College football fans that like to bet on big games will have no trouble finding such games this weekend. Tennessee-Georgia is, of course, the marquee contest of the weekend and will have huge SEC and College Football Playoff implications. But that game is just one of many. Here are a few of our favorite college football picks and parlays for Week 10.
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Tennessee vs. Georgia Betting Odds Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
It will be a lot tougher for the loser in this matchup of SEC powerhouses to make the college football playoffs.
NCAAF · Sat (11/5) @ 3:30pm ET
|Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA|
The season has been leading up to this game for Tennessee (8-0 Straight Up, 7-1 Against The Spread). All the wins over ranked teams and the stats helped them rise to the top of the CFP rankings, but to stay there, they have to do one thing: Beat Georgia (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS), a team with a top-five offense (No. 2 total offense) and defense (No. 4 total defense).
Win, and they control their own destiny. Lose, and they probably need help to make the playoffs.
But as formidable as Georgia appears to be, the same is true for Tennessee. The Vols’ defense is nowhere near as good, but Tennessee’s offense has been the most productive unit in the nation this season (49.4 points per game and 553 total yards). Their bread and butter is the passing game, but the run game has averaged close to 200 yards.
Hooker and the Tennessee offense have faced some formidable defenses, but not one as stingy as Georgia’s. At the same time, the Bulldogs’ defense has not faced anything as explosive as the Vols’ offense. If the Tennessee defense that dominated Kentucky shows up, there is a slim chance this one could even get ugly (unlikely, but possible).
It’s more likely this will end up being a close game.
Tennessee vs. Georgia Betting Analysis
Much like the Tennessee-Alabama game, this will be an incredibly entertaining contest. But the Bulldogs will not be able to slow the Vols’ offense down for long (if at all).
Our Pick: The Tennessee moneyline is tempting (+250) but take the Vols and the points (+8.5).
Alabama vs. LSU Betting Odds Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
With the exception of LSU’s (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) championship season, Alabama (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) has owned the rivalry winning 11 of the last 12 meetings between the two SEC giants. But it will not be easy for the Tide to make it 12 of the last 13.
NCAAF · Sat (11/5) @ 7:00pm ET
|Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA|
Yes, the Alabama defense is one of the best in the nation (No. 7 scoring), and they have a Heisman winner in command of the offense. But the defense got shredded by Tennessee a couple of weeks ago. It bounced back with a solid outing against Mississippi State last, but the offense was just adequate against the Bulldogs’ defense.
After taking a beating at the hands of Tennessee, LSU has done a better job of bouncing back. The offense put up 45 points on Florida and Ole Miss. While the Gators put up 35 points, the defense held the potent Rebels’ offense to just 117 yards rushing and 20 points (Ole Miss is averaging 267.4 yards per game and 37.4 points per game).
The key to the game could very well be whether Alabama can contain LSU’s rising star at quarterback, Jayden Daniels. He accounted for 369 total yards and five touchdowns against Ole Miss and was responsible for 393 total yards and six touchdowns against Florida.
Alabama vs. LSU Betting Analysis
Jayden Daniels will probably be the preseason Heisman favorite next year; Brian Kelly has a real talent on his hands with Daniels. But it is hard to say whether the LSU offense can be consistent enough for four quarters to defeat a team like Alabama. Is it possible?
Absolutely — if Alabama has another penalty-filled, sloppy game. But don’t count on it.
Our Pick: Alabama will likely win, but probably not by 13.5 points. Take LSU and the points (+13.5)
Clemson vs. Notre Dame Betting Odds Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
Notre Dame (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) got off to a slow start this season with losses to Ohio State and Marshall but have since turned things around with wins in five of their next six games (the one loss coming against Stanford, 16-14). The key to the turnaround appears to have been the switch at quarterback and focus on the running game.
NCAAF · Sat (11/5) @ 7:30pm ET
|Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN|
Except for the win over Cal, the Notre Dame offense has rushed for 200+ yards in four of the last five games. The one outlier is Stanford, which the Fighting Irish lost 16-14. However, it will not be easy against a Clemson (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS) front that many consider to be of NFL caliber. It ranks No. 7 in the country against the run and has not allowed a 100+ yard rusher all season.
