2023 College Football Win Totals: Best Bets & Odds For Top 25 Teams

The college football season is just over a month away, so it’s time to start predicting how teams will fare in 2023.

One of the most interesting markets for futures bets is the 2023 college football wins totals for the top 25 college football teams. 

The Georgia Bulldogs won their second-consecutive national championship last season, and based on their win total odds (Over/Under 11.5 wins) at the top sports betting apps, they are favored to be in the mix once again. Behind Georgia in NCAAF win totals odds are two other playoff teams from last season, Michigan and Ohio State, as well as some familiar heavyweights, including Alabama, LSU, and USC. 

The start of the college football season is always one of the best times of the year because bettors don’t know how the NCAAF season will unfold. This is why we have reviewed the college football win totals from the top 25 teams and will give our college football win totals best bets right here. 

Read more: College Football Championship Odds | Best College Football Betting Sites | Heisman Trophy Odds

2023 College Football Win Totals

Below, you’ll find the 2023 college football win totals odds — from BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook — as the season approaches. The win total (Over/Under) odds will change as the season progresses, but there’s value to be found with off-season NCAAF win total wagers.

**Top 25 teams via NCAA.com

NCAAF Win Totals Best Bets & Predictions for 2023 Season

Here, we break down our favorite college football win total best bets, including our recommended Overs and Unders.

Best Overs: CFB Win Totals

• Notre Dame: Over 8.5 (-120 at BetMGM)
• Oregon State: Over 8.5 (+115 at BetMGM and Caesars)
• Florida State: Over 9.5 (-140 at Caesars)

Notre Dame: Sam Hartman Brings National Championship Expectations

From 2020-2021, Notre Dame went a combined 21-2, with a trip to the College Football Playoff and an NY6 bowl. While they lost both games, things were looking up for a Notre Dame team that had not been a national threat in decades.

However, the departure of Brian Kelly before the 2022 Fiesta Bowl against Oklahoma State was a big blow to a team on the rise. This past season, Notre Dame finished 8-4 in its first season with Marcus Freeman as the head coach, which sounds like a solid first year for a first-time head coach, but they struggled mightily at the beginning of the season. After a hard-fought loss to Ohio State in Columbus to open the season, Notre Dame lost to Marshall the next week and barely hung on against CAL in Week 3.

They ended the season with a bowl victory over South Carolina, and they have a lot of momentum heading into 2023 with Wake Forest transfer quarterback Sam Hartman. Hartman passed for over 12,900 yards in five seasons with Wake Forest with 110 touchdowns. He will join a loaded skill room headlined by running back Audric Estime and many athletic pass-catchers.

Sam Hartman ↗️ Jahmal Banks for 6️⃣

Wake Forest gets on the board 🎩 pic.twitter.com/a8q39hE5D9

— ESPN (@espn) September 24, 2022

What excites us most about Notre Dame is Hartman behind Notre Dame’s elite offensive line. Hartman was not the most well-protected quarterback at Wake Forest, and he still put up big numbers. Now that he has future first-round pick Joe Alt and Blake Fisher protecting the edges, he should give the Irish something they have not had in quite some time, and that is elite quarterback play.

Defensively, Notre Dame has to replace some production in the front seven, but the secondary is loaded, and there is a lot of promise with some of the young guys who will get more snaps this season.

The schedule is tough, with road games against Clemson, Louisville, and NC State, as well as a home game against Ohio State. However, with Hartman at quarterback, and another year of development for some of the talented young guys, Notre Dame should find a way to reach double-digit wins and be a competitor for the college football playoff.

Oregon State: Expect a DJ Uiagalelei Resurgence?

Not many people are talking about how Oregon State could be this season’s TCU. Obviously, that is an impossible level of expectations to put on a team that usually does not compete for a national championship. Still, if last season told us anything, this team is good, and they are ready.

The Beavers had wins over Boise State, Fresno State, Washington State, and Oregon, and they battled to the very end against USC and Washington, losing to both teams by just three points. They did this having one of the worst passing attacks in the country.

