College Football Playoff Odds & Predictions: Michigan, Georgia Heavily Favored To Make CFP

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Going into the conference championship games this weekend, seven teams still have a legitimate shot to make the College Football Playoff. Our college football playoff predictions below tackle which four teams we expect to see in the Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl semifinal games on Jan. 1, 2024.

Odds are available at top sportsbook apps we recommend. It is the last year for the four-team field before the playoff expands to 12 teams next season.

Picking a winner is always a challenge since there are so many good teams, but this market is not asking you to pick one team to win it all. It asks you to choose the four teams to make the playoff and have a shot at the national championship.

College Football Playoff Predictions

Odds to Make 2023-24 College Football Playoff

FanDuel Sportsbook has the following odds, as of Nov. 28, for teams to make the College Football Playoff. Odds are subject to change.

  • Michigan (12-0) -6000
  • Georgia (12-0) -520
  • Oregon (11-1) -340
  • Florida State (12-0) -148
  • Texas (11-1) +154
  • Alabama (11-1) +180
  • Washington (12-0) +250

Top Favorites: Michigan, Georgia

With the Wolverines’ wins over Penn State and Ohio State and Georgia’s victories over Missouri and Ole Miss, both these teams are virtual locks heading into the Big 10 Championship and the SEC Championship. Michigan would possibly have a chance at being left out of the CFP if it were to lose to Iowa, but Jim Harbaugh’s team is . Barring the Hawkeyes pulling one of the biggest upsets in the history of the sport, Michigan is in.

Prediction: Michigan wins Big 10 Championship Game, makes CFP

Georgia’s priced at -520 to make the CFP, a strong indication that the Dawgs have a great chance to make the CFP even if they fail to beat Alabama in the SEC title game on Saturday. Oddsmakers expect that one to go UGA’s way (Georgia is in Atlanta). Whether Georgia beats Bama or not, though, it’s tough to see Kirby Smart’s team getting left out.

Prediction: Georgia wins SEC Championship Game, makes CFP

College Football Playoff Predictions: Oregon, Florida State Join Georgia, Michigan

Check out the best college football betting sites, which give five teams besides heavy CFP favorites Georgia and Michigan a legitimate chance at playing for the national title.

Oregon, Florida State, Texas, Alabama, and Washington all have a shot, and it helps each of their cases that they’re all playing for a conference championship this weekend.

Here are breakdowns of how all five of those teams can make the CFP.

Oregon (-340, FanDuel)

It’s simple for the Ducks: if they avenge their 36-33 loss to the Huskies in Seattle on Oct. 14, they’re going to have a spot in the CFP. Despite Washington’s 12-0 record and win over Oregon earlier this year, the Huskies are heavy underdogs () in the Pac 12 Championship Game on Friday night at Allegiant Stadium in Vegas.

Oregon has looked much better than Washington since those teams squared off, but it’s interesting to see how little respect UW is getting ahead of the high-stakes rematch. At the very least, Michael Penix Jr. and the Huskies should be able to move the ball and put up enough points to keep this game close. If Oregon posts yet another comfortable victory over a quality foe on Friday — the Ducks have dominated five of their last six opponents (including ranked rival Oregon State last week) — they’ll not only make the CFP but enter it as one of the top contenders to knock off Georgia.

Prediction: Oregon wins Pac 12 Championship Game, makes CFP

Florida State (-148, FanDuel)

The Seminoles, like the Ducks, just have to win their conference championship game to clinch a CFP berth. Or do they? There’s plenty of speculation that the committee would consider leaving them out despite a hypothetical 13-0 record given they are without their star quarterback. In the event of a FSU win over Louisville, a lack of a playoff spot for a 13-0 team that beat 9-3 LSU out of conference would be stunning.

Before that conversation becomes relevant, Florida State has to take care of a tough Louisville team. The Cardinals have two ugly losses this year, to Kentucky in their regular season finale and to Pittsburgh earlier this season. But at their best, they’re a tough team with road wins over Miami and No. 21 NC State, as well as one-sided home wins over No. 16 Notre Dame and then-ranked Duke in October.

The biggest question for the Noles is whether they can score enough with Tate Rodemaker under center. His showing against Florida last Saturday didn’t inspire much confidence in this team’s chances if it makes the CFP, but Trey Benson, Johnny Wilson, and Keon Coleman are dangerous enough that Florida State can probably beat Louisville as long as the Seminoles avoid major mistakes.

Prediction: Florida State wins ACC Championship Game, makes CFP

Texas (+154, FanDuel)

Texas is heavily favored over No. 19 Oklahoma State, but they need more than just a win over the Cowboys. If Florida State, Georgia, and Oregon win this weekend, it won’t matter what Texas does in the Big 12 title game. Two of those games look evenly matched, which is why Texas is not quite a massive long shot to make the CFP. Still, the Longhorns need help to make the CFP, rendering the fact that their resume would be CFP-worthy in many other years irrelevant.