However, four teams have gone for 100+ total yards and one rushed for 200+ (Florida State). So, while the Clemson run defense is formidable, it is possible to run on it.
Clemson vs. Notre Dame Betting Analysis
The key to beating Clemson is a downfield passing game that can score points and dictate the game’s pace — and Notre Dame does not have one. Notre Dame will look to run the ball, which will be hard to do against a Tigers defense that has a couple of weeks off to rest up and heal. But the Fighting Irish defense will keep Clemson from running away with it.
Our Pick: Clemson -3.5; Notre Dame is good enough to make this one interesting but will probably lose by a touchdown.
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College Football Parlays: Week 10
Parlays are harder to win, but they are a lot of fun. Who doesn’t like turning a little money into a lot, right? However, while you can win more money, the advantage lies with the house regarding parlays. If you are not careful, it can be really easy to watch your bankroll disappear.
So, if you are going to bet on a few college football parlays, keep them short more often than not. Let’s take a look at a few college football parlays and same-game parlays (odds via FanDuel):
Parlay No. 1
- Tennessee (vs. Georgia): +245
- LSU (vs. Alabama): +390
- Parlay Odds: +1590
If you love underdogs, this is the parlay for you. It may be better to take Tennessee and the points rather than the moneyline, but if the Vols’ defense can show up like it did last week, Tennessee could win. As for Bama-LSU, the Tigers have been playing better and better throughout the season; you can’t say the same about the Tide.
Alabama has had penalty and turnover issues in some of the season’s biggest games. An upset is possible if LSU brings their A+ game and the Tide doesn’t.
A $100 wager on this parlay will result in a $1690 payday, your stake and $1590 in winnings. If you’d feel better taking the points instead (+8.5 for Tennessee at -115; +13.5 for LSU at -110), the parlay odds go down to +256 ($100 bet results in $356 payday, your stake and $256 in winnings).
Parlay No. 2
- Hendon Hooker 275.5+ passing yards: +100
- Drew Pyne Under 169.5: -114
- Parlay Odds: +275
For the Vols to have a shot against the Bulldogs, they’ll need Hooker to have a field day against the Georgia secondary, much like he did against the Alabama secondary. He will not throw for 385 yards as he did against the Tide, but he’ll come close to a 300-yard day.
Notre Dame doesn’t ask Pyne to win the game with his arm, and that’s a good thing because he probably couldn’t. Notre Dame will need to throw to stay in the game but needing to and succeeding at it are two different things. Clemson’s front will not give him time to do much — and he will not.
Same-Game Parlay No. 1: Tennessee vs. Georgia
- Tennessee -8.5: -115
- Over 66.5: -110
- Parlay Odds: +213
With two offenses as high-powered as these, it’s a little surprising the total on this game is not a little higher. The under becomes the better play if Georgia’s defense can contain Hendon Hooker. But don’t count on it. Hooker decimated the Alabama defense and will have a banner day against the Bulldogs. He’ll need to because the Georgia offense will score some points on the Vols’ defense.
It’s tempting to go with Tennessee and the moneyline (parlay odds increase to +555), but this game could easily go either way. However, what it will not be is a blowout. A $100 bet on this parlay will result in a $313 payday, your stake plus $213 in winnings.
Same-Game Parlay No. 2: Alabama vs. LSU
- Jayden Daniels 225+ passing yards +110
- Under 28.5 points in the first half -124
- Under 56.5 for the game -110
- Parlay odds: +565
Daniels has thrown for 240+ yards in four of his last five games and seems to be making better decisions with each passing week. He will not throw it 60 times against the Tide like Mississippi State’s Will Rogers did last week, but he’ll do enough to keep the Tigers in the game. Don’t expect a big day out of him, but he’ll clear 225 yards.
This game often ends up being a defensive battle, and it will not be shocking if this one ends up being just that. Points will be scored, but not a lot — in either half.