This season, they are returning four of five starters on the offensive line and the reigning Pac-12 Offensive Freshman of the Year in running back Damien Martinez. The pass-catchers for Oregon State remain a question, but adding former Clemson quarterback DJ Uiagalelei to the mix will give this offense a little jolt. His career has not gone how he had hoped, but he improved slowly down the stretch for the Tigers in 2022, just not fast enough to appease’ their national championship aspirations.

DJ Uiagalelei dropped this in the bucket for six 🪣 pic.twitter.com/eNUVkHMAQa

— ESPN (@espn) October 9, 2022

Defensively, the Beavers led the Pac-12 in total defense (332.8 yards), and while they are bringing a lot back, they lost a few key pieces in the secondary. Luckily, they hit the transfer portal hard and added a lot of experience to fill in the gaps.

Oregon State also got a good draw with their schedule, getting all of their challenging games (UCLA, Washington, Utah) at home with the expectation of heading to Autzen Stadium to take on the Ducks. A lot of taking Oregon State’s win total over is because of the schedule, but this team is also very talented and should be among the best PAC-12 teams this season, easily pushing them over 8.5 wins.

Conference previews: SEC odds | Big 10 odds | Pac 12 odds | ACC odds | Big 12 odds

Florida State: Jordan Travis & Elite Defense Give ‘Noles An Edge Over ACC Competition

The only thing keeping Florida State from a college football playoff spot last season was a brutal three-game losing streak in October. With losses against Wake Forest, NC State, and Clemson, all the momentum gained from the victory over LSU seemed to vanish.

The Seminoles finished the season on a six-game winning streak, winning by an average of 24 points. A large part of that came from the play of star quarterback Jordan Travis, who caught fire toward the end of the season. He put up highlight after highlight, and he enters this season as one of the favorites to win the Heisman.

However, the defense was also exceptional, and they are bringing back most of the unit and some of the best names from the transfer portal to fill the gaps. Coming back from last year’s squad are First-Team All-ACC defensive end Jared Verse, starting nose guard Fabien Lovett Sr., and four starters in the secondary.

Counting down the days until we can see Jordan Travis make plays like this again pic.twitter.com/gqagH81tTO

— Barstool FSU (@FSU_Barstool) July 17, 2023

FSU also added All-ACC cornerback Fentrell Cypress through the transfer portal and a few depth pieces in DT Braden Fiske, Darrell Jackson, and Gilber Edmond. This is one of the best units in the country, and they play in a weak ACC, which does not feature a lot of high-powered offenses.

Outside of opening the season against LSU, this is an easy schedule. With a nasty defense and a great offense headlined by one of the best quarterbacks in the country, Florida State should easily go over its win total.

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Best Unders: CFB Win Totals

• Ole Miss: Under 7.5 (+105)
• TCU: Under 7.5 (+120)
• Alabama: Under 10.5 (-140)

Ole Miss: Brutal Schedule Keeps Ole Miss Under Their Win Total

Ole Miss started 7-0 last season before an ultimate collapse saw them lose five of its last six games, including the TaxAct Bowl against Texas Tech. While they have one of the deepest quarterback rooms in the country after adding Oklahoma State transfer Spencer Sanders and LSU transfer Walker Howard to the room with last year’s starter Jaxson Dart, none of those three are enough to make up for the Rebels’ shortcomings.

They have plenty of returning experience on the offensive line and are bringing back first-team All-SEC running back Quinshon Judkins, but there is little promise in the receiver room. However, Ole Miss’ biggest problem comes on defense, and while they are returning a lot of production, that may not be a good thing for this team.

https://twitter.com/CFN365/status/1680985722998718464

Over their last seven games, the Rebels’ defense gave up an average of 35 points per game, and the secondary lost two of their most talented players in Davison Igbinosun and Tysheem Johnson. This is still a very talented team, but they have a lot of questions, and drawing a road schedule that includes Tulane, Alabama, Auburn, Georgia, and Mississippi State should keep this team under their win total.

With BetMGM offering plus-money on Under 7.5 wins, that is well worth a play as we are betting on Ole Miss’ schedule rather than the actual talent on the field.

TCU: National Championship (Appearance) Hangover

It is still hard to believe that TCU made it to the national championship game last season. It is also hard to believe that they lost to Georgia by 58 points after knocking off a very talented Michigan team in the College Football Playoff semifinals.

