College football is about to get more competitive now that conference play is underway. There were some great games last weekend, and there will likely be a few can’t-miss games this weekend that bettors can enjoy. Here are a few of our favorite college football picks and parlays for Week 6.
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Texas vs. Oklahoma Betting Odds: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
The Longhorns (3-2 Straight Up, 4-1 Against the Spread) are 8.5-point favorites over the Sooners (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) heading into the 118th edition of the Red River Showdown.
NCAAF · Sat (10/8) @ 12:00pm ET
|Cotton Bowl, Dallas , TX|
The Sooners looked like a legitimate playoff team three weeks into the season. Dillon Gabriel was a legitimate Heisman candidate, and it looked like Brent Venables had worked his magic on the Oklahoma defense.
But then they gave up 509 yards to Kansas State, almost 700 to TCU, and close to 100 points between the two. Factor in the likely loss of Gabriel this week, and the outlook is not good for the Sooners this week.
On the other hand, Texas could be getting its star quarterback, Quinn Ewers, back. But with Hudson Card coming off his best game of the season (21-27 for 303 yards and three touchdowns), they may opt to give him another week of rest. It may not matter who lines up at quarterback since the Longhorns will probably give Bijan Robinson a heavy workload.
Why? Because the Sooners have one of the worst run defenses in the country (No. 119; 198.2 yards/game allowed).
The last two editions of the Red River Rivalry have been shootouts; they combined to score 103 points last season and 98 the year before. But this one might be the exact opposite. The stage is set for both teams to lean on their run games. Oklahoma will if Gabriel can’t go; Texas might because Bijan Robinson is a beast, and the Oklahoma defense gave up 275 yards rushing to K-State and 361 to TCU.
Our Pick: Under 65.5
Tennessee vs. LSU Betting Odds: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
LSU (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) has won the last five times they played Tennessee (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS), but the Vols are favored to break that streak this week.
NCAAF · Sat (10/8) @ 12:02pm ET
|Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA|
Everything has been coming up roses for the Volunteers so far this season. The offense is one of the best in the country (No.1 in total offense, No. 2 passing, and No. 2 scoring). Quarterback Hendon Hooker has turned into a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate, and the run game is producing close to 200 yards per game.
However, the defense has not been great, but it did shut down the two Group of Five teams. But they needed overtime to beat a Pitt team that had lost its starting quarterback and nearly let Florida get back into the game last week.
The LSU defense will easily be the toughest the Vols have faced this season. They are allowing less than 300 total yards of offense a game and 14.8 points. Jayden Daniels had a poor game last week against Auburn (8-20 for 80 yards) but could bounce back with his best game of the season against one of the worst pass defenses in the country.
If you want an entertaining game to watch this weekend, set your DVR to record this game. Tennessee’s offense will finally get tested against a solid LSU defense, but Hendon Hooker will eventually figure out how to move the ball. But Jayden Daniels might have a career day against Tennessee’s lackluster pass defense.
The winner of this game could easily be the team that has the ball last.
Our Pick: Under 65
Utah vs. UCLA Betting Odds: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
The Utes (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) are a consensus 3.5-point favorite against the Bruins (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS).
NCAAF · Sat (10/8) @ 3:30pm ET
|Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA|
Utah has looked like the team people expected to see in the last four weeks. The defense has been stifling, holding opponents to 14 points and 278.6 yards per game. As for the offense, Cam Rising isn’t really in the Heisman picture at the moment, but he is having a great season with 12 touchdown passes and just one interception in his last four games.
Utah could climb back into the national title conversation with a win over UCLA this week (and USC next week). But the Bruins will not be an easy win for the Utes.
UCLA’s patience with head coach Chip Kelly appears to have paid off. The Bruins enter the game undefeated with a potential Heisman candidate at quarterback, one of the best offensive lines in the country, and a running back that will be playing on Sundays next season. Their offense will undoubtedly give the Utah defense a challenge, but can their defense be just as problematic for the Utah offense?