Prediction: Texas wins Big 12 Championship Game, does not make CFP

Alabama (+180, FanDuel)

The Crimson Tide dodged a bullet with last weekend’s win over Auburn at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Bama enters this game at , and it’s unclear whether Jalen Milroe and the Tide offense can keep up with a Bulldogs offense that ran away from Ole Miss on Nov. 11 and Tennessee on Nov. 18. Neither Bama nor Georgia have looked as invincible as past versions of these teams, but the Bulldogs have the higher ceiling, and their performances in their biggest games over the last couple of years means the Crimson Tide will need to play a near-perfect game to pull the upset and turn the CFP discussion upside down.

Prediction: Alabama loses SEC Championship Game, does not make CFP

Washington (+250, FanDuel)

Washington’s “struggles” — albeit in victories — since its win over Oregon have oddsmakers convinced the Ducks will win the rematch in Vegas. The inconsistency (Penix and the high-flying Huskies offense have been held to 24 points or fewer in three of the last six games) has been a concern. Still, the fact Washington has remained undefeated against a tough schedule means this team has a legitimate chance to upset Oregon on Friday night.

That being said, it’s hard to pick against a team that has looked as dominant — and well-rounded — as Oregon down the stretch.

Prediction: Washington loses Pac 12 Championship Game, does not make CFP

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Our Picks (Before the Season)

  • Best Bets: LSU, Florida State, Alabama
  • Dark Horse: Notre Dame
  • Longshot: Arkansas, South Carolina

Read more: College Football Championship Odds | Heisman Trophy Odds | SEC odds | Big 10 odds | Pac 12 odds | ACC odds | Big 12 odds

College Football Playoff Odds: History

The following table contains the odds to make the college football playoffs for each season of the College Football Playoff era (odds via sportsoddshistory.com). The odds in bold print are the teams that made the CFP that season:

Team2022-232021-222020-212019-202018-192017-182016-172015-162014-15
Alabama-280/+225-310/+225NA-300/+250-270/+210-230/+170+125/-165+190/-270-120/-110
Ohio State-280/+225-164/+128NA+230/-270+115/-155+125/-115+195/-275-300/+240+500/-900
Georgia-120/-110+162/-210NA+120/-140+180/-240+825/-1725+950/-1950+450/-750
TCUNot Listed+4000/-8000NA+1500/-3750+1800/-5400+700/-1500+190/-270
Clemson+150/-180-650/+420NA-550/+425-175/+145+550/-1050+155/-195+525/-975
USC+425/-600+1750/-4500NA+1000/-1750+150/-190+700/-1500+340/-510
Michigan+500/-800+2700/-8000NA+250/-300+350/-485+515/-945+240/-320
Oklahoma+500/-800-64/+128NA+180/-220+330/-450+260/-380+175/-245+800/-1700+180/-225
Utah+500/-750+2300/-6000NA+4000/-12500+6000/-24000+2500/-7500
Texas+650/-1100+1460/-3500NA+600/-800+650/-1175+850/-1750+1500/-4500
Texas A&M+650/-1100+920/-1800NA+2000/-5000+1300/-2575+3700/-14100+2000/-6000
Wisconsin+1000/-2000+1000/-2000NA+425/-610+725/-1545+2500/-7500+1400/-3600
Notre Dame+1100/-2500+1360/-3500NA+1000/-1500+600/-1050+1300/-3000+450/-750+600/-1200
Miami (FL)+1200/-3000+1460/-3500NA+700/-1300+1200/-2600+1800/-5400
NC State+1200/-3000NA+6000/-20000+3700/-14100
Oregon+1200/-3000+920/-1800NA+800/-1250+1400/-3050+1700/-5100+775/-1625+400/-2450+125/-155
LSU+1400/-4000+2300/-6000NA+500/-700+1200/-2250+470/-810+260/-320+550/-1050+260/-350
Oklahoma State+1400/-400+2700/-6000NA+3300/-9000+650/-1350+1000/-2000
Washington+1360/-3000NA+2000/-5000+220/-280+350/-530+500/-900
Michigan StateNA+600/-1050+1200/-2600+550/-1050+350/-500
Florida State+7500/-20000NA+775/-1410+250/-350+315/-445-250/+200
Cincinnati+2200/-6000

Best Sports Betting Apps for College Football Playoff Odds

How can you find the best sports betting apps for College Football Playoff odds? Who you can bet with will depend on who operates in your state and carries those CFP odds. This is where six of the best betting apps operating in the US are licensed to take bets:

  • BetMGM: AZ, CO, DC, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, OH, NV, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY
  • Caesars: AZ, CO, IN, IA, IL, KS, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA & WV
  • BetRivers: AZ, CO, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, MI, NY, PA, WV & VA, CT & NJ
  • FanDuel: AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY
  • PointsBet: CO, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, VA & WV
  • DraftKings: AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY

Those are the biggest shops, but many smaller operations contribute to providing customers with deep menus. But the online marketplace for College Football Playoff odds can vary, putting those who have done their homework in the best positions to capitalize on College Football Playoff predictions. Incentives are aplenty, too.

