While Tennessee-Georgia, Liberty-Arkansas, and Alabama-LSU will deserve all of their TV exposure Saturday — and probably will produce exciting, high-scoring entertainment — we opt for the slop of a sound investment opportunity.
The Rams and Spartans will have no television cameras on them. Rightfully so, as this one deserves no spotlights. And that’s what we enjoy: away from the action, under the radar.
Colorado State hasn’t scored 20 points in a game this season and likely owns the nation’s worst offense.
Combined with certain aspects of San Jose State’s defense and the downright dismal state of their program, the Rams might suffer their first shutout since the second-to-last game of 2013, a 13-0 uppercut at Utah State.
So, here’s a look at Colorado State vs. San Jose State odds and a pick in Week 10 of the NCAAF season.
Colorado State vs. San Jose State Betting Lines: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline
Here are live odds from around the betting market for Colorado State vs. San Jose State at Spartan Stadium.
NCAAF · Sat (11/5) @ 10:36pm ET
|CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, California|
Colorado State Rams (2-6, 2-6 Against the Spread)
Rams games are 1-7 to Under this season, and the only reason one didn’t is because Boise State rattled off 49 by itself last weekend at home against Colorado State.
The Broncos tallied more touchdowns (seven) than the Rams could muster on offense in their previous six games combined (six).
This might constitute poetic justice for head coach Jay Norvell, who bolted from Nevada, stayed inside the Mountain West, and took a raft of those players with him to Fort Collins, Colo.
The Rams were at their feistiest on Oct. 7 during an unsurprisingly heated affair at Nevada in which there was plenty of pre-game barking — between the coaches! They did not shake hands afterward.
Somehow, Colorado State waltzed back to Fort Collins with a 17-14 triumph. The rest of the season has been one big deflation, with key offensive marks that rank anywhere from 129 to 131; there are only 131 FBS programs.
The worst of it might be its brutal 46.15% scoring efficiency within the red zone, dead last in the country.
Listing all of CSU’s deficiencies would equate to rubbing cups of salt in an ugly, open wound, so we’ll avoid that out of respect for the game.
Four quarterbacks have thrown at least six passes this season. And in the debacle at Boise last week, Clay Millen started and Jackson Stratton mopped up.
Avery Morrow has run for 502 yards and three touchdowns, and Tory Horton averages 14.7 yards on his 41 receptions with five TDs.
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San Jose State Spartans (5-2, 4-3 ATS)
Their games are 5-2 to Under, and once again the best part about watching the Spartans is their defensive line, which Phil Steele rated among the country’s top-20 units in his preseason annual.
Defensively, San Jose State is top-10 nationally in average passing yards (third, 160.5), points per game (fifth, 16.3), yards per game (sixth, 278.7), yards per play (seventh, 4.3), and points per play (seventh, 0.253).
The main instigators up front are 6-foot-4, 263-pound junior end Viliami Fehoko, a first-team All-Mountain West selection a year ago who is tied for 10th in college football with 12 tackles for loss.
His bookend is 6-3, 270-pound senior Cade Hall, whose 6.5 sacks are tied for 20th in the country.
Offensively, sixth-year head coach Brent Brennan, the former UCLA receiver, relies on the passing game nearly 58% of the time. Only 14 other programs go to the air more frequently than the Spartans.
Hawaii transfer Chevan Cordeiro is the steady hand back there, with nearly 2,000 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and only one pick — only two other FBS teams have a lower interception rate than West Coast Sparty.
Elijah Cooks, a 6-4 senior, averages 16.5 yards on his 38 catches and has scored three times. Tight end Dominick Mazotti has caught two TD passes.
The Rams don’t exactly lay down on defense, as sophomore strong safety Jack Howell is ninth in the game with 49 assisted tackles. And junior defensive end Mohamed Kamara is tied for 20th with 11 tackles for loss.
They will keep San Jose State’s offense honest. Problem is, the Rams might need one of them to take a turnover into the end zone just to put Colorado State on the scoreboard.
The Spartans last recorded a shutout in their 2013 opener, a 24-0 zapping of Sacramento State as 18-point favorites.
Colorado State vs. San Jose State Sports Betting Recommendation & Pick
After having its Oct. 22 game against New Mexico postponed in the wake of the tragic scooter-related death of Camdan McWright, a freshman running back from Sylmar, Calif., the Spartans were up against it last week at home against Nevada.
San Jose State rallied for a rousing 35-28 victory, which should alert all foes. This squad is talented, but its heart and soul showed last week. This one will be no contest, as Colorado State sports one of the worst offenses in the nation.
We see a slug-fest, filled with defensive gems. The Spartans are knotted with Fresno State at 3-1 atop the league’s West Division. With four games left, nobody should count San Jose out. And any bowl-game opponent had better be prepared.
Our Pick: Under 45 (-110)