Whether they can may be the key to the game.
This one will be a slugfest that is too hard to call. Both teams have excellent offenses and good defenses. Neither will be as productive as they usually are. The winner will probably be the team that makes the fewest mistakes. But neither team is turnover or penalty prone, so it is hard to say who that will be.
Both offenses will score points, but the defenses will control the narrative.
Our Pick: Under 64.5
TCU vs. Kansas Betting Odds: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline, Pick
Kansas (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) can establish itself as one of the teams to beat in the Big 12 with a win over TCU (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS), but the Jayhawks are seven-point underdogs at home to the Horned Frogs.
NCAAF · Sat (10/8) @ 12:14pm ET
|David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS|
It’s been a magical season so far for the undefeated Kansas Jayhawks (yes — undefeated). With a solid offensive line protecting him, quarterback Jalon Daniels has helped turn the Kansas offensive into a well-balanced machine averaging 40 points and 400-plus yards a game. Their defense has not been stellar, but it did show it is capable of greatness by shutting down Iowa State last week.
But beating Iowa State, Tennessee Tech, and West Virginia and taking down TCU are different things. TCU quarterback Max Duggan is the best quarterback no one has heard of and is guiding the country’s second-best offense (total yards and scoring). Like Kansas, their defense is not stellar, but it did enough to shut down a strong Oklahoma offense (before and after losing Dillon Gabriel).
As fun as believing in a non-traditional team like Kansas can be, TCU’s offense will be too much for the Kansas D. It could turn into a shootout, but don’t count on it.
Our Pick: Under 69
College Football Parlays: Week 6 (odds via FanDuel)
Parlays are fun. Who doesn’t like the idea of winning more money, right? But they come with a substantial amount of risk. Go a little too crazy adding legs and betting on multiple college football parlays, and you could drain your bankroll. Don’t get sucked in by the thought of a big payday. Play it smart and keep your college football parlays on the small side.
This section will review a few parlays based on the games above.
Parlay No. 1— Red River Rivalry
- Under 65.5 (-110)
- Anytime touchdown scorer: Bijan Robinson (-440)
- Parlay odds: +160
With the question marks for both teams at quarterback, it would not be shocking to see both teams rely heavily on the ground game, which will keep the score from getting out of hand and below 65.5 points. But this is one of those rivalry games where you can’t count a team out just because the other looks so much better on paper.
For Texas, that means running Bijan Robinson early and often, especially in the red zone. It would not be shocking to see him score two-plus touchdowns. But for the sake of the parlay, let’s stick with anytime TD scorer.
A $100 bet will result in a $260 payday, your stake plus $160 in winnings.
Parlay No. 2—Tennessee vs. LSU
- Under 64.5 (-110)
- Jayden Daniels passing yards: Over 214.5 (-114)
- Parlay odds: +360
This one could go over 65 points if Hendon Hooker can find a weakness in the LSU defense, and Jayden Daniels can go nuts on the Vols horrible pass defense. But LSU will do enough against Hooker to keep Tennessee from running up the score. LSU will look to exploit the Tennessee pass defense but will run the ball enough to keep the score from getting out of hand.
Daniels only threw for 80 yards last week, but he’s had 200+ in three of the previous four games. Against a secondary as weak as Tennessee’s, he should be good for at least 215 yards.
A $100 bet will result in a $460 payday, your stake plus $360 in winnings.
Parlay No. 3— Three Leg Totals Parlay
- Texas/Oklahoma: Under 65.5 (-110)
- Tennessee/LSU: Under 64.5 (-106)
- TCU/Kansas: Under 68.5 (-110)
You don’t have to stick to all totals, but all three games will be pretty competitive, making it hard to feel confident about picking a winner. While the offenses for all six teams involved are good enough, the defenses are talented enough to keep the scoring from getting out of hand.