Now you must picture this – my brother Tom and our dog Dino sit at the kitchen table watching an NFL game this past weekend. Tom talks to Dino, who sort of howls back as Tom is a very loud talker, especially when watching games.
After the end he yells to Dino, and I quote: “Dino, my son, you have a better shot at picking a six-spot in keno than picking a winner in the NFL.” Dino howls back and it’s a big one at that. I needed that on video.
With that said we need to move on and see if we can do better than the first two weeks. Let’s move right to college football.
College Football – Thursday
Cincinnati +7 at Memphis (no total): Last year the host Tigers traveled to Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati and just put it to the Bearcats, 41-14, so there will be a little revenge in the air. Cincy has played three games and each went OVER the total. The Tigers have also had all three games exceed the total and are averaging 54 points a game. We see a wild and crazy ESPN matchup. OVER.
College Football – Saturday
BYU +5 at Michigan (no total): The Cougars travel to the Big House to take on Jim Harbaugh and his Wolverines. This is not only a very tough place to play but BYU entering into a new time zone, especially in a morning affair; if there is no time change will be hard pressed to win. Michigan has been doing it with a very stiff defense that has produced three straight UNDERS. Michigan’s lone loss was to Utah. The Cougars defense showed some grit in a 24-23 loss at UCLA last Saturday and we should see another hard fought defensive battle. UNDER.
Missouri +3 at Kentucky (no total): The Tigers got a real ugly 9-6 win last week at home vs. UConn and have played three straight UNDERS. Last year they beat Kentucky, 20-10. The Wildcats from Lexington lost to Florida last week, 14-9, and now they have played back-to-back games UNDER. We see a repeat of a year ago. UNDER.
San Diego St. +14 at Penn St.: The Aztecs could only muster a TD vs. California and lost to South Alabama last week, 34-27, and now will travel to “Happy Valley” and see a White Out! The Nittany Lions have played good defense the last two games and last week’s 28-3 win vs. Rutgers looks to have them on the uptick. They have also played three straight UNDERS and have gone 6-0 ATS as a home chalk after an ATS win of 14 or more points. PENN STATE/UNDER.
Tennessee +2.5 at Florida: Huge revenge game here and also a shot for the Vols to overcome a giveaway game two weeks ago vs. Oklahoma. Tennessee lost to Florida last year, 10-9, and will be all out to get this revenge win. Florida has gone 0-7 ATS at home after scoring 14 or less points the previous week. TENNESSEE.
TCU -7.5 at Texas Tech: The Red Raiders got the big road dog win last week beating Arkansas 35-24 when getting 11.5 points in the first of their revenge games. This will be the second one on their schedule as they were humiliated last year in Fort Worth, 82-27. TCU has also gone 0-6 ATS when facing a revenge team coming off a SU and ATS win. Tech has gone 8-0 ATS as a home dog of 5 or more points facing an undefeated team. TEXAS TECH.
USC -6 at Arizona State: The Trojans reeling big time after huge revenge win by Stanford last week and now get their shot at revenge as the Sun Devils beat them, 38-34, in La La land last year. USC has gone 6-0 on the road in revenge games when playing a team coming off an ATS loss. Arizona State failed to cover vs. New Mexico last week when giving up 26 points. Revenge will be sweet for the Trojans. USC.
CFB Last Week: 3-2-0
CFB Season: 8-11-1
NFL Football – Sunday
Raiders +4.5 at Browns: Well “Johnny Football” got his breakout win last week and this game looks just like last Sunday’s game when the 49ers traveled across the time zone to play a morning game with the Steelers and got crushed like an ant, 43-18. BROWNS.
On Monday mornings remember, no matter win lose or draw, this is for fun – and don’t bet the rent money. It reminds me of a story, which I will pass on.
Early one Saturday morning I was walking into the Stardust to start work. This guy is out front of the back door and tells me he has never done this before, but “I really need $20 to get my wife’s prescription filled.”
I look at him and say, “If I give you $20 you will just go into the book and bet it.” He says no sir, reached into his pocket and pulls out a wad of cash and says, “I have gambling money, just no prescription money.”
As Tom and Dino say, you just gotta get out every day and make a bet whether a football 10-teamer or a six-spot in keno. You just could be walking around lucky and not even know it!
NFL Last Week: 0-1-0
NFL Season: 2-1-0
Richard Saber, a former director of race and sports at the famed Stardust book, is GT’s horse racing and sports handicapper. Follow Richard on Twitter @SabesBet. Email: [email protected]