Best Sportsbook Bonuses for Betting on Odds To Make The College Football Playoff

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How to Bet on College Football Playoff Odds

If you’re looking to bet on College Football Playoff odds this year, it’s a perfect time to take advantage of amazing limited-time welcome offers available at sportsbooks today. Add more than one sports betting app to your playbook so you can line shop for the most competitive College Football Playoff odds.

Choose Your Online Sportsbook

Most US states with legal online sports betting put multiple mobile sports betting apps at your fingertips. The welcome bonuses, as well as College Football Playoff odds markets, differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.

Check out Gaming Today for comprehensive coverage of online sportsbooks operating in your state. Once you’ve chosen a sportsbook, you must provide proof of age and identity to register for a new account.

Make Your First Deposit

Once the sportsbook verifies your account details, you can deposit funds and start wagering on College Football Playoff odds.

Navigating to the cashier at your chosen sportsbook displays all the different deposit options. But some of the most reliable deposit methods include PayPal, Play+, debit/credit cards, and ACH/eCheck.

Make Your First Bet

College football national championship futures will be featured prominently on every sportsbook’s home page once the 2023-24 CFB season draws near. Many legal online sportsbooks will offer various ways to bet on CFB futures, including odds to make the college football playoffs. Remember, many welcome bonuses at sportsbooks are only for the first wager, so choose wisely!

Cashing Out

If your College Football Playoff bet cashes in– congratulations! You can reinvest your winnings into other bets, but if you are ready to cash out, all sportsbooks will offer you several different options.

PayPal, ACH/eCheck, and Play+ represent some of the fastest ways to cash out when your College Football Playoff wagers win.

What Is Implied Probability?

Implied probability is the likelihood of a particular outcome based on the odds. For example, let’s examine Alabama’s odds of making the college football playoff, +155 via FanDuel. Those odds translate into a 39.22% implied probability the Tide will return to the playoffs.

You can use our calculator to determine a wager’s implied probability.

How Does the College Football Playoff Work?

A 13-member committee begins meeting each week during the second half of the season and releases its top 25 every Tuesday. The final rankings come out following the conference championship games, with the top four teams making the college football playoff.

Two semifinal games occur around New Year’s Eve, with the CFP Championship game to follow roughly a week later, on a Monday. The winner of that game gets crowned national champions.

The semifinal games rotate between six bowl games, the Cotton, Fiesta, Orange, Peach, Rose, and Sugar Bowls. But the 2023-24 season will be the last that uses the four-team format. Starting in 2024-24, the playoff will consist of 12 teams under the following format:

  • The first round will take place on the home field of the higher-seeded team on Saturday, Dec. 21.
  • The No. 1-4 seeds will have a bye in the first round, but the matchups for the other teams are as follows: No. 12 at No. 5, No. 11 at No. 6, No. 10 at No. 7, and No. 9 at No. 8.
  • Bowl games used in the quarterfinals and semifinal rounds will rotate among the following: Fiesta Bowl, Peach Bowl, Rose Bowl, Sugar Bowl, Cotton, and Orange Bowl.
  • The 2024-25 title game will occur in Atlanta on Jan. 25, 2025.
  • The 2025-26 game will be in Miami on Jan. 19, 2026.

The 12 teams will include the six conference champions and the six highest-ranked teams that are not conference champs.

College Football Betting 101

Are you a new bettor that needs help making sense of the wide world of sports betting? That’s understandable—it can be pretty daunting. Which sportsbook app should you use? Is this welcome bonus better than that one? What is implied probability?

You can find answers to these questions and more on some of the following pages:

Our Tools page contains a lot of helpful information, as does the How To Bet On College Football Games page.

Also Bet: College Football Championship Odds | CFB Win Totals | College Football Odds For Select Games | Pac-12 Odds  

How many teams will be in the 2023 college football playoff?

Four teams will be in the college football playoff this year, the last of the four-team format. The playoff will expand to 12 teams in 2024.

When are the college football playoff games?

For the 2023-24 season, the semifinal games will occur on Jan. 1 at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, CA. The Sugar Bowl in New Orleans, LA, will host the other game also on Jan. 1. The title game will take place in Houston, TX, at NRG Stadium on Jan. 8.

Who is favored to make the college football playoff this season?

The following table shows top teams to win the national championship with the best odds available.

Has a team with more than one loss ever made the college football playoff?

No, since the CFP’s inception in 2014, every participant had an undefeated regular season or lost just a single game.

How is the 12-team format supposed to work for the college football playoff?

Teams will continue to get selected as they have been by a 13-person committee, with the top six conference champions getting an automatic bid. The six highest-ranked teams outside of the aforementioned conference winners will make the playoff.

About the Author
Brian Spaen

Brian Spaen

Managing Editor
Brian Spaen is the managing editor for Gaming Today. He has been a content writer and editor in various industries, including sports betting, environmental technology, and higher education. Brian is a graduate of Iowa State University and currently resides in Des Moines, Iowa.

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