squads that have three or fewer wins.
The Baltimore Ravens have the easiest remaining strength of schedule, with their foes’ combined winning percentage at .360.
Read: Super Bowl 57 odds for all teams
What are the Chiefs’ Odds to Win the AFC Championship?
They are listed at +240 (FanDuel) to win the Lamar Hunt Trophy and advance to the Super Bowl, with the Bills (+210 PointsBet) the favorite despite plummeting to third place in the East standings behind the Miami Dolphins and the Jets.
But if KC and Buffalo finish alone atop the AFC, the Bills would own the head-to-head tiebreaker based on their 24-20 triumph in Kansas City in Week 6. That’s the Chiefs’ only home defeat this season.
As the No. 1 seed, not only would KC get a week off but would face the lowest-seeded team in the divisional round and potentially go against a squad on short rest.
Also in the mix is North frontrunner Baltimore (+700 PointBet), which is 6-3 and on a three-game winning streak. The Tennesse Titans (6-3) lead the South at +1800.
The Chiefs hold the tiebreaker over the Titans by virtue of their 20-17 overtime victory against them in Week 9.
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What are the Chiefs’ Odds to Win the AFC West Division?
Kansas City (-1000 BetMGM) stands as the second-biggest favorite to win a division title, behind Minnesota (-3000), which has a 4.5-game lead in the NFC North.
Before the season, KC was a +175 choice.
The Chiefs have a two-game edge over the injury-plagued Los Angeles Chargers in the West and will go for the season sweep in Week 11. If KC wins, it will give them a three-game lead and the tiebreaker edge over the Chargers. Their division odds will lengthen dramatically after that.
KC is currently a 7-point choice on Sunday.
Also read: Chiefs a healthy road favorite at Chargers on SNF
Analysis of the AFC West
This was supposed to be one of the most highly competitive divisions in the NFL, headlined by Mahomes, Denver QB Russell Wilson, LA QB Justin Herbert, and Las Vegas QB Derek Carr. But behind the Chiefs, their rivals have a cumulative mark of 10-17.
What are the Chiefs’ Odds to Make the NFL Playoffs?
A lot better than pretty good.
They are off the board already at FanDuel and BetMGM but have odds of -10000 at DraftKings and PointsBet.
They opened the season at -250.
For those who are skeptical about KC’s chances down the stretch, the Chiefs’ odds to miss out on the postseason are +2200 at BetMGM.
What are the Chiefs’ Win Total Odds?
The Chiefs are listed at -165 to go over the 12.5 win number, but +125 to go under. As the season was about to commence, their win expectancy over/under was at 11.5.
Read: NFL Week 11 odds
Chiefs’ Player Props
NFL MVP: QB Patrick Mahomes (+125 PointsBet)
He’s the favorite. His closest competitors are Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa and Philadelphia QB Jalen Hurts at +500.
Most passing yards: Mahomes (+100 PointsBet)
Again, he’s the favorite, with a league-best 2,936 yards. Buffalo QB Allen (2,733 yards) is second on the board at +300.
Most receiving yards: TE Travis Kelce (+2000 FanDuel, PointsBet)
Kelce, who has 740 yards in nine games, is tied for fifth on the odds board. The frontrunner is Minnesota WR Justin Jefferson (+175 PointsBet), who has 1,060 yards. Miami WR Tyreek Hill (+180 Caesars SportsBook) has the most yards (1,148) but has played 10 games.
Most sacks: DT Chris Jones (+5000 FanDuel)
Jones is tied for eighth on the sack chart with seven. The league leader is New England LB Matthew Judon (+240 FanDuel) with 11.5. Jones is also in a logjam tied for third for Defensive Player of the Year at +4000 (FanDuel). Dallas LB Micah Parsons is the overwhelming favorite at -250.
Comeback Player of the Year: WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (+2200 BetRivers)
Smith-Schuster, who played only five games while with Pittsburgh last season because of a shoulder injury, is KC’s second-leading receiver with 64 catches for 615 yards. NY Giants RB Saquon Barkley is the favorite to win the award with a consensus number of +350.
Offensive Rookie of the Year: RB Isiah Pacheco (+6000 FanDuel)
Pacheco, a seventh-round pick out of Rutgers, is the team’s second-leading rusher with 279 yards. The clear frontrunner for the award is Seattle RB Kenneth Walker III at -145.
Also read: Discover the best sportsbook app for you | How to bet on NFL
Chiefs Super Bowl 57 Odds FAQ
The Bills are favored on most oddsboards, although things can swing pretty quickly. The Chiefs are priced close behind Buffalo, followed by the Eagles
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