Despite the embarrassing performance in the national championship game, it was an unreal season for Sonny Dykes and the Horned Frogs, and it was clear that they just ran out of gas and there was nothing they could do against Georgia.

This season, they return only 11 starters and must find replacements at crucial positions, including quarterback. At the beginning of last season, TCU’s starting quarterback was Chandler Morris, and he will get the opening day nod again this season. Not only is he looking to not get benched for the second-straight season, but this offense needs to replace their two leading rushers, almost half the offensive line, and the top three receivers from last season.

30.12- Chandler Morris 2024

Morris gets his opportunity to be the starter for in a Sonny Dykes offense, I anticipate he steps right in and picks up where Max Duggan left off bud offers more mobility. CFF play here.pic.twitter.com/h56Op9AKND

— JC (@JCJDynasty) July 17, 2023

They hit the portal hard, adding Alabama transfer running back Trey Sanders and transfer wide receiver JoJo Earle, but they are missing a lot of production and hoping some of the young guys can step up. This is not a particularly hard Big 12 this season, but they have a demanding schedule, with road games against Houston, Kansas State, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma, and the Frogs will host Baylor and Texas, two very tough teams.

On the other side of the ball, the Frogs were not that great last season, and they will rely on a lot of youth. It is undoubtedly a talented unit, but there is not a lot of experience, and with a demanding schedule, TCU could be in for a massive downgrade in 2023. However, last season cannot be ignored, and this team should get back to a high level shortly, just not this season. 

Alabama: Nick Saban’s Grip On College Football Loosens in 2023

The number of times Nick Saban and the Alabama Crimson Tide have proven the doubters wrong is endless, but there are obvious signs of decline. Even with Bryce Young at quarterback last season, Alabama struggled in every game against a team with a pulse, including Texas, Arkansas, Texas A&M, and Ole Miss. They also lost to Tennessee for the first time since 2006 and fell to LSU in an overtime thriller.

This year, they lost Young to the draft, and the quarterback room is not very promising. Backup Jalen Milroe did not impress in his limited time last season, and they brought in Notre Dame transfer Tyler Buchner late in the spring, signaling they have no idea who will be the starter.

Buchner is not a bad player, but he certainly is not good enough to be the reason Alabama has success. Luckily, the Tide have one of the most talented teams in the country, despite how much production they lost on both sides of the ball.

Kool-Aid McKinstry with a nice tackle on Bijan Robinson pic.twitter.com/aqqzNDlYTK

— Matt Holder (@MHolder95) July 18, 2023

Defensively, they are loaded in the secondary, and while they will need someone to replace the production of Will Anderson, they added a few transfers and are bringing back Dallas Turner. Alabam will certainly be in the mix for the CFP, and they drew a lot of their formidable opponents at home, but with no real proven skill on offense, and a noticeable downgrade at the most critical position, look for Alabam to struggle again this year, and go under the 10.5 set by BetMGM.

How To Read College Football Win Totals Odds

College Football win totals are one of the most popular NCAAF futures bets. They involve betting on the Over/Under on a set amount of wins set by the top sports betting apps. Each sportsbook will have different odds and lines for win totals, so checking out each book’s odds is essential.

All you need to do to place an NCAAF win total bet is find the “season win totals” tab on the sports betting app of choice and place a bet on the Over or Under for that team. Betting on the Over for a CFB win total means you think the team will exceed expectations, while the Under is when you want to bet on a team to lose games more than the sportsbook expects.

For example, the two-time defending national champions, the Georgia Bulldogs, have their win total set at 11.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook. When you place a wager on Georgia’s win total, it will look something like this:

• Over 11.5 Wins (+116)
• Under 11.5 Wins (-142)

For the Over to hit, Georgia would have to go undefeated in the regular season for the third-straight year, while the Under would cash with just one loss. Based on the odds given by FanDuel, they favor Georgia’s win total going under 11.5 wins.

Where To Bet on College Football Win Totals

We have got you covered if you need help finding where to bet on college football win totals. Here, we list our favorite sports betting apps to bet on NCAAF win totals. 

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College Football Win Totals FAQ